Football · Belgium First Amateur Division · 10/10, 20:00
Prediction: SK Roeselare vs Dessel Sport
Team pages: SK Roeselare · Dessel Sport
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.28Total
SK Roeselare1.92
Dessel Sport1.36
1X2
SK Roeselare
Draw
Dessel Sport
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
SK Roeselare
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Dessel Sport
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
SK Roeselare
3–3–0
Dessel Sport
(6 last)
- Dessel Sport3-4SK Roeselare
- SK Roeselare2-2Dessel Sport
- Dessel Sport0-1SK Roeselare
- SK Roeselare1-1Dessel Sport
- SK Roeselare2-2Dessel Sport
- Dessel Sport1-3SK Roeselare
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · SK Roeselare 1537 · Dessel Sport 1542
| SK Roeselare | Draw | Dessel Sport | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 24% | 26% |
| Market | 50% | 23% | 27% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.28 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours SK Roeselare: 3-3-0.
- High corners: 12.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| SK Roeselare | Dessel Sport | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 0.8 | 2.1 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.4 | 0.8 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 6.9 | 1.9 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.1 | 2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · SK Roeselare 3–3–0 Dessel Sport
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/01/26 Belgium First Amateur Division | Dessel Sport | 3-4 HT 2-3 | SK Roeselare |
| 28/09/25 Belgium First Amateur Division | SK Roeselare | 2-2 HT 2-0 | Dessel Sport |
| 24/04/16 Belgium First Division B | Dessel Sport | 0-1 HT 0-1 | SK Roeselare |
| 21/11/15 Belgium First Division B | SK Roeselare | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Dessel Sport |
| 14/03/15 Belgium First Division B | SK Roeselare | 2-2 HT 0-2 | Dessel Sport |
| 18/10/14 Belgium First Division B | Dessel Sport | 1-3 HT 0-3 | SK Roeselare |
Standings · Belgium First Amateur Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RFC Meux | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 5 | 16 |
| 2 | RWD Molenbeek | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 16 |
| 3 | Union Rochefortoise | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 14 |
| 4 | Tubize | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 14 |
| 5 | Union Saint Gilloise II | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 11 |
| 6 | RAEC Mons | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 10 |
| 7 | Sporting Charleroi U23 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 9 |
| 8 | ROC Charleroi | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 8 |
| 9 | Standard Liege II | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 7 |
| 10 | RCS Onhaye | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 6 |
| 11 | RSC Habay | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 5 |
| 12 | FC Flenu | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 1 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | SK Roeselare | Dessel Sport |
|---|---|---|
| Tienen | 1-1 D | 4-3 W |
| KVV Zelzate | 3-0 W | 3-1 W |
| KFC Merelbeke | 3-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Hoogstraten VV | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 0 L | 2 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: SK Roeselare (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
SK Roeselare
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar Belgium First Amateur Division |
2-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 30/09 | KVV Thes Sport Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 20/09 | Tienen Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 13/09 | RFC Mandel Utd Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 06/09 | KVV Zelzate Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 30/08 | Belisia Bilzen SV Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 26/04 | KVV Thes Sport Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 19/04 | KFC Merelbeke Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 12/04 | Diegem Sport Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 28/03 | Hoogstraten VV Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 13 | 4 | D |
Dessel Sport
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | KRC Harelbeke Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 30/09 | KFC Merelbeke Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 19/09 | Cercle Brugge Reserves Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 11/09 | KVC Houtvenne Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-2 | 0-5 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 05/09 | Hoogstraten VV Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 2 | D |
| 30/08 | Tienen Belgium First Amateur Division |
3-2 | 4-3 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | Sporting Hasselt Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 18/04 | Cercle Brugge Reserves Belgium First Amateur Division |
2-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 12/04 | Tienen Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 28/03 | KVV Zelzate Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in SK Roeselare vs Dessel Sport?
According to our model, the most likely result is a SK Roeselare win (50%). Probabilities: SK Roeselare 50%, draw 24%, Dessel Sport 26%.
How many goals are expected in SK Roeselare vs Dessel Sport?
The model expects 3.28 goals (SK Roeselare 1.92 · Dessel Sport 1.36), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in SK Roeselare vs Dessel Sport?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.