Football · Netherlands Tweede Divisie · 05/09, 14:30

Prediction: HHC Hardenberg vs De Treffers

Team pages: HHC Hardenberg · De Treffers

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.11Total

HHC Hardenberg1.42

De Treffers1.69

1X2

32% 25% 43%

HHC Hardenberg Draw De Treffers

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

HHC Hardenberg 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

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De Treffers 7-3-0 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

HHC Hardenberg 2–2–2 De Treffers (6 last)

De Treffers1-2HHC Hardenberg
HHC Hardenberg1-0De Treffers
De Treffers2-2HHC Hardenberg
HHC Hardenberg2-3De Treffers
HHC Hardenberg1-3De Treffers
De Treffers1-1HHC Hardenberg

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · HHC Hardenberg 1590 · De Treffers 1588

	HHC Hardenberg	Draw	De Treffers
Our model	31%	26%	43%
Market	32%	24%	44%

Estimated total (ours) 3.11 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	HHC Hardenberg	De Treffers
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 1.3	2.7 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.4	0.8 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/20/20%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5.3	3.3 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.2	3.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.80

X3.75

22.05

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.95

2 (-0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.252.00

Under 3.251.80

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 19:45

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.25 → 2.80▼	Pinn 3.15 ★
X	3.90 → 3.75▼	Bet365 3.75
2	1.83 → 2.05▲	Bet365 2.05

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.2% Pinnacle margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
15:39 +16’	3.25	3.90	1.83
19:42 +4’	2.80▼	3.75▼	2.05▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
19:45 +1’	3.15	3.59	1.93

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · HHC Hardenberg 2–2–2 De Treffers

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/01/26 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	De Treffers	1-2 HT 0-2	HHC Hardenberg
06/09/25 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	HHC Hardenberg	1-0 HT 0-0	De Treffers
05/04/25 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	De Treffers	2-2 HT 1-0	HHC Hardenberg
26/10/24 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	HHC Hardenberg	2-3 HT 1-2	De Treffers
13/04/24 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	HHC Hardenberg	1-3 HT 0-1	De Treffers
11/11/23 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	De Treffers	1-1 HT 1-1	HHC Hardenberg

Standings · Netherlands Tweede Divisie

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Quick Boys	3	3	0	0	10	0	9
2	HHC Hardenberg	3	3	0	0	8	3	9
3	De Treffers	3	2	1	0	9	2	7
4	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves	3	2	0	1	13	7	6
5	Spakenburg	3	2	0	1	4	2	6
6	Amsterdamsche FC	3	2	0	1	6	5	6
7	Katwijk	3	1	1	1	3	2	4
8	Kozakken Boys	3	1	1	1	7	7	4
9	HSV Hoek	3	1	1	1	4	4	4
10	IJsselmeervogels	3	1	1	1	3	3	4
11	Kloetinge	3	1	1	1	6	8	4
12	RKAV Volendam	3	1	1	1	3	7	4
13	Almere City Reserves	3	1	0	2	6	4	3
14	Koninklijke HFC	3	1	0	2	4	6	3
15	Barendrecht	3	1	0	2	3	6	3
16	Rijnsburgse Boys	3	0	1	2	4	11	1
17	GVVV Veenendaal	3	0	0	3	5	11	0
18	ROHDA Raalte	3	0	0	3	1	11	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	HHC Hardenberg	De Treffers
Sparta Rotterdam Reserves	3-1 W	4-1 W
ACV Assen	2-0 W	6-2 W
GVVV Veenendaal	2-1 W	5-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 0 L	3 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: De Treffers (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

HHC Hardenberg

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-1	3-1	7	6	W
22/08	Almere City Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
15/08	Barendrecht Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-0	3-1	8	4	W
23/05	Amsterdamsche FC Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-0	3-2	2	1	W
16/05	Kozakken Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	3-3	2	5	D
09/05	IJsselmeervogels Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	0-2	4	1	L
25/04	Quick Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	1-2	3	8	L
18/04	ACV Assen Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	2-0	8	2	W
11/04	GVVV Veenendaal Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	2-1	6	4	W
28/03	Excelsior Maassluis Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	4-0	8	1	W

De Treffers

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Rijnsburgse Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	1-1	2	5	D
23/08	ROHDA Raalte Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	3-0	–	–	W
15/08	GVVV Veenendaal Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-0	5-1	6	2	W
23/05	HSV Hoek Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	2-2	8	3	D
16/05	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-0	4-1	8	1	W
09/05	Spakenburg Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	0-0	8	2	D
25/04	Koninklijke HFC Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	1-0	11	3	W
18/04	Katwijk Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	4-1	0	6	W
11/04	ACV Assen Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-1	6-2	3	3	W
04/04	RKAV Volendam Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	1-0	6	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in HHC Hardenberg vs De Treffers?

According to our model, the most likely result is an De Treffers win (43%). Probabilities: HHC Hardenberg 32%, draw 25%, De Treffers 43%.

How many goals are expected in HHC Hardenberg vs De Treffers?

The model expects 3.11 goals (HHC Hardenberg 1.42 · De Treffers 1.69), with a 55% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in HHC Hardenberg vs De Treffers?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.