Football · South Korea Cup · 15/07, 12:00

Prediction: Jeonnam Dragons vs Chungnam Asan FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.58Total
Jeonnam Dragons1.23
Chungnam Asan FC1.35
1X2
33% 28% 39%
Jeonnam Dragons Draw Chungnam Asan FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Jeonnam Dragons 0-5-5 (W-D-L)
LDLDDLLDDL
Chungnam Asan FC 3-6-1 (W-D-L)
DDDLWDWDWD
Head-to-head
Jeonnam Dragons 1–3–2 Chungnam Asan FC (6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Jeonnam Dragons 1434 · Chungnam Asan FC 1546
Jeonnam DragonsDrawChungnam Asan FC
Our model33%29%38%
Market33%28%39%
Estimated total (ours) 2.58 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chungnam Asan FC (rating 1434 vs 1546).
  • H2H favours Chungnam Asan FC: 2-3-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Jeonnam DragonsChungnam Asan FC
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 1.91.3 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.70.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/30/40%20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)1.9 / 5.11.8 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.2 / 0.23.3 / 0.5

Head-to-head (H2H) · Jeonnam Dragons 132 Chungnam Asan FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
19/04/26
South Korea K League 2
Chungnam Asan FC2-2
HT 1-2
Jeonnam Dragons
23/11/25
South Korea K League 2
Chungnam Asan FC2-1
HT 1-1
Jeonnam Dragons
02/08/25
South Korea K League 2
Jeonnam Dragons2-2
HT 0-0
Chungnam Asan FC
20/04/25
South Korea K League 2
Chungnam Asan FC0-0
HT 0-0
Jeonnam Dragons
21/09/24
South Korea K League 2
Chungnam Asan FC2-1
HT 0-1
Jeonnam Dragons
13/07/24
South Korea K League 2
Jeonnam Dragons3-2
HT 3-0
Chungnam Asan FC

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentJeonnam DragonsChungnam Asan FC
Busan I Park 3-3 D 2-2 D
Gimpo FC 2-2 D 2-0 W
Seoul E-Land FC 0-1 L 3-0 W
Gimhae FC 2008 0-1 L 1-1 D
Chungbuk Cheongju 2-2 D 0-0 D
Record vs common 0 W 3 D 2 L 2 W 3 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Chungnam Asan FC (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Jeonnam Dragons

LDLDDLLDDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
10/07 Suwon FC
South Korea K League 2
0-2 0-5 15 L
05/07 Busan I Park
South Korea K League 2
2-0 3-3 34 D
07/06 Gimpo FC
South Korea K League 2
1-2 2-2 76 D
31/05 Seoul E-Land FC
South Korea K League 2
0-0 0-1 40 L
23/05 Gimhae FC 2008
South Korea K League 2
0-0 0-1 121 L
16/05 Chungbuk Cheongju
South Korea K League 2
0-1 2-2 134 D
10/05 Seongnam FC
South Korea K League 2
0-0 0-0 35 D
25/04 Ansan Greeners FC
South Korea K League 2
1-0 1-2 44 L
19/04 Chungnam Asan FC
South Korea K League 2
2-1 2-2 31 D
11/04 Hwaseong FC
South Korea K League 2
0-1 0-1 14 L

Chungnam Asan FC

DDDLWDWDWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/07 Gyeongnam FC
South Korea K League 2
1-1 1-1 05 D
05/07 Gimpo FC
South Korea K League 2
0-0 2-0 75 W
05/06 Busan I Park
South Korea K League 2
2-2 2-2 44 D
30/05 Suwon Bluewings
South Korea K League 2
0-0 2-1 16 W
24/05 Yongin FC
South Korea K League 2
0-0 0-0 24 D
09/05 Seoul E-Land FC
South Korea K League 2
1-0 3-0 41 W
03/05 Cheonan City
South Korea K League 2
0-1 0-1 43 L
26/04 Chungbuk Cheongju
South Korea K League 2
0-0 0-0 67 D
19/04 Jeonnam Dragons
South Korea K League 2
1-2 2-2 101 D
12/04 Gimhae FC 2008
South Korea K League 2
1-0 1-1 82 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jeonnam Dragons vs Chungnam Asan FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Chungnam Asan FC win (39%). Probabilities: Jeonnam Dragons 33%, draw 28%, Chungnam Asan FC 39%.

How many goals are expected in Jeonnam Dragons vs Chungnam Asan FC?

The model expects 2.58 goals (Jeonnam Dragons 1.23 · Chungnam Asan FC 1.35), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Jeonnam Dragons vs Chungnam Asan FC?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.