Football · Netherlands Tweede Divisie · 24/10, 15:00

Prediction: Kozakken Boys vs Barendrecht

Team pages: Kozakken Boys · Barendrecht

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.47Total

Kozakken Boys2.16

Barendrecht1.32

1X2

56% 22% 22%

Kozakken Boys Draw Barendrecht

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Kozakken Boys 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

LDWWWWDWWD

Barendrecht 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LWLWDDWWLW

Head-to-head

Kozakken Boys 4–2–0 Barendrecht (6 last)

Kozakken Boys1-0Barendrecht
Kozakken Boys2-2Barendrecht
Barendrecht0-1Kozakken Boys
Barendrecht1-1Kozakken Boys
Kozakken Boys4-0Barendrecht
Barendrecht1-2Kozakken Boys

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kozakken Boys 1593 · Barendrecht 1535

	Kozakken Boys	Draw	Barendrecht
Our model	56%	22%	22%
Market	56%	21%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 3.47 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kozakken Boys (rating 1593 vs 1535).
H2H favours Kozakken Boys: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kozakken Boys	Barendrecht
Goals for / against (FT)	2.5 / 1.2	1.9 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.6	0.7 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/10/40%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.8	2.9 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0.1	3.9 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.60

X4.20

24.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.98

2 (+1)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.98

Under 3.51.82

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:23

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.60 → 1.60	Pinn 1.63
X	4.20 → 4.20	Pinn 4.34 ★
2	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 10.7%

Time*	1	X	2
13:18 +5’	1.60	4.20	4.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:11 +51’	1.63	4.34	3.83

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Kozakken Boys 4–2–0 Barendrecht

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
07/02/26 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Kozakken Boys	1-0 HT 0-0	Barendrecht
23/09/25 Netherlands Cup	Kozakken Boys	2-2 HT 1-1	Barendrecht
13/09/25 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Barendrecht	0-1 HT 0-0	Kozakken Boys
23/02/19 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Barendrecht	1-1	Kozakken Boys
17/11/18 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Kozakken Boys	4-0 HT 1-0	Barendrecht
28/04/18 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Barendrecht	1-2 HT 0-0	Kozakken Boys

Standings · Netherlands Tweede Divisie

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Quick Boys	10	8	1	1	29	7	25
2	De Treffers	10	6	3	1	27	11	21
3	Kozakken Boys	10	6	3	1	25	12	21
4	IJsselmeervogels	10	6	1	3	14	9	19
5	HHC Hardenberg	10	5	3	2	20	16	18
6	Barendrecht	10	5	2	3	19	17	17
7	GVVV Veenendaal	10	5	0	5	22	20	15
8	RKAV Volendam	10	4	3	3	20	20	15
9	Spakenburg	10	4	2	4	12	15	14
10	Amsterdamsche FC	10	4	1	5	15	18	13
11	Rijnsburgse Boys	10	4	1	5	17	26	13
12	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves	10	3	3	4	25	21	12
13	Katwijk	10	3	2	5	12	21	11
14	Almere City Reserves	10	3	1	6	21	21	10
15	HSV Hoek	10	2	4	4	11	15	10
16	Koninklijke HFC	10	2	3	5	13	19	9
17	Kloetinge	10	1	4	5	15	26	7
18	ROHDA Raalte	10	0	1	9	9	32	1

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kozakken Boys	Barendrecht
HSV Hoek	0-0 D	1-1 D
Spakenburg	2-0 W	3-1 W
Katwijk	5-1 W	0-2 L
Koninklijke HFC	1-1 D	2-1 W
HHC Hardenberg	2-1 W	1-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 0 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Kozakken Boys (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kozakken Boys

LDWWWWDWWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	HSV Hoek Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
10/10	Spakenburg Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	2-0	2	3	W
03/10	Katwijk Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-0	5-1	8	2	W
26/09	Koninklijke HFC Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	1-1	5	3	D
19/09	HHC Hardenberg Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	2-1	4	3	W
12/09	Rijnsburgse Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	6-1	5	0	W
05/09	ROHDA Raalte Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	2-1	7	4	W
29/08	GVVV Veenendaal Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-2	3-2	6	4	W
22/08	Kloetinge Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-2	3-3	–	–	D
15/08	IJsselmeervogels Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	1-2	3	1	L

Barendrecht

LWLWDDWWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Amsterdamsche FC Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-1	4-1	1	7	W
10/10	De Treffers Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-3	0-4	5	2	L
03/10	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	3-2	12	3	W
26/09	Almere City Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	4-1	7	8	W
19/09	RKAV Volendam Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	1-1	5	5	D
12/09	HSV Hoek Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	1-1	1	5	D
05/09	Spakenburg Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	3-1	–	–	W
29/08	Katwijk Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-2	0-2	5	0	L
22/08	Koninklijke HFC Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
15/08	HHC Hardenberg Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-2	1-3	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kozakken Boys vs Barendrecht?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Kozakken Boys win (56%). Probabilities: Kozakken Boys 56%, draw 22%, Barendrecht 22%.

How many goals are expected in Kozakken Boys vs Barendrecht?

The model expects 3.47 goals (Kozakken Boys 2.16 · Barendrecht 1.32), with a 53% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Kozakken Boys vs Barendrecht?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.