Football · Netherlands Tweede Divisie · 10/10, 13:30

Prediction: Quick Boys vs Katwijk

Team pages: Quick Boys · Katwijk

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.46Total

Quick Boys2.29

Katwijk1.17

1X2

62% 20% 18%

Quick Boys Draw Katwijk

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

2-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Quick Boys 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

DWWWWWWLWW

Katwijk 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LWLDWWDLWL

Head-to-head

Quick Boys 5–1–0 Katwijk (6 last)

Katwijk1-2Quick Boys
Quick Boys3-0Katwijk
Katwijk1-4Quick Boys
Quick Boys1-1Katwijk
Katwijk0-1Quick Boys
Quick Boys2-0Katwijk

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Quick Boys 1584 · Katwijk 1480

	Quick Boys	Draw	Katwijk
Our model	62%	21%	17%
Market	62%	20%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 3.46 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Quick Boys (rating 1584 vs 1480).
H2H favours Quick Boys: 5-1-0.
High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Quick Boys	Katwijk
Goals for / against (FT)	2.6 / 0.9	1.6 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1.4 / 0.5	0.6 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/30/10%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.7	2.7 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0	2.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.44

X4.50

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.90

2 (+1.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.90

Under 3.251.90

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:56

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.44 → 1.44	Pinn 1.68 ★
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
15:37 +19’	1.44	4.50	5.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:49 +7’	1.68	3.88	3.98

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Quick Boys 5–1–0 Katwijk

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/02/26 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Katwijk	1-2 HT 0-0	Quick Boys
20/09/25 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Quick Boys	3-0 HT 2-0	Katwijk
15/03/25 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Katwijk	1-4 HT 1-2	Quick Boys
12/10/24 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Quick Boys	1-1 HT 0-0	Katwijk
10/02/24 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Katwijk	0-1 HT 0-0	Quick Boys
23/09/23 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Quick Boys	2-0 HT 1-0	Katwijk

Standings · Netherlands Tweede Divisie

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Quick Boys	7	6	0	1	19	4	18
2	De Treffers	7	4	3	0	19	6	15
3	Kozakken Boys	7	4	2	1	18	11	14
4	IJsselmeervogels	6	4	1	1	9	3	13
5	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves	7	3	3	1	21	12	12
6	HHC Hardenberg	7	3	2	2	13	11	11
7	Barendrecht	7	3	2	2	12	10	11
8	Katwijk	7	3	2	2	10	8	11
9	Amsterdamsche FC	7	3	1	3	11	12	10
10	Spakenburg	7	3	1	3	9	11	10
11	RKAV Volendam	7	2	3	2	9	13	9
12	Rijnsburgse Boys	7	2	1	4	11	21	7
13	GVVV Veenendaal	6	2	0	4	11	16	6
14	Koninklijke HFC	7	1	3	3	9	13	6
15	HSV Hoek	7	1	3	3	8	12	6
16	Kloetinge	7	1	3	3	10	17	6
17	Almere City Reserves	7	1	1	5	11	16	4
18	ROHDA Raalte	7	0	1	6	6	20	1

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Quick Boys

DWWWWWWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Koninklijke HFC Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-1	3-2	4	5	W
26/09	HHC Hardenberg Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	2-0	8	3	W
19/09	Rijnsburgse Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	1-3	0	3	L
12/09	ROHDA Raalte Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	3-1	9	2	W
05/09	GVVV Veenendaal Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-0	3-0	3	0	W
29/08	Kloetinge Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-0	4-0	7	1	W
22/08	IJsselmeervogels Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	1-0	7	4	W
15/08	RKAV Volendam Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-0	5-0	5	2	W
23/05	Kozakken Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-0	2-1	6	3	W
16/05	IJsselmeervogels Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-2	2-2	8	7	D

Katwijk

LWLDWWDLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Kozakken Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-2	1-5	9	2	L
26/09	Amsterdamsche FC Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	1-0	3	5	W
19/09	De Treffers Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-2	1-2	5	3	L
12/09	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-2	2-2	9	7	D
05/09	Almere City Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-2	3-2	6	3	W
29/08	Barendrecht Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-0	2-0	4	0	W
22/08	HSV Hoek Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	1-1	7	5	D
15/08	Spakenburg Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	0-1	4	3	L
23/05	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	4-1	3	2	W
16/05	Spakenburg Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	1-2	2	0	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Quick Boys vs Katwijk?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Quick Boys win (62%). Probabilities: Quick Boys 62%, draw 20%, Katwijk 18%.

How many goals are expected in Quick Boys vs Katwijk?

The model expects 3.46 goals (Quick Boys 2.29 · Katwijk 1.17), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Quick Boys vs Katwijk?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.