Football · Netherlands Tweede Divisie · 19/09, 14:30

Prediction: RKAV Volendam vs Barendrecht

Team pages: RKAV Volendam · Barendrecht

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.6Total

RKAV Volendam1.88

Barendrecht1.72

1X2

41% 24% 35%

RKAV Volendam Draw Barendrecht

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

RKAV Volendam 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DLLWLLWDWD

Barendrecht 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LLWLLLWLWD

Head-to-head

RKAV Volendam 2–2 Barendrecht (4 last)

RKAV Volendam5-2Barendrecht
Barendrecht2-1RKAV Volendam
Barendrecht4-1RKAV Volendam
RKAV Volendam2-1Barendrecht

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · RKAV Volendam 1471 · Barendrecht 1470

	RKAV Volendam	Draw	Barendrecht
Our model	41%	24%	35%
Market	42%	23%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 3.6 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	RKAV Volendam	Barendrecht
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 2.4	1.5 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.9	0.7 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.2 / 3.3	3.1 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.2 / 0	3.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.15

X3.80

22.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.98

2 (+0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.90

Under 3.251.90

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.8

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 16:42

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 2.15▲	Bet365 2.15
X	3.90 → 3.80▼	Pinn 3.87
2	2.90 → 2.55▼	Pinn 2.82 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12% Pinnacle margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
13:26 +22’	1.91	3.90	2.90
16:37 +5’	2.15▲	3.80▼	2.55▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:24 +78’	2.03	3.87	2.82

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · RKAV Volendam 2–0–2 Barendrecht

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	RKAV Volendam	5-2 HT 0-1	Barendrecht
06/12/25 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Barendrecht	2-1 HT 2-0	RKAV Volendam
24/05/25 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Barendrecht	4-1 HT 1-1	RKAV Volendam
14/12/24 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	RKAV Volendam	2-1 HT 2-1	Barendrecht

Standings · Netherlands Tweede Divisie

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Quick Boys	5	5	0	0	16	1	15
2	HHC Hardenberg	5	3	2	0	12	7	11
3	Kozakken Boys	5	3	1	1	15	9	10
4	De Treffers	5	2	3	0	12	5	9
5	Spakenburg	5	3	0	2	8	5	9
6	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves	5	2	2	1	17	11	8
7	Katwijk	5	2	2	1	8	6	8
8	RKAV Volendam	5	2	2	1	6	9	8
9	IJsselmeervogels	4	2	1	1	5	3	7
10	Barendrecht	5	2	1	2	7	8	7
11	Amsterdamsche FC	5	2	1	2	8	10	7
12	HSV Hoek	5	1	2	2	6	7	5
13	Koninklijke HFC	5	1	2	2	7	9	5
14	Kloetinge	5	1	2	2	7	11	5
15	Rijnsburgse Boys	5	1	1	3	8	17	4
16	Almere City Reserves	5	1	0	4	8	10	3
17	GVVV Veenendaal	4	0	0	4	5	14	0
18	ROHDA Raalte	5	0	0	5	3	16	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	RKAV Volendam	Barendrecht
HSV Hoek	2-1 W	1-1 D
Spakenburg	2-1 W	3-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 0 L	1 W 1 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

RKAV Volendam

DLLWLLWDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Kloetinge Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
05/09	HSV Hoek Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	2-1	1	5	W
29/08	IJsselmeervogels Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	1-1	6	4	D
22/08	Spakenburg Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	2-1	5	2	W
15/08	Quick Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-2	0-5	3	2	L
23/05	Rijnsburgse Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-3	0-7	3	0	L
16/05	Barendrecht Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	5-2	2	2	W
09/05	Almere City Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-0	2-3	1	4	L
25/04	Amsterdamsche FC Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-2	0-3	3	1	L
18/04	Kozakken Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	0-0	6	0	D

Barendrecht

LLWLLLWLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	HSV Hoek Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	1-1	1	5	D
05/09	Spakenburg Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	3-1	–	–	W
29/08	Katwijk Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-2	0-2	5	0	L
22/08	Koninklijke HFC Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
15/08	HHC Hardenberg Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-2	1-3	14	4	L
23/05	Excelsior Maassluis Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	1-2	4	7	L
16/05	RKAV Volendam Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	2-5	7	2	L
09/05	HSV Hoek Netherlands Tweede Divisie	3-1	4-2	4	3	W
25/04	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	1-4	8	5	L
18/04	Spakenburg Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	0-3	5	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in RKAV Volendam vs Barendrecht?

According to our model, the most likely result is a RKAV Volendam win (41%). Probabilities: RKAV Volendam 41%, draw 24%, Barendrecht 35%.

How many goals are expected in RKAV Volendam vs Barendrecht?

The model expects 3.6 goals (RKAV Volendam 1.88 · Barendrecht 1.72), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in RKAV Volendam vs Barendrecht?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.