Football · Netherlands Derde Divisie · 14/11, 14:30
Prediction: ACV Assen vs ADO '20
Team pages: ACV Assen · ADO '20
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.51Total
ACV Assen2.3
ADO '201.21
1X2
ACV Assen
Draw
ADO '20
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
2-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
ACV Assen
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
ADO '20
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
ACV Assen
3–1–0
ADO '20
(4 last)
- ADO '200-1ACV Assen
- ACV Assen2-0ADO '20
- ACV Assen2-2ADO '20
- ADO '201-2ACV Assen
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · ACV Assen 1587 · ADO '20 1503
| ACV Assen | Draw | ADO '20 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 21% | 18% |
| Market | 62% | 20% | 19% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.51 goals · Bet365 line 3.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours ACV Assen (rating 1587 vs 1503).
- H2H favours ACV Assen: 3-1-0.
- High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| ACV Assen | ADO '20 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.7 / 1.1 | 1.9 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.6 | 0.9 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 7.3 | 2.7 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.3 | 2.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · ACV Assen 3–1–0 ADO '20
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05/25 Netherlands Tweede Divisie | ADO '20 | 0-1 HT 0-1 | ACV Assen |
| 14/12/24 Netherlands Tweede Divisie | ACV Assen | 2-0 HT 1-0 | ADO '20 |
| 30/03/24 Netherlands Tweede Divisie | ACV Assen | 2-2 HT 1-1 | ADO '20 |
| 28/10/23 Netherlands Tweede Divisie | ADO '20 | 1-2 HT 0-0 | ACV Assen |
Standings · Netherlands Derde Divisie · Derde Divisie 26/27, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ACV Assen | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 30 | 11 | 27 |
| 2 | VV Scherpenzeel | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 23 | 13 | 27 |
| 3 | Harkemase Boys | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 25 | 16 | 26 |
| 4 | TEC | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 36 | 21 | 24 |
| 5 | Excelsior '31 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 28 | 16 | 22 |
| 6 | Genemuiden | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 18 | 22 |
| 7 | Sportlust '46 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 17 | 22 |
| 8 | Purmersteijn | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 25 | 18 | 21 |
| 9 | Sparta Nijkerk | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 23 | 18 |
| 10 | ADO '20 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 24 | 17 |
| 11 | USV Hercules | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 25 | 16 |
| 12 | Hoogeveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 26 | 27 | 14 |
| 13 | VV Eemdijk | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 13 |
| 14 | DVS'33 Ermelo | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 25 | 9 |
| 15 | Staphorst | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 28 | 9 |
| 16 | DOVO | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 28 | 7 |
| 17 | HVV Hollandia | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 33 | 5 |
| 18 | SV Zwaluwen Wierden | 12 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 14 | 35 | 1 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | ACV Assen | ADO '20 |
|---|---|---|
| Excelsior '31 | 3-0 W | 3-1 W |
| DOVO | 1-1 D | 3-1 W |
| Hoogeveen | 4-1 W | 1-5 L |
| Purmersteijn | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| VV Scherpenzeel | 2-4 L | 0-1 L |
| SV Zwaluwen Wierden | 4-0 W | 6-4 W |
| Staphorst | 3-2 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 1 L | 3 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: ACV Assen (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
ACV Assen
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Excelsior '31 Netherlands Derde Divisie |
0-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 24/10 | DOVO Netherlands Derde Divisie |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 17/10 | Hoogeveen Netherlands Derde Divisie |
2-0 | 4-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 10/10 | Purmersteijn Netherlands Derde Divisie |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 03/10 | VV Scherpenzeel Netherlands Derde Divisie |
1-3 | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 26/09 | SV Zwaluwen Wierden Netherlands Derde Divisie |
2-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 19/09 | Staphorst Netherlands Derde Divisie |
3-0 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 12/09 | VV Eemdijk Netherlands Derde Divisie |
2-1 | 5-1 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 05/09 | USV Hercules Netherlands Derde Divisie |
0-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 29/08 | DVS'33 Ermelo Netherlands Derde Divisie |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 5 | D |
ADO '20
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Harkemase Boys Netherlands Derde Divisie |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 24/10 | Genemuiden Netherlands Derde Divisie |
1-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 17/10 | Sportlust '46 Netherlands Derde Divisie |
1-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 10/10 | Excelsior '31 Netherlands Derde Divisie |
1-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 03/10 | DOVO Netherlands Derde Divisie |
1-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 27/09 | Hoogeveen Netherlands Derde Divisie |
1-2 | 1-5 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 20/09 | Purmersteijn Netherlands Derde Divisie |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 13/09 | VV Scherpenzeel Netherlands Derde Divisie |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 05/09 | SV Zwaluwen Wierden Netherlands Derde Divisie |
2-3 | 6-4 | – | – | W |
| 29/08 | Staphorst Netherlands Derde Divisie |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in ACV Assen vs ADO '20?
According to our model, the most likely result is a ACV Assen win (61%). Probabilities: ACV Assen 61%, draw 20%, ADO '20 18%.
How many goals are expected in ACV Assen vs ADO '20?
The model expects 3.51 goals (ACV Assen 2.3 · ADO '20 1.21), with a 51% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in ACV Assen vs ADO '20?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.