Football · Belgium First Amateur Division · 03/10, 20:00

Prediction: Tubize vs RSC Habay

Team pages: Tubize · RSC Habay

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.61Total

Tubize1.57

RSC Habay1.04

1X2

49% 26% 25%

Tubize Draw RSC Habay

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Tubize 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

WDDWWWLDWD

RSC Habay 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLLDWD

Head-to-head

Tubize 1–3 RSC Habay (4 last)

Tubize2-0RSC Habay
RSC Habay2-0Tubize
RSC Habay2-1Tubize
Tubize0-1RSC Habay

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tubize 1509 · RSC Habay 1456

	Tubize	Draw	RSC Habay
Our model	48%	28%	24%
Market	50%	24%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.61 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tubize (rating 1509 vs 1456).
H2H favours RSC Habay: 3-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Tubize	RSC Habay
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.2	0.6 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.3	0.3 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 3.8	1.8 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0.2	4.4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.80

X3.70

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.82

2 (+0.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.95

Under 2.751.85

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 11:30

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.67 → 1.80▲	Pinn 1.82
X	3.80 → 3.70▼	Bet365 3.70
2	4.00 → 3.50▼	Pinn 3.84 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.2% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
09:17 +8’	1.67	3.80	4.00
11:26 +4’	1.80▲	3.70▼	3.50▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
10:25 +2’	1.82	3.55	3.84

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 2.75

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Tubize 1–0–3 RSC Habay

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 Belgium First Amateur Division	Tubize	2-0 HT 1-0	RSC Habay
29/03/26 Belgium First Amateur Division	RSC Habay	2-0 HT 2-0	Tubize
14/12/25 Belgium First Amateur Division	RSC Habay	2-1 HT 0-0	Tubize
01/11/25 Belgium First Amateur Division	Tubize	0-1 HT 0-1	RSC Habay

Standings · Belgium First Amateur Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	RWD Molenbeek	6	5	1	0	9	2	16
2	RFC Meux	6	5	0	1	14	4	15
3	Union Rochefortoise	6	3	2	1	13	7	11
4	Tubize	6	3	2	1	9	8	11
5	Union Saint Gilloise II	6	2	2	2	6	6	8
6	RAEC Mons	5	2	1	2	10	10	7
7	ROC Charleroi	6	2	1	3	8	15	7
8	Sporting Charleroi U23	6	1	3	2	4	5	6
9	RCS Onhaye	6	2	0	4	7	12	6
10	RSC Habay	6	1	2	3	5	9	5
11	Standard Liege II	5	1	1	3	5	3	4
12	FC Flenu	6	0	1	5	8	17	1

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Tubize	RSC Habay
Union Saint Gilloise II	1-1 D	0-2 L
RAEC Mons	2-2 D	0-1 L
Union Rochefortoise	1-4 L	2-4 L
Standard Liege II	1-0 W	0-0 D
Sporting Charleroi U23	1-0 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 1 L	0 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Tubize (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tubize

WDDWWWLDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Union Saint Gilloise II Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	1-1	5	6	D
19/09	ROC Charleroi Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	3-1	4	2	W
12/09	RAEC Mons Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	2-2	4	4	D
05/09	Union Rochefortoise Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	1-4	5	5	L
30/08	Standard Liege II Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	1-0	2	5	W
26/08	Sporting Charleroi U23 Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	1-0	1	6	W
10/05	Union Rochefortoise Belgium First Amateur Division	1-1	3-2	10	5	W
03/05	RFC Meux Belgium First Amateur Division	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
25/04	RAEC Mons Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	0-0	2	5	D
18/04	RSC Habay Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	2-0	1	8	W

RSC Habay

LLLLLLLDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/09	Sporting Charleroi U23 Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	0-0	4	3	D
20/09	FC Flenu Belgium First Amateur Division	2-0	2-1	5	3	W
13/09	Standard Liege II Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	0-0	11	2	D
05/09	Union Saint Gilloise II Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	0-2	5	7	L
29/08	Union Rochefortoise Belgium First Amateur Division	1-2	2-4	4	5	L
26/08	RWD Molenbeek Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	1-2	9	6	L
10/05	Excelsior Virton Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	0-2	3	2	L
03/05	RAEC Mons Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	0-1	1	5	L
25/04	Union Rochefortoise Belgium First Amateur Division	0-2	1-4	2	5	L
18/04	Tubize Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	0-2	3	8	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tubize vs RSC Habay?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Tubize win (49%). Probabilities: Tubize 49%, draw 26%, RSC Habay 25%.

How many goals are expected in Tubize vs RSC Habay?

The model expects 2.61 goals (Tubize 1.57 · RSC Habay 1.04), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Tubize vs RSC Habay?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.