Football · Belgium First Amateur Division · 17/10, 20:00

Prediction: Tubize vs RFC Meux

Team pages: Tubize · RFC Meux

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.76Total

Tubize1.63

RFC Meux1.13

1X2

48% 26% 26%

Tubize Draw RFC Meux

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Tubize 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

DWWWLDWDWL

RFC Meux 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LDLWWWLWDL

Head-to-head

Tubize 2–2–0 RFC Meux (4 last)

RFC Meux2-2Tubize
Tubize1-0RFC Meux
RFC Meux0-0Tubize
Tubize4-1RFC Meux

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tubize 1528 · RFC Meux 1493

	Tubize	Draw	RFC Meux
Our model	48%	27%	25%
Market	49%	25%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.76 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Tubize: 2-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Tubize	RFC Meux
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.4	1.2 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.5	0.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4.8	1.6 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0.3	4.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.83

X3.60

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.88

2 (+0.5)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.93

Under 2.751.88

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	3.40 → 3.40	Pinn 3.89 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
05:08 +7’	1.83	3.60	3.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
05:39 +35’	1.81	3.54	3.89
11:33 +36’	1.80▼	3.58▲	3.89

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Tubize 2–2–0 RFC Meux

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/05/26 Belgium First Amateur Division	RFC Meux	2-2 HT 1-1	Tubize
28/02/26 Belgium First Amateur Division	Tubize	1-0 HT 0-0	RFC Meux
15/02/26 Belgium First Amateur Division	RFC Meux	0-0 HT 0-0	Tubize
20/09/25 Belgium First Amateur Division	Tubize	4-1 HT 2-1	RFC Meux

Standings · Belgium First Amateur Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	RWD Molenbeek	8	6	1	1	13	7	19
2	Union Rochefortoise	8	5	2	1	17	7	17
3	RFC Meux	8	5	1	2	15	8	16
4	Union Saint Gilloise II	8	4	2	2	15	10	14
5	Tubize	8	4	2	2	11	10	14
6	RAEC Mons	8	3	2	3	18	15	11
7	Standard Liege II	8	3	1	4	12	7	10
8	Sporting Charleroi U23	8	2	4	2	9	8	10
9	ROC Charleroi	8	2	3	3	10	17	9
10	RSC Habay	8	1	3	4	7	12	6
11	RCS Onhaye	8	2	0	6	10	20	6
12	FC Flenu	8	0	1	7	10	26	1

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Tubize	RFC Meux
RWD Molenbeek	1-2 L	0-1 L
Union Saint Gilloise II	1-1 D	2-1 W
ROC Charleroi	3-1 W	1-1 D
RAEC Mons	2-2 D	0-3 L
Union Rochefortoise	1-4 L	0-3 L
Standard Liege II	1-0 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Tubize (2 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tubize

DWWWLDWDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	RWD Molenbeek Belgium First Amateur Division	0-2	1-2	5	5	L
03/10	RSC Habay Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	1-0	7	7	W
26/09	Union Saint Gilloise II Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	1-1	5	6	D
19/09	ROC Charleroi Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	3-1	4	2	W
12/09	RAEC Mons Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	2-2	4	4	D
05/09	Union Rochefortoise Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	1-4	5	5	L
30/08	Standard Liege II Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	1-0	2	5	W
26/08	Sporting Charleroi U23 Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	1-0	1	6	W
10/05	Union Rochefortoise Belgium First Amateur Division	1-1	3-2	10	5	W
03/05	RFC Meux Belgium First Amateur Division	1-1	2-2	–	–	D

RFC Meux

LDLWWWLWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Union Rochefortoise Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	0-3	8	6	L
03/10	ROC Charleroi Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	1-1	1	6	D
26/09	RCS Onhaye Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	2-1	6	4	W
19/09	RWD Molenbeek Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	0-1	7	0	L
13/09	FC Flenu Belgium First Amateur Division	3-0	4-1	2	5	W
06/09	Standard Liege II Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	1-0	2	6	W
29/08	Union Saint Gilloise II Belgium First Amateur Division	2-1	2-1	3	4	W
10/05	RAEC Mons Belgium First Amateur Division	0-2	0-3	2	4	L
03/05	Tubize Belgium First Amateur Division	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
25/04	Excelsior Virton Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	0-2	6	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tubize vs RFC Meux?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Tubize win (48%). Probabilities: Tubize 48%, draw 26%, RFC Meux 26%.

How many goals are expected in Tubize vs RFC Meux?

The model expects 2.76 goals (Tubize 1.63 · RFC Meux 1.13), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Tubize vs RFC Meux?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.