Football · Netherlands Tweede Divisie · 24/10, 15:00

Prediction: ROHDA Raalte vs HHC Hardenberg

Team pages: ROHDA Raalte · HHC Hardenberg

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.72Total

ROHDA Raalte1.07

HHC Hardenberg2.65

1X2

13% 17% 71%

ROHDA Raalte Draw HHC Hardenberg

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-2 9%

Recent form · 10 last

ROHDA Raalte 0-1-9 (W-D-L)

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HHC Hardenberg 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · ROHDA Raalte 1401 · HHC Hardenberg 1524

	ROHDA Raalte	Draw	HHC Hardenberg
Our model	12%	17%	70%
Market	13%	16%	71%

Estimated total (ours) 3.72 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours HHC Hardenberg (rating 1401 vs 1524).
Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	ROHDA Raalte	HHC Hardenberg
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 3.2	2 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.9	0.9 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 3.6	2.7 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0	3.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

17.00

X5.50

21.27

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.75)1.90

2 (-1.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.98

Under 3.51.82

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:35

	Bet365	Best now
1	7.00 → 7.00	Bet365 7.00
X	5.50 → 5.50	Pinn 5.58
2	1.27 → 1.27	Pinn 1.32 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2% Pinnacle margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
13:53 +42’	7.00	5.50	1.27

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:18 +45’	5.97	5.58	1.32

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Netherlands Tweede Divisie

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Quick Boys	10	8	1	1	29	7	25
2	De Treffers	10	6	3	1	27	11	21
3	Kozakken Boys	10	6	3	1	25	12	21
4	IJsselmeervogels	10	6	1	3	14	9	19
5	HHC Hardenberg	10	5	3	2	20	16	18
6	Barendrecht	10	5	2	3	19	17	17
7	GVVV Veenendaal	10	5	0	5	22	20	15
8	RKAV Volendam	10	4	3	3	20	20	15
9	Spakenburg	10	4	2	4	12	15	14
10	Amsterdamsche FC	10	4	1	5	15	18	13
11	Rijnsburgse Boys	10	4	1	5	17	26	13
12	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves	10	3	3	4	25	21	12
13	Katwijk	10	3	2	5	12	21	11
14	Almere City Reserves	10	3	1	6	21	21	10
15	HSV Hoek	10	2	4	4	11	15	10
16	Koninklijke HFC	10	2	3	5	13	19	9
17	Kloetinge	10	1	4	5	15	26	7
18	ROHDA Raalte	10	0	1	9	9	32	1

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	ROHDA Raalte	HHC Hardenberg
GVVV Veenendaal	1-3 L	2-1 W
Kloetinge	3-3 D	3-3 D
IJsselmeervogels	0-1 L	2-1 W
Quick Boys	1-3 L	0-2 L
Kozakken Boys	1-2 L	1-2 L
Amsterdamsche FC	0-2 L	2-2 D
De Treffers	0-3 L	2-2 D
Sparta Rotterdam Reserves	1-6 L	3-1 W
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 7 L	3 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: HHC Hardenberg (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

ROHDA Raalte

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Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Rijnsburgse Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	0-1	3	3	L
10/10	RKAV Volendam Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-6	2-8	3	4	L
03/10	GVVV Veenendaal Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	1-3	3	2	L
26/09	Kloetinge Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-0	3-3	6	2	D
19/09	IJsselmeervogels Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
12/09	Quick Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	1-3	4	2	L
05/09	Kozakken Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	1-2	5	4	L
29/08	Amsterdamsche FC Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	0-2	1	6	L
23/08	De Treffers Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	0-3	–	–	L
15/08	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	1-6	–	–	L

HHC Hardenberg

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Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	GVVV Veenendaal Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	2-1	6	0	W
10/10	Kloetinge Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-0	3-3	–	–	D
03/10	IJsselmeervogels Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-0	2-1	6	2	W
26/09	Quick Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	0-2	2	3	L
19/09	Kozakken Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	1-2	5	3	L
12/09	Amsterdamsche FC Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	2-2	10	3	D
05/09	De Treffers Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	2-2	8	6	D
29/08	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-1	3-1	7	6	W
22/08	Almere City Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
15/08	Barendrecht Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-0	3-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in ROHDA Raalte vs HHC Hardenberg?

According to our model, the most likely result is an HHC Hardenberg win (71%). Probabilities: ROHDA Raalte 13%, draw 17%, HHC Hardenberg 71%.

How many goals are expected in ROHDA Raalte vs HHC Hardenberg?

The model expects 3.72 goals (ROHDA Raalte 1.07 · HHC Hardenberg 2.65), with a 51% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in ROHDA Raalte vs HHC Hardenberg?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.