Football · South Korea Cup · 15/07, 12:00
Prediction: Namyangju FC vs Gimpo FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.76Total
Namyangju FC0.69
Gimpo FC2.08
1X2
Namyangju FC
Draw
Gimpo FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
0-2
Recent form · 10 last
Namyangju FC
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Gimpo FC
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Namyangju FC 1508 · Gimpo FC 1515
| Namyangju FC | Draw | Gimpo FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 10% | 21% | 69% |
| Market | 11% | 19% | 70% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.76 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Namyangju FC | Gimpo FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.7 | 1.1 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.7 | 0.6 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 3.4 | 1.8 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.2 | 3.7 / 0.4 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Namyangju FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Haman South Korea K4 League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 05/07 | Seoul Jungnang FC South Korea Cup |
2-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 28/06 | Jincheon HR South Korea K4 League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 20/06 | Pyeongchang United South Korea K4 League |
2-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 07/06 | Geoje Citizen FC South Korea K4 League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 30/05 | Sejong SA South Korea K4 League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 16/05 | Geumsan Insam South Korea K4 League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 09/05 | Gijang United South Korea K4 League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 06/05 | Ulsan Citizen FC South Korea K3/K4 Championship |
3-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 03/05 | Pyeongtaek Citizen FC South Korea K4 League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
Gimpo FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Busan I Park South Korea K League 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 05/07 | Chungnam Asan FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 07/06 | Jeonnam Dragons South Korea K League 2 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 30/05 | Gimhae FC 2008 South Korea K League 2 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 25/05 | Paju Frontier FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 16/05 | Ansan Greeners FC South Korea K League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | Chungbuk Cheongju South Korea K League 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 03/05 | Seoul E-Land FC South Korea K League 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 8 | L |
| 26/04 | Suwon FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 19/04 | Hwaseong FC South Korea K League 2 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Namyangju FC vs Gimpo FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Gimpo FC win (69%). Probabilities: Namyangju FC 11%, draw 20%, Gimpo FC 69%.
How many goals are expected in Namyangju FC vs Gimpo FC?
The model expects 2.76 goals (Namyangju FC 0.69 · Gimpo FC 2.08), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Namyangju FC vs Gimpo FC?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.