Football · South Korea Cup · 15/07, 12:00
Prediction: Suwon FC vs Pyeongchang United
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.66Total
Suwon FC2.83
Pyeongchang United0.83
1X2
Suwon FC
Draw
Pyeongchang United
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Suwon FC
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Pyeongchang United
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Suwon FC 1511 · Pyeongchang United 1501
| Suwon FC | Draw | Pyeongchang United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 78% | 14% | 8% |
| Market | 89% | 8% | 3% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.66 goals · Bet365 line 4 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Suwon FC | Pyeongchang United | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.3 | 1.4 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.8 | 0.9 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/10/50% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5.4 | 1.3 / 3.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.2 | 3.7 / 0.1 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Suwon FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Jeonnam Dragons South Korea K League 2 |
2-0 | 5-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 04/07 | Ansan Greeners FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 07/06 | Cheonan City South Korea K League 2 |
0-1 | 2-2 | 13 | 7 | D |
| 30/05 | Seongnam FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 23/05 | Gyeongnam FC South Korea K League 2 |
2-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 09/05 | Hwaseong FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 03/05 | Suwon Bluewings South Korea K League 2 |
0-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 26/04 | Gimpo FC South Korea K League 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 18/04 | Busan I Park South Korea K League 2 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 11/04 | Daegu FC South Korea K League 2 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | D |
Pyeongchang United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Geoje Citizen FC South Korea K4 League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 04/07 | TNT Fitogether FC South Korea Cup |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 10 | D |
| 28/06 | Sejong SA South Korea K4 League |
2-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 20/06 | Namyangju FC South Korea K4 League |
1-2 | 3-2 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 07/06 | Geumsan Insam South Korea K4 League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 30/05 | Gijang United South Korea K4 League |
3-0 | 4-2 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 24/05 | Pyeongtaek Citizen FC South Korea K4 League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 16/05 | Jinju Citizen FC South Korea K4 League |
0-3 | 0-4 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 10/05 | Seosan Pioneer South Korea K4 League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 05/05 | Busan Trans Corp South Korea League Cup |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Suwon FC vs Pyeongchang United?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Suwon FC win (84%). Probabilities: Suwon FC 84%, draw 11%, Pyeongchang United 5%.
How many goals are expected in Suwon FC vs Pyeongchang United?
The model expects 3.66 goals (Suwon FC 2.83 · Pyeongchang United 0.83), with a 56% chance of under 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Suwon FC vs Pyeongchang United?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.