Football · Netherlands Tweede Divisie · 19/09, 15:00

Prediction: Katwijk vs De Treffers

Team pages: Katwijk · De Treffers

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.38Total

Katwijk1.51

De Treffers1.87

1X2

31% 24% 46%

Katwijk Draw De Treffers

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Katwijk 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LWWLWLDWWD

De Treffers 5-5-0 (W-D-L)

WWDWDWWDDD

Head-to-head

Katwijk 1–5 De Treffers (6 last)

De Treffers4-1Katwijk
Katwijk2-4De Treffers
Katwijk2-3De Treffers
De Treffers1-3Katwijk
De Treffers3-0Katwijk
Katwijk0-1De Treffers

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Katwijk 1510 · De Treffers 1590

	Katwijk	Draw	De Treffers
Our model	30%	24%	45%
Market	31%	23%	46%

Estimated total (ours) 3.38 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours De Treffers (rating 1510 vs 1590).
H2H favours De Treffers: 5-0-1.
High corners: 12.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Katwijk	De Treffers
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.5	2.3 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.8	0.7 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 6.3	4 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.2	3.3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.88

X3.90

21.95

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)2.00

2 (-0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.93

Under 3.251.88

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:50

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	1.95 → 1.95	Bet365 1.95

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
13:46 +4’	2.88	3.90	1.95

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Katwijk 1–0–5 De Treffers

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	De Treffers	4-1 HT 0-0	Katwijk
15/11/25 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Katwijk	2-4 HT 1-2	De Treffers
24/05/25 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Katwijk	2-3 HT 0-0	De Treffers
14/12/24 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	De Treffers	1-3 HT 0-2	Katwijk
23/03/24 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	De Treffers	3-0 HT 2-0	Katwijk
14/10/23 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Katwijk	0-1 HT 0-1	De Treffers

Standings · Netherlands Tweede Divisie

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Quick Boys	5	5	0	0	16	1	15
2	HHC Hardenberg	5	3	2	0	12	7	11
3	Kozakken Boys	5	3	1	1	15	9	10
4	De Treffers	5	2	3	0	12	5	9
5	Spakenburg	5	3	0	2	8	5	9
6	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves	5	2	2	1	17	11	8
7	Katwijk	5	2	2	1	8	6	8
8	RKAV Volendam	5	2	2	1	6	9	8
9	IJsselmeervogels	4	2	1	1	5	3	7
10	Barendrecht	5	2	1	2	7	8	7
11	Amsterdamsche FC	5	2	1	2	8	10	7
12	HSV Hoek	5	1	2	2	6	7	5
13	Koninklijke HFC	5	1	2	2	7	9	5
14	Kloetinge	5	1	2	2	7	11	5
15	Rijnsburgse Boys	5	1	1	3	8	17	4
16	Almere City Reserves	5	1	0	4	8	10	3
17	GVVV Veenendaal	4	0	0	4	5	14	0
18	ROHDA Raalte	5	0	0	5	3	16	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Katwijk	De Treffers
Sparta Rotterdam Reserves	2-2 D	4-1 W
HSV Hoek	1-1 D	2-2 D
Spakenburg	0-1 L	0-0 D
Koninklijke HFC	4-0 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 1 L	1 W 3 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: De Treffers (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Katwijk

LWWLWLDWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-2	2-2	9	7	D
05/09	Almere City Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-2	3-2	6	3	W
29/08	Barendrecht Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-0	2-0	4	0	W
22/08	HSV Hoek Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	1-1	7	5	D
15/08	Spakenburg Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	0-1	4	3	L
23/05	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	4-1	3	2	W
16/05	Spakenburg Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	1-2	2	0	L
09/05	Koninklijke HFC Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	4-0	14	1	W
25/04	ACV Assen Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-1	3-2	6	3	W
18/04	De Treffers Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	1-4	8	6	L

De Treffers

WWDWDWWDDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Koninklijke HFC Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	1-1	6	4	D
05/09	HHC Hardenberg Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	2-2	7	6	D
29/08	Rijnsburgse Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	1-1	2	5	D
23/08	ROHDA Raalte Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	3-0	–	–	W
15/08	GVVV Veenendaal Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-0	5-1	6	2	W
23/05	HSV Hoek Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	2-2	8	3	D
16/05	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-0	4-1	8	1	W
09/05	Spakenburg Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	0-0	8	2	D
25/04	Koninklijke HFC Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	1-0	11	3	W
18/04	Katwijk Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	4-1	0	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Katwijk vs De Treffers?

According to our model, the most likely result is an De Treffers win (46%). Probabilities: Katwijk 31%, draw 24%, De Treffers 46%.

How many goals are expected in Katwijk vs De Treffers?

The model expects 3.38 goals (Katwijk 1.51 · De Treffers 1.87), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Katwijk vs De Treffers?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.