Football · Belgium First Amateur Division · 24/10, 19:30

Prediction: Dessel Sport vs OH Leuven II

Team pages: Dessel Sport · OH Leuven II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.79Total

Dessel Sport1.84

OH Leuven II1.95

1X2

37% 23% 41%

Dessel Sport Draw OH Leuven II

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Dessel Sport 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DLWDLWDWLL

OH Leuven II 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWLWWWWLDW

Head-to-head

Dessel Sport 2–1–3 OH Leuven II (6 last)

OH Leuven II3-0Dessel Sport
Dessel Sport4-1OH Leuven II
Dessel Sport4-1OH Leuven II
OH Leuven II3-2Dessel Sport
OH Leuven II1-1Dessel Sport
Dessel Sport1-2OH Leuven II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dessel Sport 1499 · OH Leuven II 1547

	Dessel Sport	Draw	OH Leuven II
Our model	36%	23%	41%
Market	37%	22%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 3.79 goals · Bet365 line 3.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours OH Leuven II (rating 1499 vs 1547).
H2H favours OH Leuven II: 3-1-2.
High corners: 11 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Dessel Sport	OH Leuven II
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 2	2.5 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.9	1.3 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 5.7	2.3 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.9 / 0	3.4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.45

X4.00

22.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.00

2 (0)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.95

Under 3.751.85

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.45 → 2.45	Pinn 2.63 ★
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.20 → 2.20	Pinn 2.24

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
06:56 +18’	2.45	4.00	2.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
09:32 +41’	2.63	3.78	2.24

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Dessel Sport 2–1–3 OH Leuven II

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
01/03/26 Belgium First Amateur Division	OH Leuven II	3-0 HT 2-0	Dessel Sport
31/10/25 Belgium First Amateur Division	Dessel Sport	4-1 HT 1-0	OH Leuven II
12/04/25 Belgium First Amateur Division	Dessel Sport	4-1 HT 3-1	OH Leuven II
03/11/24 Belgium First Amateur Division	OH Leuven II	3-2 HT 0-0	Dessel Sport
10/03/24 Belgium First Amateur Division	OH Leuven II	1-1 HT 1-0	Dessel Sport
11/11/23 Belgium First Amateur Division	Dessel Sport	1-2 HT 1-1	OH Leuven II

Standings · Belgium First Amateur Division

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	RFC Meux	9	6	1	2	16	8	19
2	RWD Molenbeek	9	6	1	2	14	10	19
3	Union Rochefortoise	8	5	2	1	17	7	17
4	Union Saint Gilloise II	9	5	2	2	17	10	17
5	Tubize	9	4	2	3	11	11	14
6	Standard Liege II	9	4	1	4	13	7	13
7	ROC Charleroi	9	3	3	3	13	18	12
8	RAEC Mons	8	3	2	3	18	15	11
9	Sporting Charleroi U23	9	2	4	3	9	10	10
10	RSC Habay	8	1	3	4	7	12	6
11	RCS Onhaye	8	2	0	6	10	20	6
12	FC Flenu	9	0	1	8	10	27	1

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Dessel Sport	OH Leuven II
KRC Harelbeke	4-0 W	4-1 W
Cercle Brugge Reserves	3-1 W	4-0 W
KVC Houtvenne	0-5 L	1-3 L
Tienen	4-3 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 1 L	3 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: OH Leuven II (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Dessel Sport

DLWDLWDWLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Belisia Bilzen SV Belgium First Amateur Division	2-2	3-4	7	2	L
10/10	SK Roeselare Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	0-2	4	1	L
03/10	KRC Harelbeke Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	4-0	8	1	W
30/09	KFC Merelbeke Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	1-1	5	1	D
19/09	Cercle Brugge Reserves Belgium First Amateur Division	1-1	3-1	5	1	W
11/09	KVC Houtvenne Belgium First Amateur Division	0-2	0-5	4	4	L
05/09	Hoogstraten VV Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	1-1	11	2	D
30/08	Tienen Belgium First Amateur Division	3-2	4-3	7	3	W
26/04	Sporting Hasselt Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	0-1	1	2	L
18/04	Cercle Brugge Reserves Belgium First Amateur Division	2-1	2-2	5	2	D

OH Leuven II

WWLWWWWLDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	KRC Harelbeke Belgium First Amateur Division	2-0	4-1	11	4	W
11/10	KSK Heist Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	0-0	4	7	D
04/10	Royal Knokke Belgium First Amateur Division	1-3	2-3	7	5	L
27/09	K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	3-1	5	4	W
19/09	KVV Thes Sport Belgium First Amateur Division	2-0	3-2	1	5	W
13/09	KVV Zelzate Belgium First Amateur Division	3-1	4-3	8	2	W
06/09	Tienen Belgium First Amateur Division	1-1	2-1	4	1	W
29/08	KVC Houtvenne Belgium First Amateur Division	0-3	1-3	2	4	L
26/04	Cercle Brugge Reserves Belgium First Amateur Division	2-0	4-0	–	–	W
19/04	K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	2-0	6	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dessel Sport vs OH Leuven II?

According to our model, the most likely result is an OH Leuven II win (41%). Probabilities: Dessel Sport 37%, draw 23%, OH Leuven II 41%.

How many goals are expected in Dessel Sport vs OH Leuven II?

The model expects 3.79 goals (Dessel Sport 1.84 · OH Leuven II 1.95), with a 52% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Dessel Sport vs OH Leuven II?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.