Football · South Korea Cup · 15/07, 12:30
Prediction: Gyeongnam FC vs Yeoju
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.77Total
Gyeongnam FC1.9
Yeoju0.87
1X2
Gyeongnam FC
Draw
Yeoju
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Gyeongnam FC
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Yeoju
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gyeongnam FC 1521 · Yeoju 1503
| Gyeongnam FC | Draw | Yeoju | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 24% | 16% |
| Market | 60% | 26% | 15% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.77 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Gyeongnam FC | Yeoju | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.5 | 1.2 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.6 | 0.7 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.5 | 1.4 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0.4 | 3.5 / 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gyeongnam FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Chungnam Asan FC South Korea K League 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 05/07 | Cheonan City South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 06/06 | Yongin FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 31/05 | Hwaseong FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 23/05 | Suwon FC South Korea K League 2 |
1-2 | 3-2 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 17/05 | Seongnam FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 10/05 | Gimhae FC 2008 South Korea K League 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 03/05 | Daegu FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 25/04 | Paju Frontier FC South Korea K League 2 |
1-2 | 3-2 | 1 | 8 | W |
| 18/04 | Suwon Bluewings South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | L |
Yeoju
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Ulsan Citizen FC South Korea K3 League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 05/07 | Pyeongtaek Citizen FC South Korea Cup |
3-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 27/06 | Changwon City South Korea K3 League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 20/06 | Yangpyeong FC South Korea K3 League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 9 | W |
| 14/06 | Busan Trans Corp South Korea K3/K4 Championship |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 07/06 | Siheung City AC South Korea K3 League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 31/05 | Daejeon Korail South Korea K3 League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 27/05 | Sejong SA South Korea K3/K4 Championship |
2-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 23/05 | Gyeongju HNP South Korea K3 League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 16/05 | Busan Trans Corp South Korea K3 League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gyeongnam FC vs Yeoju?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Gyeongnam FC win (60%). Probabilities: Gyeongnam FC 60%, draw 25%, Yeoju 15%.
How many goals are expected in Gyeongnam FC vs Yeoju?
The model expects 2.77 goals (Gyeongnam FC 1.9 · Yeoju 0.87), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Gyeongnam FC vs Yeoju?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.