Football · Belgium First Amateur Division · 10/10, 20:00

Prediction: KVC Houtvenne vs Royal Knokke

Team pages: KVC Houtvenne · Royal Knokke

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.45Total

KVC Houtvenne1.96

Royal Knokke1.49

1X2

48% 23% 29%

KVC Houtvenne Draw Royal Knokke

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

KVC Houtvenne 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

DLLLWWWWWL

Royal Knokke 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWWLLWDW

Head-to-head

KVC Houtvenne 0–1–1 Royal Knokke (2 last)

KVC Houtvenne1-2Royal Knokke
Royal Knokke0-0KVC Houtvenne

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · KVC Houtvenne 1495 · Royal Knokke 1497

	KVC Houtvenne	Draw	Royal Knokke
Our model	48%	24%	28%
Market	48%	23%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 3.45 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	KVC Houtvenne	Royal Knokke
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 1.6	2 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.6	0.6 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4	3.1 / 6.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0.1	4.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.85

X3.90

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.90

2 (+0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.95

Under 3.251.85

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 5 moves · last 14:36

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 1.85▼	Pinn 2.01 ★
X	3.70 → 3.90▲	Pinn 3.94
2	2.25 → 3.10▲	Bet365 3.10

See the full journey (5)

Bet365 margin 12% Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
07:23 +3’	2.50	3.70	2.25
12:01 +3’	2.15▼	3.80▲	2.60▲
18:13 +3’	2.10▼	3.80	2.70▲
10:54 +9’	2.00▼	3.90▲	2.80▲
14:29 +7’	1.85▼	3.90	3.10▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
05:57 +90’	2.22	3.82	2.63
07:44 +260’	2.15▼	3.82	2.75▲
09:11 +15’	2.13▼	3.91▲	2.73▼
10:27 +36’	2.12▼	3.94▲	2.73
12:27 +129’	2.01▼	3.94	2.94▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · KVC Houtvenne 0–1–1 Royal Knokke

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/02/26 Belgium First Amateur Division	KVC Houtvenne	1-2 HT 0-1	Royal Knokke
02/11/25 Belgium First Amateur Division	Royal Knokke	0-0 HT 0-0	KVC Houtvenne

Standings · Belgium First Amateur Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	RFC Meux	7	5	1	1	15	5	16
2	RWD Molenbeek	7	5	1	1	11	6	16
3	Union Rochefortoise	7	4	2	1	14	7	14
4	Tubize	7	4	2	1	10	8	14
5	Union Saint Gilloise II	7	3	2	2	10	8	11
6	RAEC Mons	7	3	1	3	16	13	10
7	Sporting Charleroi U23	7	2	3	2	8	7	9
8	ROC Charleroi	7	2	2	3	9	16	8
9	Standard Liege II	7	2	1	4	8	6	7
10	RCS Onhaye	7	2	0	5	9	16	6
11	RSC Habay	7	1	2	4	5	10	5
12	FC Flenu	7	0	1	6	8	21	1

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	KVC Houtvenne	Royal Knokke
KVV Zelzate	3-0 W	0-0 D
Belisia Bilzen SV	4-3 W	3-2 W
OH Leuven II	3-1 W	3-2 W
K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar	3-4 L	1-0 W
Cercle Brugge Reserves	1-1 D	1-2 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 1 L	3 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: KVC Houtvenne (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

KVC Houtvenne

DLLLWWWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Hoogstraten VV Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	0-3	6	5	L
30/09	RFC Mandel Utd Belgium First Amateur Division	1-1	2-1	5	5	W
20/09	KVV Zelzate Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	3-0	5	5	W
11/09	Dessel Sport Belgium First Amateur Division	2-0	5-0	2	4	W
06/09	Belisia Bilzen SV Belgium First Amateur Division	2-1	4-3	1	6	W
29/08	OH Leuven II Belgium First Amateur Division	3-0	3-1	3	4	W
26/04	K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	3-4	–	–	L
19/04	Sporting Hasselt Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	0-1	3	3	L
11/04	KFC Merelbeke Belgium First Amateur Division	1-2	1-2	5	7	L
28/03	Cercle Brugge Reserves Belgium First Amateur Division	1-1	1-1	6	4	D

Royal Knokke

WWWWWLLWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	OH Leuven II Belgium First Amateur Division	3-1	3-2	2	5	W
30/09	KVV Zelzate Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	0-0	6	5	D
20/09	Belisia Bilzen SV Belgium First Amateur Division	0-2	3-2	8	7	W
13/09	Cercle Brugge Reserves Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
05/09	KVV Thes Sport Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	0-2	9	5	L
30/08	KSK Heist Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	3-0	–	–	W
26/04	KVV Zelzate Belgium First Amateur Division	0-2	3-2	11	6	W
19/04	Tienen Belgium First Amateur Division	2-0	2-0	2	2	W
11/04	KVK Ninove Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	4-0	8	3	W
29/03	K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	1-0	6	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in KVC Houtvenne vs Royal Knokke?

According to our model, the most likely result is a KVC Houtvenne win (48%). Probabilities: KVC Houtvenne 48%, draw 23%, Royal Knokke 29%.

How many goals are expected in KVC Houtvenne vs Royal Knokke?

The model expects 3.45 goals (KVC Houtvenne 1.96 · Royal Knokke 1.49), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in KVC Houtvenne vs Royal Knokke?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.