Football · Belgium First Amateur Division · 17/10, 20:00

Prediction: Hoogstraten VV vs SK Roeselare

Team pages: Hoogstraten VV · SK Roeselare

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.02Total

Hoogstraten VV1.34

SK Roeselare1.68

1X2

30% 25% 45%

Hoogstraten VV Draw SK Roeselare

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Hoogstraten VV 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WWDLDDLDWW

SK Roeselare 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

DWWDWWDLWW

Head-to-head

Hoogstraten VV 0–2–0 SK Roeselare (2 last)

Hoogstraten VV1-1SK Roeselare
SK Roeselare1-1Hoogstraten VV

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hoogstraten VV 1512 · SK Roeselare 1545

	Hoogstraten VV	Draw	SK Roeselare
Our model	29%	26%	44%
Market	30%	25%	45%

Estimated total (ours) 3.02 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hoogstraten VV	SK Roeselare
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 1.7	1.9 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.9	0.9 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	50/50/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 4.7	2.9 / 6.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.4 / 0	3.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.00

X3.60

22.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)2.00

2 (-0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 06:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.70 → 3.00▲	Pinn 3.32 ★
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.15 → 2.00▼	Bet365 2.00

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.1% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
04:36 +38’	2.70	3.60	2.15
06:06 +8’	3.00▲	3.60	2.00▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
05:11 +3’	3.27	3.38	1.96
05:23 +51’	3.34▲	3.46▲	1.99▲
11:33 +36’	3.32▼	3.47▲	1.99

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Hoogstraten VV 0–2–0 SK Roeselare

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/03/26 Belgium First Amateur Division	Hoogstraten VV	1-1 HT 1-0	SK Roeselare
30/11/25 Belgium First Amateur Division	SK Roeselare	1-1 HT 1-0	Hoogstraten VV

Standings · Belgium First Amateur Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	RWD Molenbeek	8	6	1	1	13	7	19
2	Union Rochefortoise	8	5	2	1	17	7	17
3	RFC Meux	8	5	1	2	15	8	16
4	Union Saint Gilloise II	8	4	2	2	15	10	14
5	Tubize	8	4	2	2	11	10	14
6	RAEC Mons	8	3	2	3	18	15	11
7	Standard Liege II	8	3	1	4	12	7	10
8	Sporting Charleroi U23	8	2	4	2	9	8	10
9	ROC Charleroi	8	2	3	3	10	17	9
10	RSC Habay	8	1	3	4	7	12	6
11	RCS Onhaye	8	2	0	6	10	20	6
12	FC Flenu	8	0	1	7	10	26	1

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Hoogstraten VV	SK Roeselare
KVV Zelzate	4-1 W	3-0 W
RFC Mandel Utd	1-2 L	1-0 W
K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar	4-4 D	3-0 W
Dessel Sport	1-1 D	2-0 W
KFC Merelbeke	2-3 L	3-1 W
Tienen	1-1 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 2 L	5 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: SK Roeselare (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hoogstraten VV

WWDLDDLDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	KVV Zelzate Belgium First Amateur Division	1-1	4-1	1	1	W
03/10	KVC Houtvenne Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	3-0	2	5	W
30/09	KRC Harelbeke Belgium First Amateur Division	2-2	3-3	4	1	D
19/09	RFC Mandel Utd Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	1-2	8	4	L
12/09	K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar Belgium First Amateur Division	3-1	4-4	4	4	D
05/09	Dessel Sport Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	1-1	5	2	D
28/08	KFC Merelbeke Belgium First Amateur Division	0-2	2-3	12	3	L
26/04	Tienen Belgium First Amateur Division	1-1	1-1	2	2	D
18/04	KVK Ninove Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	3-1	7	1	W
11/04	KVV Zelzate Belgium First Amateur Division	1-1	2-1	2	1	W

SK Roeselare

DWWDWWDLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Dessel Sport Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	2-0	10	1	W
03/10	K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar Belgium First Amateur Division	2-0	3-0	8	4	W
30/09	KVV Thes Sport Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	0-1	8	3	L
20/09	Tienen Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
13/09	RFC Mandel Utd Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	1-0	6	0	W
06/09	KVV Zelzate Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	3-0	2	6	W
30/08	Belisia Bilzen SV Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	1-1	6	3	D
26/04	KVV Thes Sport Belgium First Amateur Division	1-1	3-1	4	4	W
19/04	KFC Merelbeke Belgium First Amateur Division	1-1	3-1	7	4	W
12/04	Diegem Sport Belgium First Amateur Division	1-1	2-2	8	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hoogstraten VV vs SK Roeselare?

According to our model, the most likely result is an SK Roeselare win (45%). Probabilities: Hoogstraten VV 30%, draw 25%, SK Roeselare 45%.

How many goals are expected in Hoogstraten VV vs SK Roeselare?

The model expects 3.02 goals (Hoogstraten VV 1.34 · SK Roeselare 1.68), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Hoogstraten VV vs SK Roeselare?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.