Football · Belgium First Amateur Division · 10/10, 20:00

Prediction: KVV Zelzate vs Hoogstraten VV

Team pages: KVV Zelzate · Hoogstraten VV

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.57Total

KVV Zelzate1.74

Hoogstraten VV1.84

1X2

36% 24% 40%

KVV Zelzate Draw Hoogstraten VV

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

KVV Zelzate 0-3-7 (W-D-L)

LLLLDLLLDD

Hoogstraten VV 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

DWWDLDDLDW

Head-to-head

KVV Zelzate 0–1–1 Hoogstraten VV (2 last)

KVV Zelzate1-2Hoogstraten VV
Hoogstraten VV2-2KVV Zelzate

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · KVV Zelzate 1428 · Hoogstraten VV 1492

	KVV Zelzate	Draw	Hoogstraten VV
Our model	36%	24%	40%
Market	36%	25%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 3.57 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hoogstraten VV (rating 1428 vs 1492).
Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	KVV Zelzate	Hoogstraten VV
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 2.5	2.1 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1	1 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 5.4	1.5 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.1	2.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.50

X3.60

22.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.80

2 (-0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.85

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 3.6

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 12:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.38 → 2.50▲	Pinn 2.70 ★
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.38 → 2.25▼	Pinn 2.30

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.2% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
07:21 +5’	2.38	3.60	2.38
12:00 +4’	2.50▲	3.60	2.25▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
06:25 +61’	2.66	3.73	2.23
16:15 +121’	2.65▼	3.74▲	2.23
12:35 +121’	2.70▲	3.49▼	2.30▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · KVV Zelzate 0–1–1 Hoogstraten VV

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 Belgium First Amateur Division	KVV Zelzate	1-2 HT 1-1	Hoogstraten VV
08/11/25 Belgium First Amateur Division	Hoogstraten VV	2-2 HT 1-0	KVV Zelzate

Standings · Belgium First Amateur Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	RFC Meux	7	5	1	1	15	5	16
2	RWD Molenbeek	7	5	1	1	11	6	16
3	Union Rochefortoise	7	4	2	1	14	7	14
4	Tubize	7	4	2	1	10	8	14
5	Union Saint Gilloise II	7	3	2	2	10	8	11
6	RAEC Mons	7	3	1	3	16	13	10
7	Sporting Charleroi U23	7	2	3	2	8	7	9
8	ROC Charleroi	7	2	2	3	9	16	8
9	Standard Liege II	7	2	1	4	8	6	7
10	RCS Onhaye	7	2	0	5	9	16	6
11	RSC Habay	7	1	2	4	5	10	5
12	FC Flenu	7	0	1	6	8	21	1

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	KVV Zelzate	Hoogstraten VV
KVC Houtvenne	0-3 L	3-0 W
SK Roeselare	0-3 L	1-1 D
Dessel Sport	1-3 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 3 L	1 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Hoogstraten VV (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

KVV Zelzate

LLLLDLLLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	KVV Thes Sport Belgium First Amateur Division	1-1	1-1	3	6	D
30/09	Royal Knokke Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	0-0	7	5	D
20/09	KVC Houtvenne Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	0-3	13	5	L
13/09	OH Leuven II Belgium First Amateur Division	1-3	3-4	7	2	L
06/09	SK Roeselare Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	0-3	4	6	L
30/08	Cercle Brugge Reserves Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	1-1	6	7	D
26/04	Royal Knokke Belgium First Amateur Division	2-0	2-3	1	6	L
19/04	Belisia Bilzen SV Belgium First Amateur Division	0-2	0-5	6	1	L
11/04	Hoogstraten VV Belgium First Amateur Division	1-1	1-2	2	1	L
28/03	Dessel Sport Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	1-3	5	3	L

Hoogstraten VV

DWWDLDDLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	KVC Houtvenne Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	3-0	2	5	W
30/09	KRC Harelbeke Belgium First Amateur Division	2-2	3-3	4	1	D
19/09	RFC Mandel Utd Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	1-2	8	4	L
12/09	K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar Belgium First Amateur Division	3-1	4-4	4	4	D
05/09	Dessel Sport Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	1-1	5	2	D
28/08	KFC Merelbeke Belgium First Amateur Division	0-2	2-3	12	3	L
26/04	Tienen Belgium First Amateur Division	1-1	1-1	2	2	D
18/04	KVK Ninove Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	3-1	7	1	W
11/04	KVV Zelzate Belgium First Amateur Division	1-1	2-1	2	1	W
28/03	SK Roeselare Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	1-1	2	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in KVV Zelzate vs Hoogstraten VV?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Hoogstraten VV win (40%). Probabilities: KVV Zelzate 36%, draw 24%, Hoogstraten VV 40%.

How many goals are expected in KVV Zelzate vs Hoogstraten VV?

The model expects 3.57 goals (KVV Zelzate 1.74 · Hoogstraten VV 1.84), with a 54% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in KVV Zelzate vs Hoogstraten VV?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.