Football · Netherlands Tweede Divisie · 26/09, 15:00

Prediction: Quick Boys vs HHC Hardenberg

Team pages: Quick Boys · HHC Hardenberg

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.26Total

Quick Boys2.14

HHC Hardenberg1.12

1X2

60% 21% 19%

Quick Boys Draw HHC Hardenberg

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Quick Boys 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

WWDWWWWWWL

HHC Hardenberg 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LLDWWWWDDL

Head-to-head

Quick Boys 5–1 HHC Hardenberg (6 last)

HHC Hardenberg1-2Quick Boys
Quick Boys1-0HHC Hardenberg
Quick Boys4-0HHC Hardenberg
HHC Hardenberg1-0Quick Boys
Quick Boys3-2HHC Hardenberg
HHC Hardenberg1-3Quick Boys

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Quick Boys 1582 · HHC Hardenberg 1500

	Quick Boys	Draw	HHC Hardenberg
Our model	60%	22%	18%
Market	60%	21%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 3.26 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Quick Boys (rating 1582 vs 1500).
H2H favours Quick Boys: 5-0-1.
High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Quick Boys	HHC Hardenberg
Goals for / against (FT)	2.5 / 0.9	2 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1.4 / 0.5	0.7 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/30/10%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 5.9	2.1 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0.1	3.8 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.48

X4.33

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.98

2 (+1.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.98

Under 3.251.82

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.48 → 1.48	Pinn 1.50
X	4.33 → 4.33	Pinn 4.43 ★
2	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7% Pinnacle margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
13:52 +12’	1.48	4.33	4.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:11 +14’	1.50	4.43	4.68

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Quick Boys 5–0–1 HHC Hardenberg

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	HHC Hardenberg	1-2 HT 0-1	Quick Boys
22/11/25 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Quick Boys	1-0 HT 1-0	HHC Hardenberg
15/02/25 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Quick Boys	4-0 HT 1-0	HHC Hardenberg
21/09/24 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	HHC Hardenberg	1-0 HT 1-0	Quick Boys
23/03/24 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Quick Boys	3-2 HT 3-0	HHC Hardenberg
14/10/23 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	HHC Hardenberg	1-3 HT 0-0	Quick Boys

Standings · Netherlands Tweede Divisie

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Quick Boys	6	5	0	1	17	4	15
2	Kozakken Boys	6	4	1	1	17	10	13
3	De Treffers	6	3	3	0	14	6	12
4	HHC Hardenberg	6	3	2	1	13	9	11
5	IJsselmeervogels	5	3	1	1	6	3	10
6	Spakenburg	6	3	1	2	9	6	10
7	Amsterdamsche FC	6	3	1	2	11	11	10
8	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves	6	2	3	1	18	12	9
9	RKAV Volendam	6	2	3	1	7	10	9
10	Katwijk	6	2	2	2	9	8	8
11	Barendrecht	6	2	2	2	8	9	8
12	Rijnsburgse Boys	6	2	1	3	11	18	7
13	HSV Hoek	6	1	3	2	8	9	6
14	Koninklijke HFC	6	1	2	3	8	12	5
15	Kloetinge	6	1	2	3	7	14	5
16	Almere City Reserves	6	1	1	4	10	12	4
17	GVVV Veenendaal	5	1	0	4	8	14	3
18	ROHDA Raalte	6	0	0	6	3	17	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Quick Boys	HHC Hardenberg
IJsselmeervogels	1-0 W	0-2 L
Kozakken Boys	2-1 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 0 L	0 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Quick Boys (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Quick Boys

WWDWWWWWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Rijnsburgse Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	1-3	0	3	L
12/09	ROHDA Raalte Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	3-1	9	2	W
05/09	GVVV Veenendaal Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-0	3-0	3	0	W
29/08	Kloetinge Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-0	4-0	7	1	W
22/08	IJsselmeervogels Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	1-0	7	4	W
15/08	RKAV Volendam Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-0	5-0	5	2	W
23/05	Kozakken Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-0	2-1	6	3	W
16/05	IJsselmeervogels Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-2	2-2	8	7	D
09/05	ACV Assen Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	2-1	6	2	W
25/04	HHC Hardenberg Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	2-1	8	8	W

HHC Hardenberg

LLDWWWWDDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Kozakken Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	1-2	5	3	L
12/09	Amsterdamsche FC Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	2-2	10	3	D
05/09	De Treffers Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	2-2	8	6	D
29/08	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-1	3-1	7	6	W
22/08	Almere City Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
15/08	Barendrecht Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-0	3-1	8	4	W
23/05	Amsterdamsche FC Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-0	3-2	2	1	W
16/05	Kozakken Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	3-3	2	5	D
09/05	IJsselmeervogels Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	0-2	4	1	L
25/04	Quick Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	1-2	3	8	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Quick Boys vs HHC Hardenberg?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Quick Boys win (60%). Probabilities: Quick Boys 60%, draw 21%, HHC Hardenberg 19%.

How many goals are expected in Quick Boys vs HHC Hardenberg?

The model expects 3.26 goals (Quick Boys 2.14 · HHC Hardenberg 1.12), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Quick Boys vs HHC Hardenberg?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.