Football · Netherlands Tweede Divisie · 24/10, 15:00

Prediction: Quick Boys vs HSV Hoek

Team pages: Quick Boys · HSV Hoek

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.13Total

Quick Boys2.1

HSV Hoek1.03

1X2

62% 21% 17%

Quick Boys Draw HSV Hoek

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Quick Boys 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWWLWWWD

HSV Hoek 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

WDLLDDLWLD

Head-to-head

Quick Boys 1–1–0 HSV Hoek (2 last)

HSV Hoek1-1Quick Boys
Quick Boys2-0HSV Hoek

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Quick Boys 1587 · HSV Hoek 1476

	Quick Boys	Draw	HSV Hoek
Our model	61%	22%	17%
Market	62%	20%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 3.13 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Quick Boys (rating 1587 vs 1476).
High corners: 12.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Quick Boys	HSV Hoek
Goals for / against (FT)	2.9 / 0.7	1.1 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1.5 / 0.4	0.3 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/40/0%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.9	3.1 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0.2	4.1 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.44

X4.50

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.93

2 (+1.25)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.98

Under 3.251.82

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 16:03

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.38 → 1.44▲	Pinn 1.58 ★
X	4.75 → 4.50▼	Bet365 4.50
2	5.50 → 5.00▼	Bet365 5.00

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 10.7%

Time*	1	X	2
14:09 +26’	1.38	4.75	5.50
15:29 +33’	1.44▲	4.50▼	5.00▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
16:00 +3’	1.58	4.27	4.17

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Quick Boys 1–1–0 HSV Hoek

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/03/26 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	HSV Hoek	1-1 HT 0-0	Quick Boys
18/10/25 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Quick Boys	2-0 HT 0-0	HSV Hoek

Standings · Netherlands Tweede Divisie

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Quick Boys	10	8	1	1	29	7	25
2	De Treffers	10	6	3	1	27	11	21
3	Kozakken Boys	10	6	3	1	25	12	21
4	IJsselmeervogels	10	6	1	3	14	9	19
5	HHC Hardenberg	10	5	3	2	20	16	18
6	Barendrecht	10	5	2	3	19	17	17
7	GVVV Veenendaal	10	5	0	5	22	20	15
8	RKAV Volendam	10	4	3	3	20	20	15
9	Spakenburg	10	4	2	4	12	15	14
10	Amsterdamsche FC	10	4	1	5	15	18	13
11	Rijnsburgse Boys	10	4	1	5	17	26	13
12	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves	10	3	3	4	25	21	12
13	Katwijk	10	3	2	5	12	21	11
14	Almere City Reserves	10	3	1	6	21	21	10
15	HSV Hoek	10	2	4	4	11	15	10
16	Koninklijke HFC	10	2	3	5	13	19	9
17	Kloetinge	10	1	4	5	15	26	7
18	ROHDA Raalte	10	0	1	9	9	32	1

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Quick Boys	HSV Hoek
Spakenburg	1-1 D	0-2 L
Katwijk	6-0 W	1-1 D
Koninklijke HFC	3-2 W	3-1 W
RKAV Volendam	5-0 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 0 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Quick Boys (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Quick Boys

WWWWWLWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Spakenburg Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	1-1	5	6	D
10/10	Katwijk Netherlands Tweede Divisie	3-0	6-0	11	7	W
03/10	Koninklijke HFC Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-1	3-2	4	5	W
26/09	HHC Hardenberg Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	2-0	8	3	W
19/09	Rijnsburgse Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	1-3	0	3	L
12/09	ROHDA Raalte Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	3-1	9	2	W
05/09	GVVV Veenendaal Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-0	3-0	3	0	W
29/08	Kloetinge Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-0	4-0	7	1	W
22/08	IJsselmeervogels Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	1-0	7	4	W
15/08	RKAV Volendam Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-0	5-0	5	2	W

HSV Hoek

WDLLDDLWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Kozakken Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	0-0	1	5	D
10/10	Amsterdamsche FC Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-2	0-2	8	1	L
03/10	De Treffers Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-0	3-1	7	5	W
26/09	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	0-3	5	7	L
19/09	Almere City Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	2-2	7	3	D
12/09	Barendrecht Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	1-1	7	5	D
05/09	RKAV Volendam Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	1-2	11	5	L
29/08	Spakenburg Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	0-2	3	4	L
22/08	Katwijk Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	1-1	7	5	D
15/08	Koninklijke HFC Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	3-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Quick Boys vs HSV Hoek?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Quick Boys win (62%). Probabilities: Quick Boys 62%, draw 21%, HSV Hoek 17%.

How many goals are expected in Quick Boys vs HSV Hoek?

The model expects 3.13 goals (Quick Boys 2.1 · HSV Hoek 1.03), with a 54% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Quick Boys vs HSV Hoek?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.