Football · Netherlands Tweede Divisie · 17/10, 15:00

Prediction: Barendrecht vs Amsterdamsche FC

Team pages: Barendrecht · Amsterdamsche FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.15Total

Barendrecht1.54

Amsterdamsche FC1.61

1X2

36% 25% 39%

Barendrecht Draw Amsterdamsche FC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Barendrecht 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

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Amsterdamsche FC 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Barendrecht 1–1–4 Amsterdamsche FC (6 last)

Barendrecht2-0Amsterdamsche FC
Amsterdamsche FC3-1Barendrecht
Barendrecht1-3Amsterdamsche FC
Amsterdamsche FC2-2Barendrecht
Amsterdamsche FC3-0Barendrecht
Barendrecht0-3Amsterdamsche FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Barendrecht 1532 · Amsterdamsche FC 1517

	Barendrecht	Draw	Amsterdamsche FC
Our model	36%	26%	39%
Market	37%	24%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 3.15 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Amsterdamsche FC: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Barendrecht	Amsterdamsche FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.8	1.6 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 1	0.8 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	50/10/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.1 / 5.6	1.5 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.4	3 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.45

X3.80

22.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.00

2 (0)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.95

Under 3.251.85

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:34

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
12:29 +5’	2.45	3.80	2.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Barendrecht 1–1–4 Amsterdamsche FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/02/26 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Barendrecht	2-0 HT 1-0	Amsterdamsche FC
20/09/25 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Amsterdamsche FC	3-1 HT 1-1	Barendrecht
15/02/25 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Barendrecht	1-3 HT 0-1	Amsterdamsche FC
21/09/24 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Amsterdamsche FC	2-2 HT 1-0	Barendrecht
13/04/19 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Amsterdamsche FC	3-0	Barendrecht
24/11/18 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Barendrecht	0-3	Amsterdamsche FC

Standings · Netherlands Tweede Divisie

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Quick Boys	9	8	0	1	28	6	24
2	Kozakken Boys	9	6	2	1	25	12	20
3	De Treffers	9	5	3	1	24	9	18
4	IJsselmeervogels	9	5	1	3	12	8	16
5	GVVV Veenendaal	9	5	0	4	21	18	15
6	HHC Hardenberg	9	4	3	2	18	15	15
7	Barendrecht	9	4	2	3	15	16	14
8	Amsterdamsche FC	9	4	1	4	14	14	13
9	Spakenburg	9	4	1	4	11	14	13
10	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves	9	3	3	3	24	19	12
11	RKAV Volendam	9	3	3	3	18	19	12
12	Katwijk	9	3	2	4	11	19	11
13	Almere City Reserves	9	3	1	5	19	18	10
14	Rijnsburgse Boys	9	3	1	5	16	26	10
15	HSV Hoek	9	2	3	4	11	15	9
16	Kloetinge	9	1	4	4	14	24	7
17	Koninklijke HFC	9	1	3	5	11	18	6
18	ROHDA Raalte	9	0	1	8	9	31	1

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Barendrecht	Amsterdamsche FC
HSV Hoek	1-1 D	2-0 W
Spakenburg	3-1 W	1-2 L
Katwijk	0-2 L	0-1 L
Koninklijke HFC	2-1 W	3-1 W
HHC Hardenberg	1-3 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Amsterdamsche FC (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Barendrecht

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	De Treffers Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-3	0-4	5	2	L
03/10	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	3-2	12	3	W
26/09	Almere City Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	4-1	7	8	W
19/09	RKAV Volendam Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	1-1	5	5	D
12/09	HSV Hoek Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	1-1	1	5	D
05/09	Spakenburg Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	3-1	–	–	W
29/08	Katwijk Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-2	0-2	5	0	L
22/08	Koninklijke HFC Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
15/08	HHC Hardenberg Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-2	1-3	–	–	L
23/05	Excelsior Maassluis Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	1-2	4	7	L

Amsterdamsche FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	HSV Hoek Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-0	2-0	5	1	W
03/10	Spakenburg Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-2	1-2	6	2	L
26/09	Katwijk Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	0-1	3	5	L
19/09	Koninklijke HFC Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	3-1	6	0	W
12/09	HHC Hardenberg Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	2-2	6	3	D
05/09	Rijnsburgse Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-2	0-3	1	8	L
29/08	ROHDA Raalte Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	2-0	4	6	W
22/08	GVVV Veenendaal Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-1	3-2	–	–	W
15/08	Kloetinge Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	1-3	–	–	L
23/05	HHC Hardenberg Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-2	2-3	7	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Barendrecht vs Amsterdamsche FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Amsterdamsche FC win (39%). Probabilities: Barendrecht 36%, draw 25%, Amsterdamsche FC 39%.

How many goals are expected in Barendrecht vs Amsterdamsche FC?

The model expects 3.15 goals (Barendrecht 1.54 · Amsterdamsche FC 1.61), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Barendrecht vs Amsterdamsche FC?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.