Football · Netherlands Derde Divisie · 08/11, 14:30

Prediction: VV UNA vs FC Lisse

Team pages: VV UNA · FC Lisse

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.06Total

VV UNA1.11

FC Lisse1.95

1X2

21% 22% 57%

VV UNA Draw FC Lisse

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

VV UNA 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

DWDLLDDLLW

FC Lisse 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWLDWWWW

Head-to-head

VV UNA 0–1–2 FC Lisse (3 last)

VV UNA0-2FC Lisse
FC Lisse1-1VV UNA
VV UNA1-4FC Lisse

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · VV UNA 1470 · FC Lisse 1591

	VV UNA	Draw	FC Lisse
Our model	20%	24%	56%
Market	22%	21%	58%

Estimated total (ours) 3.06 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Lisse (rating 1470 vs 1591).
H2H favours FC Lisse: 2-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	VV UNA	FC Lisse
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.6	2.2 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.8	1.2 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	70/10/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 2.9	4 / 6.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0	2.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

14.10

X4.33

21.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)1.95

2 (-1)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.90

Under 3.51.90

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:43

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10
X	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
2	1.55 → 1.55	Bet365 1.55

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
15:33 +10’	4.10	4.33	1.55

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · VV UNA 0–1–2 FC Lisse

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/26 Netherlands Derde Divisie	VV UNA	0-2 HT 0-1	FC Lisse
29/11/25 Netherlands Derde Divisie	FC Lisse	1-1 HT 1-0	VV UNA
08/09/24 Netherlands Derde Divisie	VV UNA	1-4 HT 0-2	FC Lisse

Standings · Netherlands Derde Divisie · Derde Divisie 26/27, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Noordwijk	11	9	1	1	25	4	28
2	FC Lisse	11	9	1	1	26	8	28
3	Excelsior Maassluis	11	8	2	1	22	7	26
4	Rijnvogels	11	7	2	2	29	13	23
5	RKSV UDI '19	11	6	2	3	22	12	20
6	Zwaluwen	11	6	1	4	15	16	19
7	SV Poortugaal	11	6	0	5	15	16	18
8	VV Dongen	11	5	1	5	24	25	16
9	VV Goes	11	4	2	5	21	28	14
10	VV Gemert	10	3	4	3	14	17	13
11	Blauw Geel '38	11	3	3	5	15	17	12
12	TOGB	11	3	3	5	19	25	12
13	VV UNA	11	2	5	4	15	17	11
14	Roosendaal	10	3	1	6	18	23	10
15	Groene Ster	11	2	3	6	15	27	9
16	VVSB	11	2	2	7	15	25	8
17	Achilles Veen	11	2	0	9	9	26	6
18	EVV Echt	11	0	3	8	11	24	3

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	VV UNA	FC Lisse
VV Dongen	2-2 D	4-0 W
VV Goes	1-2 L	6-2 W
Rijnvogels	1-4 L	2-0 W
VV Gemert	1-1 D	2-0 W
EVV Echt	4-1 W	1-1 D
Zwaluwen	1-1 D	0-1 L
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 2 L	4 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FC Lisse (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

VV UNA

DWDLLDDLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Groene Ster Netherlands Derde Divisie	1-1	3-1	3	6	W
18/10	RKSV UDI '19 Netherlands Derde Divisie	0-1	0-2	4	4	L
10/10	SV Poortugaal Netherlands Derde Divisie	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
04/10	Blauw Geel '38 Netherlands Derde Divisie	0-0	1-1	0	2	D
27/09	VV Dongen Netherlands Derde Divisie	2-0	2-2	3	4	D
20/09	VV Goes Netherlands Derde Divisie	0-2	1-2	4	0	L
13/09	Rijnvogels Netherlands Derde Divisie	1-1	1-4	–	–	L
06/09	VV Gemert Netherlands Derde Divisie	1-1	1-1	3	3	D
30/08	EVV Echt Netherlands Derde Divisie	3-1	4-1	3	4	W
22/08	Zwaluwen Netherlands Derde Divisie	0-0	1-1	–	–	D

FC Lisse

WWWWLDWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	VV Dongen Netherlands Derde Divisie	3-0	4-0	5	3	W
18/10	VV Goes Netherlands Derde Divisie	2-1	6-2	8	2	W
10/10	Rijnvogels Netherlands Derde Divisie	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
04/10	VV Gemert Netherlands Derde Divisie	2-0	2-0	7	3	W
26/09	EVV Echt Netherlands Derde Divisie	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
19/09	Zwaluwen Netherlands Derde Divisie	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
12/09	TOGB Netherlands Derde Divisie	1-2	3-2	–	–	W
05/09	VVSB Netherlands Derde Divisie	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
29/08	Excelsior Maassluis Netherlands Derde Divisie	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
22/08	Roosendaal Netherlands Derde Divisie	1-0	1-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in VV UNA vs FC Lisse?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Lisse win (57%). Probabilities: VV UNA 21%, draw 22%, FC Lisse 57%.

How many goals are expected in VV UNA vs FC Lisse?

The model expects 3.06 goals (VV UNA 1.11 · FC Lisse 1.95), with a 56% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in VV UNA vs FC Lisse?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.