Football · Netherlands Tweede Divisie · 12/09, 15:00

Prediction: Kozakken Boys vs Rijnsburgse Boys

Team pages: Kozakken Boys · Rijnsburgse Boys

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.5Total

Kozakken Boys1.66

Rijnsburgse Boys1.84

1X2

35% 24% 42%

Kozakken Boys Draw Rijnsburgse Boys

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Kozakken Boys 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WDWWDLLDWW

Rijnsburgse Boys 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWLWLWLLDW

Head-to-head

Kozakken Boys 0–6 Rijnsburgse Boys (6 last)

Rijnsburgse Boys1-0Kozakken Boys
Kozakken Boys1-3Rijnsburgse Boys
Kozakken Boys1-2Rijnsburgse Boys
Rijnsburgse Boys2-1Kozakken Boys
Rijnsburgse Boys2-0Kozakken Boys
Kozakken Boys0-1Rijnsburgse Boys

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kozakken Boys 1514 · Rijnsburgse Boys 1519

	Kozakken Boys	Draw	Rijnsburgse Boys
Our model	34%	24%	42%
Market	35%	23%	42%

Estimated total (ours) 3.5 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Rijnsburgse Boys: 6-0-0.
High corners: 12 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kozakken Boys	Rijnsburgse Boys
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.6	2.4 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.8	1.3 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	50/10/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 5.3	3.6 / 6.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0.1	3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.60

X3.90

22.15

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.82

2 (-0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.85

Under 3.251.95

Diff.: 0.8 · xG: 4.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:22

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.60 → 2.60	Bet365 2.60
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	2.15 → 2.15	Pinn 2.29 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.6% Pinnacle margin 10.5%

Time*	1	X	2
18:16 +6’	2.60	3.90	2.15

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:39 +162’	2.46	3.82	2.29

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Kozakken Boys 0–0–6 Rijnsburgse Boys

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
21/02/26 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Rijnsburgse Boys	1-0 HT 0-0	Kozakken Boys
20/09/25 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Kozakken Boys	1-3 HT 0-3	Rijnsburgse Boys
13/01/24 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Kozakken Boys	1-2 HT 0-2	Rijnsburgse Boys
19/08/23 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Rijnsburgse Boys	2-1 HT 1-1	Kozakken Boys
22/04/23 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Rijnsburgse Boys	2-0 HT 0-0	Kozakken Boys
05/11/22 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Kozakken Boys	0-1 HT 0-1	Rijnsburgse Boys

Standings · Netherlands Tweede Divisie

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Quick Boys	4	4	0	0	13	0	12
2	HHC Hardenberg	4	3	1	0	10	5	10
3	De Treffers	4	2	2	0	11	4	8
4	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves	4	2	1	1	15	9	7
5	Katwijk	4	2	1	1	6	4	7
6	IJsselmeervogels	4	2	1	1	5	3	7
7	Kozakken Boys	4	2	1	1	9	8	7
8	RKAV Volendam	4	2	1	1	5	8	7
9	Spakenburg	4	2	0	2	5	5	6
10	Barendrecht	4	2	0	2	6	7	6
11	Amsterdamsche FC	4	2	0	2	6	8	6
12	HSV Hoek	4	1	1	2	5	6	4
13	Koninklijke HFC	4	1	1	2	6	8	4
14	Rijnsburgse Boys	4	1	1	2	7	11	4
15	Kloetinge	4	1	1	2	6	10	4
16	Almere City Reserves	4	1	0	3	8	7	3
17	GVVV Veenendaal	4	0	0	4	5	14	0
18	ROHDA Raalte	4	0	0	4	2	13	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kozakken Boys	Rijnsburgse Boys
RKAV Volendam	0-0 D	7-0 W
HSV Hoek	2-1 W	0-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 0 L	1 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kozakken Boys

WDWWDLLDWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	ROHDA Raalte Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	2-1	7	4	W
29/08	GVVV Veenendaal Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-2	3-2	6	4	W
22/08	Kloetinge Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-2	3-3	–	–	D
15/08	IJsselmeervogels Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	1-2	3	1	L
23/05	Quick Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-2	1-2	7	3	L
16/05	HHC Hardenberg Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	3-3	12	5	D
09/05	GVVV Veenendaal Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	3-1	3	3	W
25/04	Excelsior Maassluis Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	2-1	5	6	W
18/04	RKAV Volendam Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	0-0	3	0	D
11/04	HSV Hoek Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	2-1	2	3	W

Rijnsburgse Boys

LWLWLWLLDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Amsterdamsche FC Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-0	3-0	14	8	W
29/08	De Treffers Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	1-1	4	5	D
22/08	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-2	3-6	–	–	L
15/08	Almere City Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-2	0-4	8	2	L
23/05	RKAV Volendam Netherlands Tweede Divisie	3-0	7-0	8	0	W
16/05	HSV Hoek Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	0-2	4	0	L
09/05	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-1	4-2	6	1	W
25/04	Spakenburg Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-2	2-3	7	5	L
18/04	Koninklijke HFC Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-0	2-0	9	5	W
11/04	Katwijk Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-2	2-3	0	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kozakken Boys vs Rijnsburgse Boys?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Rijnsburgse Boys win (42%). Probabilities: Kozakken Boys 35%, draw 24%, Rijnsburgse Boys 42%.

How many goals are expected in Kozakken Boys vs Rijnsburgse Boys?

The model expects 3.5 goals (Kozakken Boys 1.66 · Rijnsburgse Boys 1.84), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Kozakken Boys vs Rijnsburgse Boys?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.