Football · Netherlands Tweede Divisie · 17/10, 14:30

Prediction: HHC Hardenberg vs GVVV Veenendaal

Team pages: HHC Hardenberg · GVVV Veenendaal

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.83Total

HHC Hardenberg2.05

GVVV Veenendaal1.77

1X2

44% 23% 33%

HHC Hardenberg Draw GVVV Veenendaal

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

HHC Hardenberg 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWDDLLWD

GVVV Veenendaal 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LLLLLWWWWW

Head-to-head

HHC Hardenberg 2–1–3 GVVV Veenendaal (6 last)

GVVV Veenendaal1-2HHC Hardenberg
HHC Hardenberg3-2GVVV Veenendaal
HHC Hardenberg1-1GVVV Veenendaal
GVVV Veenendaal2-1HHC Hardenberg
HHC Hardenberg0-1GVVV Veenendaal
GVVV Veenendaal2-1HHC Hardenberg

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · HHC Hardenberg 1536 · GVVV Veenendaal 1513

	HHC Hardenberg	Draw	GVVV Veenendaal
Our model	44%	23%	33%
Market	44%	24%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 3.83 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours GVVV Veenendaal: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	HHC Hardenberg	GVVV Veenendaal
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.7	2.5 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.5	1.5 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/20/30%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 5.7	1.9 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.1	1.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.05

X3.80

22.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.88

2 (+0.25)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.95

Under 3.251.85

Diff.: 1.05 · xG: 4.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:31

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
12:15 +16’	2.05	3.80	2.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · HHC Hardenberg 2–1–3 GVVV Veenendaal

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	GVVV Veenendaal	1-2 HT 0-1	HHC Hardenberg
08/11/25 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	HHC Hardenberg	3-2 HT 1-1	GVVV Veenendaal
15/03/25 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	HHC Hardenberg	1-1 HT 0-1	GVVV Veenendaal
12/10/24 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	GVVV Veenendaal	2-1 HT 1-0	HHC Hardenberg
30/03/24 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	HHC Hardenberg	0-1 HT 0-1	GVVV Veenendaal
28/10/23 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	GVVV Veenendaal	2-1 HT 1-0	HHC Hardenberg

Standings · Netherlands Tweede Divisie

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Quick Boys	9	8	0	1	28	6	24
2	Kozakken Boys	9	6	2	1	25	12	20
3	De Treffers	9	5	3	1	24	9	18
4	IJsselmeervogels	9	5	1	3	12	8	16
5	GVVV Veenendaal	9	5	0	4	21	18	15
6	HHC Hardenberg	9	4	3	2	18	15	15
7	Barendrecht	9	4	2	3	15	16	14
8	Amsterdamsche FC	9	4	1	4	14	14	13
9	Spakenburg	9	4	1	4	11	14	13
10	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves	9	3	3	3	24	19	12
11	RKAV Volendam	9	3	3	3	18	19	12
12	Katwijk	9	3	2	4	11	19	11
13	Almere City Reserves	9	3	1	5	19	18	10
14	Rijnsburgse Boys	9	3	1	5	16	26	10
15	HSV Hoek	9	2	3	4	11	15	9
16	Kloetinge	9	1	4	4	14	24	7
17	Koninklijke HFC	9	1	3	5	11	18	6
18	ROHDA Raalte	9	0	1	8	9	31	1

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	HHC Hardenberg	GVVV Veenendaal
Kloetinge	3-3 D	3-0 W
IJsselmeervogels	2-1 W	3-0 W
Quick Boys	0-2 L	0-3 L
Kozakken Boys	1-2 L	2-3 L
Amsterdamsche FC	2-2 D	2-3 L
De Treffers	2-2 D	1-5 L
Almere City Reserves	2-1 W	4-5 L
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: HHC Hardenberg (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

HHC Hardenberg

WWWWDDLLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Kloetinge Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-0	3-3	–	–	D
03/10	IJsselmeervogels Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-0	2-1	6	2	W
26/09	Quick Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	0-2	2	3	L
19/09	Kozakken Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	1-2	5	3	L
12/09	Amsterdamsche FC Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	2-2	10	3	D
05/09	De Treffers Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	2-2	8	6	D
29/08	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-1	3-1	7	6	W
22/08	Almere City Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
15/08	Barendrecht Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-0	3-1	–	–	W
23/05	Amsterdamsche FC Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-0	3-2	2	1	W

GVVV Veenendaal

LLLLLWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Rijnsburgse Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	4-0	4-1	12	2	W
03/10	ROHDA Raalte Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	3-1	2	2	W
26/09	RKAV Volendam Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-0	3-2	1	1	W
19/09	Kloetinge Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	3-0	2	2	W
12/09	IJsselmeervogels Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-0	3-0	2	1	W
05/09	Quick Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-2	0-3	7	0	L
29/08	Kozakken Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-1	2-3	4	4	L
22/08	Amsterdamsche FC Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-2	2-3	–	–	L
15/08	De Treffers Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-2	1-5	–	–	L
23/05	Almere City Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-2	4-5	5	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in HHC Hardenberg vs GVVV Veenendaal?

According to our model, the most likely result is a HHC Hardenberg win (44%). Probabilities: HHC Hardenberg 44%, draw 23%, GVVV Veenendaal 33%.

How many goals are expected in HHC Hardenberg vs GVVV Veenendaal?

The model expects 3.83 goals (HHC Hardenberg 2.05 · GVVV Veenendaal 1.77), with a 54% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in HHC Hardenberg vs GVVV Veenendaal?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.