Football · Belgium First Amateur Division · 11/10, 15:00

Prediction: RSC Habay vs RAEC Mons

Team pages: RSC Habay · RAEC Mons

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.31Total

RSC Habay0.9

RAEC Mons1.41

1X2

23% 30% 48%

RSC Habay Draw RAEC Mons

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

RSC Habay 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLDWDL

RAEC Mons 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

DWWDLWDWWL

Head-to-head

RSC Habay 0–2–2 RAEC Mons (4 last)

RSC Habay0-1RAEC Mons
RAEC Mons0-0RSC Habay
RSC Habay0-0RAEC Mons
RAEC Mons2-0RSC Habay

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours RAEC Mons (rating 1428 vs 1559).
H2H favours RAEC Mons: 2-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	RSC Habay	RAEC Mons
Goals for / against (FT)	0.6 / 1.7	2 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.6	0.8 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.8	2.1 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.3	5.4 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.82

Under 2.51.97

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:27

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	5.70 → 5.70	Pinn 5.70
X	4.03 → 4.03	Pinn 4.03
2	1.50 → 1.50	Pinn 1.50

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
15:39 +49’	5.70	4.03	1.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · RSC Habay 0–2–2 RAEC Mons

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
03/05/26 Belgium First Amateur Division	RSC Habay	0-1 HT 0-0	RAEC Mons
21/03/26 Belgium First Amateur Division	RAEC Mons	0-0 HT 0-0	RSC Habay
25/01/26 Belgium First Amateur Division	RSC Habay	0-0 HT 0-0	RAEC Mons
18/10/25 Belgium First Amateur Division	RAEC Mons	2-0 HT 1-0	RSC Habay

Standings · Belgium First Amateur Division

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	RFC Meux	7	5	1	1	15	5	16
2	RWD Molenbeek	7	5	1	1	11	6	16
3	Union Rochefortoise	7	4	2	1	14	7	14
4	Tubize	7	4	2	1	10	8	14
5	Union Saint Gilloise II	7	3	2	2	10	8	11
6	RAEC Mons	7	3	1	3	16	13	10
7	Sporting Charleroi U23	7	2	3	2	8	7	9
8	ROC Charleroi	7	2	2	3	9	16	8
9	Standard Liege II	7	2	1	4	8	6	7
10	RCS Onhaye	7	2	0	5	9	16	6
11	RSC Habay	7	1	2	4	5	10	5
12	FC Flenu	7	0	1	6	8	21	1

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	RSC Habay	RAEC Mons
Tubize	0-1 L	2-2 D
Sporting Charleroi U23	0-0 D	0-1 L
FC Flenu	2-1 W	4-0 W
Standard Liege II	0-0 D	2-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

RSC Habay

LLLLLLDWDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Tubize Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	0-1	4	7	L
30/09	Sporting Charleroi U23 Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	0-0	4	3	D
20/09	FC Flenu Belgium First Amateur Division	2-0	2-1	5	3	W
13/09	Standard Liege II Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	0-0	11	2	D
05/09	Union Saint Gilloise II Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	0-2	5	7	L
29/08	Union Rochefortoise Belgium First Amateur Division	1-2	2-4	4	5	L
26/08	RWD Molenbeek Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	1-2	9	6	L
10/05	Excelsior Virton Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	0-2	3	2	L
03/05	RAEC Mons Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	0-1	1	5	L
25/04	Union Rochefortoise Belgium First Amateur Division	0-2	1-4	2	5	L

RAEC Mons

DWWDLWDWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/10	Standard Liege II Belgium First Amateur Division	2-2	2-3	6	10	L
03/10	FC Flenu Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	4-0	5	5	W
20/09	RCS Onhaye Belgium First Amateur Division	2-1	5-2	3	7	W
12/09	Tubize Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	2-2	7	4	D
05/09	ROC Charleroi Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	3-0	6	5	W
30/08	Sporting Charleroi U23 Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	0-1	4	6	L
26/08	RFC Meux Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	0-0	7	6	D
10/05	RFC Meux Belgium First Amateur Division	2-0	3-0	3	4	W
03/05	RSC Habay Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	1-0	3	5	W
25/04	Tubize Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	0-0	2	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in RSC Habay vs RAEC Mons?

According to our model, the most likely result is an RAEC Mons win (48%). Probabilities: RSC Habay 23%, draw 30%, RAEC Mons 48%.

How many goals are expected in RSC Habay vs RAEC Mons?

The model expects 2.31 goals (RSC Habay 0.9 · RAEC Mons 1.41), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in RSC Habay vs RAEC Mons?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.