Football · Netherlands Derde Divisie · 08/11, 14:00

Prediction: EVV Echt vs VVSB

Team pages: EVV Echt · VVSB

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.79Total

EVV Echt1.64

VVSB2.15

1X2

29% 21% 49%

EVV Echt Draw VVSB

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

EVV Echt 0-3-7 (W-D-L)

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VVSB 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

EVV Echt 0–1 VVSB (1 last)

VVSB4-0EVV Echt

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · EVV Echt 1417 · VVSB 1447

	EVV Echt	Draw	VVSB
Our model	29%	22%	49%
Market	30%	21%	50%

Estimated total (ours) 3.79 goals · Bet365 line 4 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	EVV Echt	VVSB
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 2.1	1.4 / 2.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1.2	0.5 / 1.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/30/60%	10/20/70%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 4	2.3 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.6 / 0	3.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.00

X4.33

21.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.95

2 (-0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 41.85

Under 41.95

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:41

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
X	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
2	1.80 → 1.80	Bet365 1.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
14:55 +46’	3.00	4.33	1.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · EVV Echt 0–0–1 VVSB

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/10/26 Netherlands Cup	VVSB	4-0 HT 3-0	EVV Echt

Standings · Netherlands Derde Divisie · Derde Divisie 26/27, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Noordwijk	11	9	1	1	25	4	28
2	FC Lisse	11	9	1	1	26	8	28
3	Excelsior Maassluis	11	8	2	1	22	7	26
4	Rijnvogels	11	7	2	2	29	13	23
5	RKSV UDI '19	11	6	2	3	22	12	20
6	Zwaluwen	11	6	1	4	15	16	19
7	SV Poortugaal	11	6	0	5	15	16	18
8	VV Dongen	11	5	1	5	24	25	16
9	VV Goes	11	4	2	5	21	28	14
10	VV Gemert	10	3	4	3	14	17	13
11	Blauw Geel '38	11	3	3	5	15	17	12
12	TOGB	11	3	3	5	19	25	12
13	VV UNA	11	2	5	4	15	17	11
14	Roosendaal	10	3	1	6	18	23	10
15	Groene Ster	11	2	3	6	15	27	9
16	VVSB	11	2	2	7	15	25	8
17	Achilles Veen	11	2	0	9	9	26	6
18	EVV Echt	11	0	3	8	11	24	3

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	EVV Echt	VVSB
Excelsior Maassluis	0-1 L	2-3 L
Roosendaal	3-3 D	1-3 L
Achilles Veen	0-1 L	2-1 W
Noordwijk	0-2 L	0-2 L
FC Lisse	1-1 D	1-2 L
Groene Ster	1-1 D	3-3 D
RKSV UDI '19	1-4 L	0-2 L
Record vs common	0 W 3 D 4 L	1 W 1 D 5 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

EVV Echt

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Excelsior Maassluis Netherlands Derde Divisie	0-0	0-1	1	2	L
18/10	Roosendaal Netherlands Derde Divisie	3-2	3-3	4	3	D
10/10	Achilles Veen Netherlands Derde Divisie	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
03/10	Noordwijk Netherlands Derde Divisie	0-0	0-2	2	1	L
26/09	FC Lisse Netherlands Derde Divisie	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
19/09	Groene Ster Netherlands Derde Divisie	0-0	1-1	7	4	D
13/09	RKSV UDI '19 Netherlands Derde Divisie	0-3	1-4	6	1	L
05/09	SV Poortugaal Netherlands Derde Divisie	0-1	0-1	3	3	L
30/08	VV UNA Netherlands Derde Divisie	1-3	1-4	5	4	L
23/08	VV Dongen Netherlands Derde Divisie	0-1	2-3	–	–	L

VVSB

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Zwaluwen Netherlands Derde Divisie	1-2	2-4	6	4	L
17/10	TOGB Netherlands Derde Divisie	2-2	3-3	–	–	D
10/10	Blauw Geel '38 Netherlands Derde Divisie	0-2	0-2	7	5	L
03/10	Excelsior Maassluis Netherlands Derde Divisie	1-2	2-3	–	–	L
26/09	Roosendaal Netherlands Derde Divisie	0-3	1-3	–	–	L
19/09	Achilles Veen Netherlands Derde Divisie	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
12/09	Noordwijk Netherlands Derde Divisie	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
05/09	FC Lisse Netherlands Derde Divisie	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
30/08	Groene Ster Netherlands Derde Divisie	0-1	3-3	3	2	D
22/08	RKSV UDI '19 Netherlands Derde Divisie	0-0	0-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in EVV Echt vs VVSB?

According to our model, the most likely result is an VVSB win (49%). Probabilities: EVV Echt 29%, draw 21%, VVSB 49%.

How many goals are expected in EVV Echt vs VVSB?

The model expects 3.79 goals (EVV Echt 1.64 · VVSB 2.15), with a 53% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in EVV Echt vs VVSB?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.