Football · Netherlands Derde Divisie · 14/11, 19:00

Prediction: Roosendaal vs VV Goes

Team pages: Roosendaal · VV Goes

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.4Total

Roosendaal2.55

VV Goes1.85

1X2

53% 20% 28%

Roosendaal Draw VV Goes

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 63%

Most likely score

2-1 7%

Recent form · 10 last

Roosendaal 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LLWLLWLLDD

VV Goes 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LDWWWLLLLW

Head-to-head

Roosendaal 2–0 VV Goes (2 last)

VV Goes1-4Roosendaal
Roosendaal3-0VV Goes

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Roosendaal 1470 · VV Goes 1459

	Roosendaal	Draw	VV Goes
Our model	53%	20%	27%
Market	53%	19%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 4.4 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 84%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Roosendaal: 2-0-0.
High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Roosendaal	VV Goes
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 2.5	2 / 2.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1.5 / 1.3	0.8 / 1.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/10/60%	30/10/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 6	2.5 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0	2.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.73

X4.75

23.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.90

2 (+0.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 41.82

Under 41.98

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 4.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73
X	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75
2	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
14:46 +26’	1.73	4.75	3.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Roosendaal 2–0–0 VV Goes

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/01/26 Netherlands Derde Divisie	VV Goes	1-4 HT 0-1	Roosendaal
31/08/25 Netherlands Derde Divisie	Roosendaal	3-0 HT 3-0	VV Goes

Standings · Netherlands Derde Divisie · Derde Divisie 26/27, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Lisse	12	10	1	1	30	8	31
2	Noordwijk	12	10	1	1	26	4	31
3	Excelsior Maassluis	12	8	2	2	23	10	26
4	Rijnvogels	12	7	3	2	32	16	24
5	Zwaluwen	12	7	1	4	16	16	22
6	SV Poortugaal	12	7	0	5	20	16	21
7	RKSV UDI '19	12	6	2	4	22	13	20
8	VV Goes	12	5	2	5	25	29	17
9	VV Gemert	11	4	4	3	17	18	16
10	VV Dongen	12	5	1	6	24	26	16
11	Blauw Geel '38	12	4	3	5	16	17	15
12	TOGB	12	3	3	6	19	26	12
13	Roosendaal	11	3	2	6	21	26	11
14	VV UNA	12	2	5	5	15	21	11
15	VVSB	12	3	2	7	16	25	11
16	Groene Ster	12	2	3	7	15	32	9
17	Achilles Veen	12	2	0	10	10	30	6
18	EVV Echt	12	0	3	9	11	25	3

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Roosendaal	VV Goes
Rijnvogels	3-3 D	1-4 L
Blauw Geel '38	1-3 L	2-2 D
Achilles Veen	3-0 W	4-1 W
Noordwijk	0-1 L	2-3 L
FC Lisse	0-1 L	2-6 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 3 L	1 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Roosendaal (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Roosendaal

LLWLLWLLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Rijnvogels Netherlands Derde Divisie	3-0	3-3	–	–	D
18/10	EVV Echt Netherlands Derde Divisie	2-3	3-3	3	3	D
10/10	Zwaluwen Netherlands Derde Divisie	1-3	2-4	–	–	L
03/10	TOGB Netherlands Derde Divisie	3-3	3-4	–	–	L
26/09	VVSB Netherlands Derde Divisie	3-0	3-1	–	–	W
19/09	Excelsior Maassluis Netherlands Derde Divisie	0-1	0-5	–	–	L
12/09	Blauw Geel '38 Netherlands Derde Divisie	0-1	1-3	5	5	L
05/09	Achilles Veen Netherlands Derde Divisie	3-0	3-0	10	0	W
29/08	Noordwijk Netherlands Derde Divisie	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
22/08	FC Lisse Netherlands Derde Divisie	0-1	0-1	–	–	L

VV Goes

LDWWWLLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Achilles Veen Netherlands Derde Divisie	0-1	4-1	–	–	W
24/10	Noordwijk Netherlands Derde Divisie	0-3	2-3	–	–	L
18/10	FC Lisse Netherlands Derde Divisie	1-2	2-6	1	2	L
11/10	Groene Ster Netherlands Derde Divisie	1-1	1-2	10	1	L
04/10	RKSV UDI '19 Netherlands Derde Divisie	0-2	0-4	7	3	L
26/09	SV Poortugaal Netherlands Derde Divisie	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
20/09	VV UNA Netherlands Derde Divisie	2-0	2-1	7	0	W
13/09	VV Dongen Netherlands Derde Divisie	2-0	3-2	–	–	W
06/09	Blauw Geel '38 Netherlands Derde Divisie	1-2	2-2	4	6	D
30/08	Rijnvogels Netherlands Derde Divisie	0-3	1-4	5	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Roosendaal vs VV Goes?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Roosendaal win (53%). Probabilities: Roosendaal 53%, draw 20%, VV Goes 28%.

How many goals are expected in Roosendaal vs VV Goes?

The model expects 4.4 goals (Roosendaal 2.55 · VV Goes 1.85), with a 54% chance of over 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Roosendaal vs VV Goes?

The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.