Football · Netherlands Derde Divisie · 15/11, 14:30

Prediction: Groene Ster vs RKSV UDI '19

Team pages: Groene Ster · RKSV UDI '19

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.77Total

Groene Ster1.59

RKSV UDI '192.18

1X2

28% 22% 51%

Groene Ster Draw RKSV UDI '19

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Groene Ster 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

DDWDLLWLLL

RKSV UDI '19 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WLWDLWWWLL

Head-to-head

Groene Ster 2–2–0 RKSV UDI '19 (4 last)

RKSV UDI '192-2Groene Ster
Groene Ster3-1RKSV UDI '19
Groene Ster3-0RKSV UDI '19
RKSV UDI '190-0Groene Ster

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Groene Ster 1431 · RKSV UDI '19 1503

	Groene Ster	Draw	RKSV UDI '19
Our model	27%	22%	50%
Market	28%	21%	51%

Estimated total (ours) 3.77 goals · Bet365 line 3.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours RKSV UDI '19 (rating 1431 vs 1503).
H2H favours Groene Ster: 2-2-0.
High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Groene Ster	RKSV UDI '19
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 2.6	1.9 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1	0.9 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 4.8	3 / 6.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0	2.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.20

X4.20

21.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.80

2 (-0.75)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.98

Under 3.751.82

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	1.75 → 1.75	Bet365 1.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.2%

Time*	1	X	2
14:23 +51’	3.20	4.20	1.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Groene Ster 2–2–0 RKSV UDI '19

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
25/01/26 Netherlands Derde Divisie	RKSV UDI '19	2-2 HT 2-1	Groene Ster
31/08/25 Netherlands Derde Divisie	Groene Ster	3-1 HT 1-0	RKSV UDI '19
07/05/23 Netherlands Derde Divisie	Groene Ster	3-0 HT 3-0	RKSV UDI '19
13/11/22 Netherlands Derde Divisie	RKSV UDI '19	0-0 HT 0-0	Groene Ster

Standings · Netherlands Derde Divisie · Derde Divisie 26/27, Group B

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Lisse	12	10	1	1	30	8	31
2	Noordwijk	12	10	1	1	26	4	31
3	Excelsior Maassluis	12	8	2	2	23	10	26
4	Rijnvogels	12	7	3	2	32	16	24
5	Zwaluwen	12	7	1	4	16	16	22
6	SV Poortugaal	12	7	0	5	20	16	21
7	RKSV UDI '19	12	6	2	4	22	13	20
8	VV Goes	12	5	2	5	25	29	17
9	VV Gemert	11	4	4	3	17	18	16
10	VV Dongen	12	5	1	6	24	26	16
11	Blauw Geel '38	12	4	3	5	16	17	15
12	TOGB	12	3	3	6	19	26	12
13	Roosendaal	11	3	2	6	21	26	11
14	VV UNA	12	2	5	5	15	21	11
15	VVSB	12	3	2	7	16	25	11
16	Groene Ster	12	2	3	7	15	32	9
17	Achilles Veen	12	2	0	10	10	30	6
18	EVV Echt	12	0	3	9	11	25	3

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Groene Ster	RKSV UDI '19
SV Poortugaal	0-5 L	2-3 L
VV UNA	1-3 L	2-0 W
VV Dongen	0-3 L	4-0 W
VV Goes	2-1 W	4-0 W
Rijnvogels	1-5 L	0-4 L
VV Gemert	1-2 L	1-1 D
EVV Echt	1-1 D	4-1 W
Zwaluwen	1-0 W	0-1 L
TOGB	3-3 D	2-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 5 L	5 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: RKSV UDI '19 (7 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Groene Ster

DDWDLLWLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	SV Poortugaal Netherlands Derde Divisie	0-4	0-5	–	–	L
25/10	VV UNA Netherlands Derde Divisie	1-1	1-3	6	6	L
18/10	VV Dongen Netherlands Derde Divisie	0-1	0-3	–	–	L
11/10	VV Goes Netherlands Derde Divisie	1-1	2-1	5	1	W
03/10	Rijnvogels Netherlands Derde Divisie	0-2	1-5	–	–	L
27/09	VV Gemert Netherlands Derde Divisie	0-0	1-2	6	4	L
19/09	EVV Echt Netherlands Derde Divisie	0-0	1-1	6	4	D
12/09	Zwaluwen Netherlands Derde Divisie	1-0	1-0	2	5	W
05/09	TOGB Netherlands Derde Divisie	0-1	3-3	–	–	D
30/08	VVSB Netherlands Derde Divisie	1-0	3-3	4	2	D

RKSV UDI '19

WLWDLWWWLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Blauw Geel '38 Netherlands Derde Divisie	0-1	0-1	7	2	L
24/10	SV Poortugaal Netherlands Derde Divisie	1-1	2-3	–	–	L
18/10	VV UNA Netherlands Derde Divisie	1-0	2-0	2	4	W
11/10	VV Dongen Netherlands Derde Divisie	1-0	4-0	8	4	W
04/10	VV Goes Netherlands Derde Divisie	2-0	4-0	4	3	W
27/09	Rijnvogels Netherlands Derde Divisie	0-2	0-4	–	–	L
20/09	VV Gemert Netherlands Derde Divisie	1-1	1-1	4	1	D
13/09	EVV Echt Netherlands Derde Divisie	3-0	4-1	12	1	W
05/09	Zwaluwen Netherlands Derde Divisie	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
30/08	TOGB Netherlands Derde Divisie	0-1	2-1	9	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Groene Ster vs RKSV UDI '19?

According to our model, the most likely result is an RKSV UDI '19 win (51%). Probabilities: Groene Ster 28%, draw 22%, RKSV UDI '19 51%.

How many goals are expected in Groene Ster vs RKSV UDI '19?

The model expects 3.77 goals (Groene Ster 1.59 · RKSV UDI '19 2.18), with a 53% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Groene Ster vs RKSV UDI '19?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.