Football · South Korea Cup · 15/07, 12:00
Prediction: Daegu FC vs Siheung City AC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.83Total
Daegu FC1.79
Siheung City AC1.04
1X2
Daegu FC
Draw
Siheung City AC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Daegu FC
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Siheung City AC
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daegu FC 1565 · Siheung City AC 1508
| Daegu FC | Draw | Siheung City AC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 25% | 21% |
| Market | 54% | 26% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.83 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Daegu FC (rating 1565 vs 1508).
- High corners: 11 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Daegu FC | Siheung City AC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 0.9 | 1.1 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.3 | 0.6 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.4 / 5.9 | 1.7 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.2 | 2.6 / 0.1 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daegu FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Seongnam FC South Korea K League 2 |
1-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 04/07 | Chungbuk Cheongju South Korea K League 2 |
2-0 | 5-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 05/06 | Paju Frontier FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 30/05 | Yongin FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 24/05 | Ansan Greeners FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 17/05 | Gimhae FC 2008 South Korea K League 2 |
1-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 09/05 | Suwon Bluewings South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 03/05 | Gyeongnam FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 18/04 | Cheonan City South Korea K League 2 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 4 | L |
| 11/04 | Suwon FC South Korea K League 2 |
1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | D |
Siheung City AC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Busan Trans Corp South Korea K3 League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 9 | 0 | L |
| 04/07 | Jincheon HR South Korea Cup |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 27/06 | Jeonbuk Motors II South Korea K3 League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 20/06 | Chuncheon FC South Korea K3 League |
2-2 | 3-2 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 13/06 | Ulsan Citizen FC South Korea K3/K4 Championship |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 07/06 | Yeoju South Korea K3 League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 31/05 | Mokpo City South Korea K3 League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 27/05 | Dangjin Citizen FC South Korea K3/K4 Championship |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | Dangjin Citizen FC South Korea K3 League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Gangneung City South Korea K3 League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daegu FC vs Siheung City AC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Daegu FC win (54%). Probabilities: Daegu FC 54%, draw 26%, Siheung City AC 21%.
How many goals are expected in Daegu FC vs Siheung City AC?
The model expects 2.83 goals (Daegu FC 1.79 · Siheung City AC 1.04), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Daegu FC vs Siheung City AC?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.