Football · Netherlands Tweede Divisie · 24/10, 17:00

Prediction: De Treffers vs Sparta Rotterdam Reserves

Team pages: De Treffers · Sparta Rotterdam Reserves

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.2Total

De Treffers2.72

Sparta Rotterdam Reserves1.48

1X2

63% 18% 19%

De Treffers Draw Sparta Rotterdam Reserves

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

2-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

De Treffers 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

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Sparta Rotterdam Reserves 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

De Treffers 5–1 Sparta Rotterdam Reserves (6 last)

Sparta Rotterdam Reserves1-4De Treffers
De Treffers2-1Sparta Rotterdam Reserves
Sparta Rotterdam Reserves1-2De Treffers
De Treffers2-5Sparta Rotterdam Reserves
De Treffers2-1Sparta Rotterdam Reserves
Sparta Rotterdam Reserves0-1De Treffers

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · De Treffers 1588 · Sparta Rotterdam Reserves 1466

	De Treffers	Draw	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves
Our model	63%	18%	19%
Market	63%	18%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 4.2 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours De Treffers (rating 1588 vs 1466).
H2H favours De Treffers: 5-0-1.
High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	De Treffers	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves
Goals for / against (FT)	2.7 / 1.1	2.5 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 0.4	1.1 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/10/20%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.3 / 5.5	2.4 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.1	5.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.42

X5.00

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.98

2 (+1.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 41.98

Under 41.82

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 4.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:29

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.42 → 1.42	Bet365 1.42
X	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
2	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
12:57 +33’	1.42	5.00	4.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · De Treffers 5–0–1 Sparta Rotterdam Reserves

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves	1-4 HT 0-2	De Treffers
06/12/25 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	De Treffers	2-1 HT 2-0	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves
12/04/25 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves	1-2 HT 0-1	De Treffers
09/11/24 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	De Treffers	2-5 HT 0-2	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves
03/02/24 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	De Treffers	2-1 HT 0-1	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves
09/09/23 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves	0-1 HT 0-0	De Treffers

Standings · Netherlands Tweede Divisie

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Quick Boys	10	8	1	1	29	7	25
2	De Treffers	10	6	3	1	27	11	21
3	Kozakken Boys	10	6	3	1	25	12	21
4	IJsselmeervogels	10	6	1	3	14	9	19
5	HHC Hardenberg	10	5	3	2	20	16	18
6	Barendrecht	10	5	2	3	19	17	17
7	GVVV Veenendaal	10	5	0	5	22	20	15
8	RKAV Volendam	10	4	3	3	20	20	15
9	Spakenburg	10	4	2	4	12	15	14
10	Amsterdamsche FC	10	4	1	5	15	18	13
11	Rijnsburgse Boys	10	4	1	5	17	26	13
12	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves	10	3	3	4	25	21	12
13	Katwijk	10	3	2	5	12	21	11
14	Almere City Reserves	10	3	1	6	21	21	10
15	HSV Hoek	10	2	4	4	11	15	10
16	Koninklijke HFC	10	2	3	5	13	19	9
17	Kloetinge	10	1	4	5	15	26	7
18	ROHDA Raalte	10	0	1	9	9	32	1

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	De Treffers	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves
Almere City Reserves	3-2 W	1-4 L
Barendrecht	4-0 W	2-3 L
HSV Hoek	1-3 L	3-0 W
Spakenburg	5-0 W	1-1 D
Katwijk	2-1 W	2-2 D
Koninklijke HFC	1-1 D	2-2 D
HHC Hardenberg	2-2 D	1-3 L
Rijnsburgse Boys	1-1 D	6-3 W
ROHDA Raalte	3-0 W	6-1 W
Record vs common	5 W 3 D 1 L	3 W 3 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: De Treffers (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

De Treffers

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Almere City Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	3-2	6	1	W
10/10	Barendrecht Netherlands Tweede Divisie	3-0	4-0	10	2	W
03/10	HSV Hoek Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-2	1-3	6	5	L
26/09	Spakenburg Netherlands Tweede Divisie	3-0	5-0	4	2	W
19/09	Katwijk Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-1	2-1	3	3	W
12/09	Koninklijke HFC Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	1-1	6	4	D
05/09	HHC Hardenberg Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	2-2	7	6	D
29/08	Rijnsburgse Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	1-1	2	5	D
23/08	ROHDA Raalte Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	3-0	–	–	W
15/08	GVVV Veenendaal Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-0	5-1	–	–	W

Sparta Rotterdam Reserves

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	RKAV Volendam Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	1-2	3	5	L
10/10	Almere City Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-2	1-4	7	4	L
03/10	Barendrecht Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	2-3	5	3	L
26/09	HSV Hoek Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	3-0	9	7	W
19/09	Spakenburg Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	1-1	4	6	D
12/09	Katwijk Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-0	2-2	6	7	D
05/09	Koninklijke HFC Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-0	2-2	5	3	D
29/08	HHC Hardenberg Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-2	1-3	7	6	L
22/08	Rijnsburgse Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-1	6-3	–	–	W
15/08	ROHDA Raalte Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	6-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in De Treffers vs Sparta Rotterdam Reserves?

According to our model, the most likely result is a De Treffers win (63%). Probabilities: De Treffers 63%, draw 18%, Sparta Rotterdam Reserves 19%.

How many goals are expected in De Treffers vs Sparta Rotterdam Reserves?

The model expects 4.2 goals (De Treffers 2.72 · Sparta Rotterdam Reserves 1.48), with a 51% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in De Treffers vs Sparta Rotterdam Reserves?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.