Football · Belgium First Amateur Division · 11/10, 15:00
Prediction: Cercle Brugge Reserves vs K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar
Team pages: Cercle Brugge Reserves · K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.86Total
Cercle Brugge Reserves2.11
K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar1.75
1X2
Cercle Brugge Reserves
Draw
K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
1-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Cercle Brugge Reserves
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Cercle Brugge Reserves
2–2
K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar
(4 last)
- Cercle Brugge Reserves5-1K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar
- K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar4-1Cercle Brugge Reserves
- Cercle Brugge Reserves2-3K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar
- K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar0-1Cercle Brugge Reserves
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Cercle Brugge Reserves 1422 · K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar 1474
| Cercle Brugge Reserves | Draw | K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 22% | 32% |
| Market | 45% | 24% | 31% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.86 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar (rating 1422 vs 1474).
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cercle Brugge Reserves | K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 2.6 | 1.7 / 2.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.8 | 0.3 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 10/10/80% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 5.6 | 1.2 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0 | 3.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cercle Brugge Reserves 2–0–2 K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/03/26 Belgium First Amateur Division | Cercle Brugge Reserves | 5-1 HT 2-1 | K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar |
| 13/09/25 Belgium First Amateur Division | K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar | 4-1 HT 3-0 | Cercle Brugge Reserves |
| 13/04/25 Belgium First Amateur Division | Cercle Brugge Reserves | 2-3 HT 1-2 | K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar |
| 09/11/24 Belgium First Amateur Division | K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Cercle Brugge Reserves |
Standings · Belgium First Amateur Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RFC Meux | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 5 | 16 |
| 2 | RWD Molenbeek | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 16 |
| 3 | Union Rochefortoise | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 14 |
| 4 | Tubize | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 14 |
| 5 | Union Saint Gilloise II | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 11 |
| 6 | RAEC Mons | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 10 |
| 7 | Sporting Charleroi U23 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 9 |
| 8 | ROC Charleroi | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 8 |
| 9 | Standard Liege II | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 7 |
| 10 | RCS Onhaye | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 6 |
| 11 | RSC Habay | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 5 |
| 12 | FC Flenu | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 1 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cercle Brugge Reserves | K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar |
|---|---|---|
| KSK Heist | 1-3 L | 3-2 W |
| Royal Knokke | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| OH Leuven II | 0-4 L | 1-3 L |
| KVC Houtvenne | 1-1 D | 4-3 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 2 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cercle Brugge Reserves
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | KSK Heist Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-1 | 1-3 | 10 | 5 | L |
| 27/09 | Tienen Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 19/09 | Dessel Sport Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 13/09 | Royal Knokke Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 06/09 | KFC Merelbeke Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 30/08 | KVV Zelzate Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 26/04 | OH Leuven II Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-2 | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 18/04 | Dessel Sport Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 12/04 | Belisia Bilzen SV Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-1 | 0-5 | 11 | 1 | L |
| 28/03 | KVC Houtvenne Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | SK Roeselare Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 27/09 | OH Leuven II Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 19/09 | KSK Heist Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 12/09 | Hoogstraten VV Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 05/09 | RFC Mandel Utd Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 29/08 | KVV Thes Sport Belgium First Amateur Division |
2-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 26/04 | KVC Houtvenne Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-1 | 4-3 | – | – | W |
| 19/04 | OH Leuven II Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 11/04 | KVV Thes Sport Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 29/03 | Royal Knokke Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cercle Brugge Reserves vs K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Cercle Brugge Reserves win (45%). Probabilities: Cercle Brugge Reserves 45%, draw 23%, K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar 32%.
How many goals are expected in Cercle Brugge Reserves vs K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar?
The model expects 3.86 goals (Cercle Brugge Reserves 2.11 · K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar 1.75), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Cercle Brugge Reserves vs K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.