Football · Netherlands Tweede Divisie · 12/09, 18:00

Prediction: De Treffers vs Koninklijke HFC

Team pages: De Treffers · Koninklijke HFC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.34Total

De Treffers2.25

Koninklijke HFC1.09

1X2

63% 20% 17%

De Treffers Draw Koninklijke HFC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

2-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

De Treffers 6-4-0 (W-D-L)

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Koninklijke HFC 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

De Treffers 4–2–0 Koninklijke HFC (6 last)

Koninklijke HFC0-1De Treffers
De Treffers1-0Koninklijke HFC
Koninklijke HFC0-3De Treffers
De Treffers1-1Koninklijke HFC
De Treffers1-1Koninklijke HFC
Koninklijke HFC0-2De Treffers

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · De Treffers 1598 · Koninklijke HFC 1457

	De Treffers	Draw	Koninklijke HFC
Our model	62%	21%	16%
Market	63%	20%	17%

Estimated total (ours) 3.34 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours De Treffers (rating 1598 vs 1457).
H2H favours De Treffers: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	De Treffers	Koninklijke HFC
Goals for / against (FT)	2.8 / 1	1 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.3	0.2 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.6 / 5.9	2.2 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0.2	3.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.42

X4.50

25.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.85

2 (+1.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.85

Under 3.251.95

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:40

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.42 → 1.42	Bet365 1.42
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	5.25 → 5.25	Pinn 8.04 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7% Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
19:38 +3’	1.42	4.50	5.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
18:12 +88’	1.40	3.85	7.62
01:43 +57’	1.39▼	3.89▲	7.70▲
10:17 +60’	1.39▼	3.92▲	7.74▲
16:03 +52’	1.40▲	4.00▲	8.04▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · De Treffers 4–2–0 Koninklijke HFC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Koninklijke HFC	0-1 HT 0-0	De Treffers
22/11/25 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	De Treffers	1-0 HT 1-0	Koninklijke HFC
15/02/25 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Koninklijke HFC	0-3 HT 0-2	De Treffers
21/09/24 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	De Treffers	1-1 HT 0-1	Koninklijke HFC
02/03/24 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	De Treffers	1-1 HT 1-1	Koninklijke HFC
30/09/23 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Koninklijke HFC	0-2 HT 0-1	De Treffers

Standings · Netherlands Tweede Divisie

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Quick Boys	4	4	0	0	13	0	12
2	HHC Hardenberg	4	3	1	0	10	5	10
3	De Treffers	4	2	2	0	11	4	8
4	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves	4	2	1	1	15	9	7
5	Katwijk	4	2	1	1	6	4	7
6	IJsselmeervogels	4	2	1	1	5	3	7
7	Kozakken Boys	4	2	1	1	9	8	7
8	RKAV Volendam	4	2	1	1	5	8	7
9	Spakenburg	4	2	0	2	5	5	6
10	Barendrecht	4	2	0	2	6	7	6
11	Amsterdamsche FC	4	2	0	2	6	8	6
12	HSV Hoek	4	1	1	2	5	6	4
13	Koninklijke HFC	4	1	1	2	6	8	4
14	Rijnsburgse Boys	4	1	1	2	7	11	4
15	Kloetinge	4	1	1	2	6	10	4
16	Almere City Reserves	4	1	0	3	8	7	3
17	GVVV Veenendaal	4	0	0	4	5	14	0
18	ROHDA Raalte	4	0	0	4	2	13	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	De Treffers	Koninklijke HFC
Rijnsburgse Boys	1-1 D	0-2 L
HSV Hoek	2-2 D	1-3 L
Sparta Rotterdam Reserves	4-1 W	2-2 D
Spakenburg	0-0 D	3-2 W
Katwijk	4-1 W	0-4 L
ACV Assen	6-2 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 0 L	1 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: De Treffers (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

De Treffers

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	HHC Hardenberg Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	2-2	7	6	D
29/08	Rijnsburgse Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	1-1	2	5	D
23/08	ROHDA Raalte Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	3-0	–	–	W
15/08	GVVV Veenendaal Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-0	5-1	6	2	W
23/05	HSV Hoek Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	2-2	8	3	D
16/05	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-0	4-1	8	1	W
09/05	Spakenburg Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	0-0	8	2	D
25/04	Koninklijke HFC Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	1-0	11	3	W
18/04	Katwijk Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	4-1	0	6	W
11/04	ACV Assen Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-1	6-2	3	3	W

Koninklijke HFC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-2	2-2	6	3	D
29/08	Almere City Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	2-1	3	4	W
22/08	Barendrecht Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
15/08	HSV Hoek Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	1-3	5	4	L
23/05	Spakenburg Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	3-2	4	1	W
16/05	ACV Assen Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	0-1	1	4	L
09/05	Katwijk Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	0-4	2	1	L
25/04	De Treffers Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	0-1	7	3	L
18/04	Rijnsburgse Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-2	0-2	3	5	L
11/04	Barendrecht Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	1-2	8	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in De Treffers vs Koninklijke HFC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a De Treffers win (63%). Probabilities: De Treffers 63%, draw 20%, Koninklijke HFC 17%.

How many goals are expected in De Treffers vs Koninklijke HFC?

The model expects 3.34 goals (De Treffers 2.25 · Koninklijke HFC 1.09), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in De Treffers vs Koninklijke HFC?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.