Football · Netherlands Tweede Divisie · 19/09, 14:30

Prediction: HHC Hardenberg vs Kozakken Boys

Team pages: HHC Hardenberg · Kozakken Boys

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.24Total

HHC Hardenberg1.82

Kozakken Boys1.42

1X2

46% 24% 29%

HHC Hardenberg Draw Kozakken Boys

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

HHC Hardenberg 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WLLDWWWWDD

Kozakken Boys 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

DWWDLLDWWW

Head-to-head

HHC Hardenberg 2–3–1 Kozakken Boys (6 last)

HHC Hardenberg3-3Kozakken Boys
Kozakken Boys1-0HHC Hardenberg
Kozakken Boys1-1HHC Hardenberg
HHC Hardenberg0-0Kozakken Boys
Kozakken Boys1-4HHC Hardenberg
HHC Hardenberg2-1Kozakken Boys

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · HHC Hardenberg 1541 · Kozakken Boys 1540

	HHC Hardenberg	Draw	Kozakken Boys
Our model	46%	25%	29%
Market	47%	23%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 3.24 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours HHC Hardenberg: 2-3-1.
High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	HHC Hardenberg	Kozakken Boys
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.6	2.4 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.6	0.5 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.8	2.6 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.3	2.8 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.91

X3.80

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.00

2 (+0.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.252.00

Under 3.251.80

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 3.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:48

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
13:36 +11’	1.91	3.80	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · HHC Hardenberg 2–3–1 Kozakken Boys

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	HHC Hardenberg	3-3 HT 0-1	Kozakken Boys
06/12/25 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Kozakken Boys	1-0 HT 1-0	HHC Hardenberg
02/03/24 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Kozakken Boys	1-1 HT 0-1	HHC Hardenberg
30/09/23 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	HHC Hardenberg	0-0 HT 0-0	Kozakken Boys
06/05/23 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Kozakken Boys	1-4 HT 0-2	HHC Hardenberg
12/11/22 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	HHC Hardenberg	2-1 HT 1-0	Kozakken Boys

Standings · Netherlands Tweede Divisie

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Quick Boys	4	4	0	0	13	0	12
2	HHC Hardenberg	4	3	1	0	10	5	10
3	De Treffers	4	2	2	0	11	4	8
4	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves	4	2	1	1	15	9	7
5	Katwijk	4	2	1	1	6	4	7
6	IJsselmeervogels	4	2	1	1	5	3	7
7	Kozakken Boys	4	2	1	1	9	8	7
8	RKAV Volendam	4	2	1	1	5	8	7
9	Spakenburg	4	2	0	2	5	5	6
10	Barendrecht	4	2	0	2	6	7	6
11	Amsterdamsche FC	4	2	0	2	6	8	6
12	HSV Hoek	4	1	1	2	5	6	4
13	Koninklijke HFC	4	1	1	2	6	8	4
14	Rijnsburgse Boys	4	1	1	2	7	11	4
15	Kloetinge	4	1	1	2	6	10	4
16	Almere City Reserves	4	1	0	3	8	7	3
17	GVVV Veenendaal	4	0	0	4	5	14	0
18	ROHDA Raalte	4	0	0	4	2	13	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	HHC Hardenberg	Kozakken Boys
IJsselmeervogels	0-2 L	1-2 L
Quick Boys	1-2 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 2 L	0 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Kozakken Boys (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

HHC Hardenberg

WLLDWWWWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Amsterdamsche FC Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	2-2	10	3	D
05/09	De Treffers Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	2-2	8	6	D
29/08	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-1	3-1	7	6	W
22/08	Almere City Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
15/08	Barendrecht Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-0	3-1	8	4	W
23/05	Amsterdamsche FC Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-0	3-2	2	1	W
16/05	Kozakken Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	3-3	2	5	D
09/05	IJsselmeervogels Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	0-2	4	1	L
25/04	Quick Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	1-2	3	8	L
18/04	ACV Assen Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	2-0	8	2	W

Kozakken Boys

DWWDLLDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Rijnsburgse Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	6-1	5	0	W
05/09	ROHDA Raalte Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	2-1	7	4	W
29/08	GVVV Veenendaal Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-2	3-2	6	4	W
22/08	Kloetinge Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-2	3-3	–	–	D
15/08	IJsselmeervogels Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	1-2	3	1	L
23/05	Quick Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-2	1-2	7	3	L
16/05	HHC Hardenberg Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	3-3	12	5	D
09/05	GVVV Veenendaal Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	3-1	3	3	W
25/04	Excelsior Maassluis Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	2-1	5	6	W
18/04	RKAV Volendam Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	0-0	3	0	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in HHC Hardenberg vs Kozakken Boys?

According to our model, the most likely result is a HHC Hardenberg win (46%). Probabilities: HHC Hardenberg 46%, draw 24%, Kozakken Boys 29%.

How many goals are expected in HHC Hardenberg vs Kozakken Boys?

The model expects 3.24 goals (HHC Hardenberg 1.82 · Kozakken Boys 1.42), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in HHC Hardenberg vs Kozakken Boys?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.