Football · Belgium First Amateur Division · 17/10, 19:30
Prediction: Dessel Sport vs Belisia Bilzen SV
Team pages: Dessel Sport · Belisia Bilzen SV
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.47Total
Dessel Sport1.91
Belisia Bilzen SV1.56
1X2
Dessel Sport
Draw
Belisia Bilzen SV
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Dessel Sport
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Belisia Bilzen SV
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Dessel Sport
2–1–1
Belisia Bilzen SV
(4 last)
- Belisia Bilzen SV3-0Dessel Sport
- Dessel Sport3-2Belisia Bilzen SV
- Dessel Sport0-0Belisia Bilzen SV
- Belisia Bilzen SV1-3Dessel Sport
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dessel Sport 1517 · Belisia Bilzen SV 1525
| Dessel Sport | Draw | Belisia Bilzen SV | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 24% | 31% |
| Market | 46% | 23% | 31% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.47 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Dessel Sport: 2-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Dessel Sport | Belisia Bilzen SV | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.7 | 2.5 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.7 | 1.1 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 60/30/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 5.4 | 2.2 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.8 / 0 | 4 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Dessel Sport 2–1–1 Belisia Bilzen SV
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/03/26 Belgium First Amateur Division | Belisia Bilzen SV | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Dessel Sport |
| 11/10/25 Belgium First Amateur Division | Dessel Sport | 3-2 HT 0-1 | Belisia Bilzen SV |
| 08/03/25 Belgium First Amateur Division | Dessel Sport | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Belisia Bilzen SV |
| 15/09/24 Belgium First Amateur Division | Belisia Bilzen SV | 1-3 HT 0-3 | Dessel Sport |
Standings · Belgium First Amateur Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RWD Molenbeek | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 19 |
| 2 | Union Rochefortoise | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 7 | 17 |
| 3 | RFC Meux | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 16 |
| 4 | Union Saint Gilloise II | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 14 |
| 5 | Tubize | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 14 |
| 6 | RAEC Mons | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 11 |
| 7 | Standard Liege II | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 7 | 10 |
| 8 | Sporting Charleroi U23 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 10 |
| 9 | ROC Charleroi | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 9 |
| 10 | RSC Habay | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 6 |
| 11 | RCS Onhaye | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 20 | 6 |
| 12 | FC Flenu | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 1 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Dessel Sport | Belisia Bilzen SV |
|---|---|---|
| SK Roeselare | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| KFC Merelbeke | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Cercle Brugge Reserves | 3-1 W | 5-0 W |
| KVC Houtvenne | 0-5 L | 3-4 L |
| Tienen | 4-3 W | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 2 L | 2 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Belisia Bilzen SV (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dessel Sport
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | SK Roeselare Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 03/10 | KRC Harelbeke Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 30/09 | KFC Merelbeke Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 19/09 | Cercle Brugge Reserves Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 11/09 | KVC Houtvenne Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-2 | 0-5 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 05/09 | Hoogstraten VV Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 2 | D |
| 30/08 | Tienen Belgium First Amateur Division |
3-2 | 4-3 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | Sporting Hasselt Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 18/04 | Cercle Brugge Reserves Belgium First Amateur Division |
2-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 12/04 | Tienen Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
Belisia Bilzen SV
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Tienen Belgium First Amateur Division |
2-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 9 | D |
| 03/10 | RFC Mandel Utd Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 30/09 | KSK Heist Belgium First Amateur Division |
2-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 20/09 | Royal Knokke Belgium First Amateur Division |
2-0 | 2-3 | 9 | 7 | L |
| 13/09 | KFC Merelbeke Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 06/09 | KVC Houtvenne Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 30/08 | SK Roeselare Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 26/04 | Diegem Sport Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 19/04 | KVV Zelzate Belgium First Amateur Division |
2-0 | 5-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 12/04 | Cercle Brugge Reserves Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dessel Sport vs Belisia Bilzen SV?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Dessel Sport win (45%). Probabilities: Dessel Sport 45%, draw 23%, Belisia Bilzen SV 31%.
How many goals are expected in Dessel Sport vs Belisia Bilzen SV?
The model expects 3.47 goals (Dessel Sport 1.91 · Belisia Bilzen SV 1.56), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Dessel Sport vs Belisia Bilzen SV?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.