Football · Netherlands Tweede Divisie · 26/09, 15:00

Prediction: IJsselmeervogels vs Rijnsburgse Boys

Team pages: IJsselmeervogels · Rijnsburgse Boys

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.76Total

IJsselmeervogels1.87

Rijnsburgse Boys1.9

1X2

38% 23% 39%

IJsselmeervogels Draw Rijnsburgse Boys

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

IJsselmeervogels 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DLWDLWLDWW

Rijnsburgse Boys 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWLWLLDWLW

Head-to-head

IJsselmeervogels 2–1–3 Rijnsburgse Boys (6 last)

IJsselmeervogels2-2Rijnsburgse Boys
Rijnsburgse Boys1-3IJsselmeervogels
Rijnsburgse Boys4-1IJsselmeervogels
IJsselmeervogels0-3Rijnsburgse Boys
Rijnsburgse Boys1-0IJsselmeervogels
IJsselmeervogels2-1Rijnsburgse Boys

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · IJsselmeervogels 1517 · Rijnsburgse Boys 1509

	IJsselmeervogels	Draw	Rijnsburgse Boys
Our model	38%	23%	39%
Market	38%	24%	39%

Estimated total (ours) 3.76 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Rijnsburgse Boys: 3-1-2.
High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	IJsselmeervogels	Rijnsburgse Boys
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.2	2.4 / 2.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.4	1.1 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.3	3.1 / 6.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0	2.4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.38

X3.80

22.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.95

2 (0)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.95

Under 3.251.85

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:25

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.38 → 2.38	Bet365 2.38
X	3.80 → 3.80	Pinn 3.98 ★
2	2.30 → 2.30	Pinn 2.34

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9% Pinnacle margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
14:39 +46’	2.38	3.80	2.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:13 +12’	2.34	3.98	2.34

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · IJsselmeervogels 2–1–3 Rijnsburgse Boys

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/02/26 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	IJsselmeervogels	2-2 HT 1-1	Rijnsburgse Boys
13/09/25 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Rijnsburgse Boys	1-3 HT 1-3	IJsselmeervogels
25/02/23 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Rijnsburgse Boys	4-1 HT 3-0	IJsselmeervogels
06/09/22 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	IJsselmeervogels	0-3 HT 0-3	Rijnsburgse Boys
19/03/22 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Rijnsburgse Boys	1-0 HT 0-0	IJsselmeervogels
02/10/21 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	IJsselmeervogels	2-1 HT 1-1	Rijnsburgse Boys

Standings · Netherlands Tweede Divisie

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Quick Boys	6	5	0	1	17	4	15
2	Kozakken Boys	6	4	1	1	17	10	13
3	De Treffers	6	3	3	0	14	6	12
4	HHC Hardenberg	6	3	2	1	13	9	11
5	IJsselmeervogels	5	3	1	1	6	3	10
6	Spakenburg	6	3	1	2	9	6	10
7	Amsterdamsche FC	6	3	1	2	11	11	10
8	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves	6	2	3	1	18	12	9
9	RKAV Volendam	6	2	3	1	7	10	9
10	Katwijk	6	2	2	2	9	8	8
11	Barendrecht	6	2	2	2	8	9	8
12	Rijnsburgse Boys	6	2	1	3	11	18	7
13	HSV Hoek	6	1	3	2	8	9	6
14	Koninklijke HFC	6	1	2	3	8	12	5
15	Kloetinge	6	1	2	3	7	14	5
16	Almere City Reserves	6	1	1	4	10	12	4
17	GVVV Veenendaal	5	1	0	4	8	14	3
18	ROHDA Raalte	6	0	0	6	3	17	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	IJsselmeervogels	Rijnsburgse Boys
RKAV Volendam	1-1 D	7-0 W
Quick Boys	0-1 L	3-1 W
Kozakken Boys	2-1 W	1-6 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Rijnsburgse Boys (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

IJsselmeervogels

DLWDLWLDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	ROHDA Raalte Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
05/09	Kloetinge Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	2-0	7	2	W
29/08	RKAV Volendam Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	1-1	5	4	D
22/08	Quick Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	0-1	7	4	L
15/08	Kozakken Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	2-1	2	1	W
23/05	ACV Assen Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	2-4	2	3	L
16/05	Quick Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-1	2-2	5	7	D
09/05	HHC Hardenberg Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	2-0	4	1	W
25/04	GVVV Veenendaal Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	1-3	4	4	L
18/04	Excelsior Maassluis Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	0-0	3	1	D

Rijnsburgse Boys

LWLWLLDWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Quick Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	3-1	5	3	W
12/09	Kozakken Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	1-6	6	0	L
05/09	Amsterdamsche FC Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-0	3-0	14	8	W
29/08	De Treffers Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	1-1	4	5	D
22/08	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-2	3-6	–	–	L
15/08	Almere City Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-2	0-4	8	2	L
23/05	RKAV Volendam Netherlands Tweede Divisie	3-0	7-0	8	0	W
16/05	HSV Hoek Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	0-2	4	0	L
09/05	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-1	4-2	6	1	W
25/04	Spakenburg Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-2	2-3	7	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in IJsselmeervogels vs Rijnsburgse Boys?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Rijnsburgse Boys win (39%). Probabilities: IJsselmeervogels 38%, draw 23%, Rijnsburgse Boys 39%.

How many goals are expected in IJsselmeervogels vs Rijnsburgse Boys?

The model expects 3.76 goals (IJsselmeervogels 1.87 · Rijnsburgse Boys 1.9), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in IJsselmeervogels vs Rijnsburgse Boys?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.