Football · Netherlands Tweede Divisie · 17/10, 15:00

Prediction: Spakenburg vs Quick Boys

Team pages: Spakenburg · Quick Boys

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.32Total

Spakenburg1.36

Quick Boys1.96

1X2

26% 23% 51%

Spakenburg Draw Quick Boys

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Spakenburg 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

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Quick Boys 9-0-1 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Spakenburg 2–2–2 Quick Boys (6 last)

Spakenburg3-1Quick Boys
Quick Boys5-2Spakenburg
Quick Boys1-0Spakenburg
Spakenburg2-2Quick Boys
Spakenburg5-1Quick Boys
Quick Boys1-1Spakenburg

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Spakenburg 1506 · Quick Boys 1576

	Spakenburg	Draw	Quick Boys
Our model	26%	24%	51%
Market	26%	22%	51%

Estimated total (ours) 3.32 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Quick Boys (rating 1506 vs 1576).
High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Spakenburg	Quick Boys
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.7	3 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.8	1.6 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	70/30/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 5.6	2.8 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.4 / 0.2	2.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.40

X4.00

21.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.80

2 (-0.75)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.90

Under 3.251.90

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:34

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	1.75 → 1.75	Bet365 1.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
12:09 +25’	3.40	4.00	1.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Spakenburg 2–2–2 Quick Boys

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/03/26 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Spakenburg	3-1 HT 1-1	Quick Boys
04/10/25 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Quick Boys	5-2 HT 3-1	Spakenburg
03/05/25 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Quick Boys	1-0 HT 0-0	Spakenburg
23/11/24 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Spakenburg	2-2 HT 1-1	Quick Boys
04/05/24 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Spakenburg	5-1 HT 1-0	Quick Boys
25/11/23 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Quick Boys	1-1 HT 1-0	Spakenburg

Standings · Netherlands Tweede Divisie

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Quick Boys	9	8	0	1	28	6	24
2	Kozakken Boys	9	6	2	1	25	12	20
3	De Treffers	9	5	3	1	24	9	18
4	IJsselmeervogels	9	5	1	3	12	8	16
5	GVVV Veenendaal	9	5	0	4	21	18	15
6	HHC Hardenberg	9	4	3	2	18	15	15
7	Barendrecht	9	4	2	3	15	16	14
8	Amsterdamsche FC	9	4	1	4	14	14	13
9	Spakenburg	9	4	1	4	11	14	13
10	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves	9	3	3	3	24	19	12
11	RKAV Volendam	9	3	3	3	18	19	12
12	Katwijk	9	3	2	4	11	19	11
13	Almere City Reserves	9	3	1	5	19	18	10
14	Rijnsburgse Boys	9	3	1	5	16	26	10
15	HSV Hoek	9	2	3	4	11	15	9
16	Kloetinge	9	1	4	4	14	24	7
17	Koninklijke HFC	9	1	3	5	11	18	6
18	ROHDA Raalte	9	0	1	8	9	31	1

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Spakenburg	Quick Boys
Kozakken Boys	0-2 L	2-1 W
RKAV Volendam	1-2 L	5-0 W
Katwijk	1-0 W	6-0 W
Koninklijke HFC	2-3 L	3-2 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 3 L	4 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Quick Boys (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Spakenburg

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Kozakken Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	0-2	7	3	L
03/10	Amsterdamsche FC Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-1	2-1	5	2	W
26/09	De Treffers Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-3	0-5	4	2	L
19/09	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	1-1	6	6	D
12/09	Almere City Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-0	3-0	5	1	W
05/09	Barendrecht Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	1-3	–	–	L
29/08	HSV Hoek Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	2-0	5	4	W
22/08	RKAV Volendam Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	1-2	7	2	L
15/08	Katwijk Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	1-0	6	3	W
23/05	Koninklijke HFC Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	2-3	5	1	L

Quick Boys

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Katwijk Netherlands Tweede Divisie	3-0	6-0	11	7	W
03/10	Koninklijke HFC Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-1	3-2	4	5	W
26/09	HHC Hardenberg Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	2-0	8	3	W
19/09	Rijnsburgse Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	1-3	0	3	L
12/09	ROHDA Raalte Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	3-1	9	2	W
05/09	GVVV Veenendaal Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-0	3-0	3	0	W
29/08	Kloetinge Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-0	4-0	7	1	W
22/08	IJsselmeervogels Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	1-0	7	4	W
15/08	RKAV Volendam Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-0	5-0	5	2	W
23/05	Kozakken Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-0	2-1	6	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Spakenburg vs Quick Boys?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Quick Boys win (51%). Probabilities: Spakenburg 26%, draw 23%, Quick Boys 51%.

How many goals are expected in Spakenburg vs Quick Boys?

The model expects 3.32 goals (Spakenburg 1.36 · Quick Boys 1.96), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Spakenburg vs Quick Boys?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.