Football · South Korea Cup · 15/07, 12:30
Prediction: Cheonan City vs Mokpo City
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.75Total
Cheonan City2.05
Mokpo City0.7
1X2
Cheonan City
Draw
Mokpo City
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Cheonan City
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Mokpo City
1-5-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Cheonan City
1–3–2
Mokpo City
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Cheonan City 1485 · Mokpo City 1465
| Cheonan City | Draw | Mokpo City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 21% | 11% |
| Market | 69% | 19% | 12% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.75 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Mokpo City: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cheonan City | Mokpo City | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.2 | 0.8 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.6 | 0.2 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 3.4 | 1.3 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.6 | 3.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cheonan City 1–3–2 Mokpo City
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08/22 South Korea K3 League | Cheonan City | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Mokpo City |
| 22/04/22 South Korea K3 League | Mokpo City | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Cheonan City |
| 21/08/21 South Korea K3 League | Cheonan City | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Mokpo City |
| 17/04/21 South Korea K3 League | Mokpo City | 2-1 | Cheonan City |
| 15/08/20 South Korea K3 League | Cheonan City | 1-2 | Mokpo City |
| 07/09/19 South Korea National League | Mokpo City | 0-0 | Cheonan City |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cheonan City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Gimhae FC 2008 South Korea K League 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 05/07 | Gyeongnam FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 07/06 | Suwon FC South Korea K League 2 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 31/05 | Ansan Greeners FC South Korea K League 2 |
1-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 25/05 | Suwon Bluewings South Korea K League 2 |
0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | Paju Frontier FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 10/05 | Busan I Park South Korea K League 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 03/05 | Chungnam Asan FC South Korea K League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Seongnam FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 18/04 | Daegu FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
Mokpo City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Gangneung City South Korea K3 League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 04/07 | Anseong Citizen FC South Korea Cup |
1-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 27/06 | Ulsan Citizen FC South Korea K3 League |
0-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 20/06 | Changwon City South Korea K3 League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 07/06 | Yangpyeong FC South Korea K3 League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 31/05 | Siheung City AC South Korea K3 League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 23/05 | Daejeon Korail South Korea K3 League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 17/05 | Gyeongju HNP South Korea K3 League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 09/05 | Busan Trans Corp South Korea K3 League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 05/05 | Chuncheon FC South Korea League Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cheonan City vs Mokpo City?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Cheonan City win (69%). Probabilities: Cheonan City 69%, draw 20%, Mokpo City 11%.
How many goals are expected in Cheonan City vs Mokpo City?
The model expects 2.75 goals (Cheonan City 2.05 · Mokpo City 0.7), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Cheonan City vs Mokpo City?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.