Prediction: Excelsior Maassluis vs EVV Echt

Team pages: Excelsior Maassluis

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.53Total
Excelsior Maassluis2.41
EVV Echt1.12
1X2
65% 19% 16%
Excelsior Maassluis Draw EVV Echt
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
2-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Excelsior Maassluis 7-2-1 (W-D-L)
DWLDWWWWWW
EVV Echt 0-3-7 (W-D-L)
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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Excelsior Maassluis 1601 · EVV Echt 1442
Excelsior MaassluisDrawEVV Echt
Our model65%20%15%
Market66%18%16%
Estimated total (ours) 3.53 goals · Bet365 line 4 · -0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Excelsior Maassluis (rating 1601 vs 1442).
  • High corners: 10.5 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Excelsior MaassluisEVV Echt
Goals for / against (FT)2.1 / 0.71.1 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.20.4 / 1.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)70/20/10%10/20/70%
Corners (HT / FT)2.3 / 61.8 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)1.3 / 02.7 / 0

Standings · Netherlands Derde Divisie · Derde Divisie 26/27, Group B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Noordwijk 10811 22225
2 FC Lisse 10811 22825
3 Excelsior Maassluis 10721 21723
4 Rijnvogels 10622 251220
5 RKSV UDI '19 10622 20920
6 VV Dongen 10514 242116
7 Zwaluwen 10514 111416
8 SV Poortugaal 10505 121415
9 VV Goes 10424 192514
10 VV Gemert 10343 141713
11 Blauw Geel '38 10334 141412
12 Roosendaal 10316 182310
13 TOGB 10235 16249
14 Groene Ster 10235 14249
15 VV UNA 10154 12168
16 VVSB 10226 13218
17 Achilles Veen 10208 8226
18 EVV Echt 10037 11233

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentExcelsior MaassluisEVV Echt
Roosendaal 5-0 W 3-3 D
Achilles Veen 3-2 W 0-1 L
Noordwijk 0-0 D 0-2 L
FC Lisse 0-1 L 1-1 D
Groene Ster 3-1 W 1-1 D
RKSV UDI '19 1-1 D 1-4 L
Record vs common 3 W 2 D 1 L 0 W 3 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Excelsior Maassluis (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Excelsior Maassluis

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/10 Zwaluwen
Netherlands Derde Divisie
1-0 2-0 –– W
10/10 TOGB
Netherlands Derde Divisie
1-0 3-0 31 W
03/10 VVSB
Netherlands Derde Divisie
2-1 3-2 –– W
26/09 Blauw Geel '38
Netherlands Derde Divisie
0-0 1-0 –– W
19/09 Roosendaal
Netherlands Derde Divisie
1-0 5-0 –– W
12/09 Achilles Veen
Netherlands Derde Divisie
1-0 3-2 –– W
05/09 Noordwijk
Netherlands Derde Divisie
0-0 0-0 81 D
29/08 FC Lisse
Netherlands Derde Divisie
0-1 0-1 –– L
22/08 Groene Ster
Netherlands Derde Divisie
1-0 3-1 –– W
15/08 RKSV UDI '19
Netherlands Derde Divisie
1-0 1-1 72 D

EVV Echt

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/10 Roosendaal
Netherlands Derde Divisie
3-2 3-3 43 D
10/10 Achilles Veen
Netherlands Derde Divisie
0-1 0-1 –– L
03/10 Noordwijk
Netherlands Derde Divisie
0-0 0-2 21 L
26/09 FC Lisse
Netherlands Derde Divisie
0-1 1-1 –– D
19/09 Groene Ster
Netherlands Derde Divisie
0-0 1-1 74 D
13/09 RKSV UDI '19
Netherlands Derde Divisie
0-3 1-4 61 L
05/09 SV Poortugaal
Netherlands Derde Divisie
0-1 0-1 33 L
30/08 VV UNA
Netherlands Derde Divisie
1-3 1-4 54 L
23/08 VV Dongen
Netherlands Derde Divisie
0-1 2-3 –– L
16/08 VV Goes
Netherlands Derde Divisie
0-2 2-3 –– L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Excelsior Maassluis vs EVV Echt?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Excelsior Maassluis win (65%). Probabilities: Excelsior Maassluis 65%, draw 19%, EVV Echt 16%.

How many goals are expected in Excelsior Maassluis vs EVV Echt?

The model expects 3.53 goals (Excelsior Maassluis 2.41 · EVV Echt 1.12), with a 58% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Excelsior Maassluis vs EVV Echt?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.