Football · Netherlands Tweede Divisie · 07/11, 15:00

Prediction: Spakenburg vs Kloetinge

Team pages: Spakenburg · Kloetinge

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.62Total

Spakenburg2.29

Kloetinge1.33

1X2

58% 21% 21%

Spakenburg Draw Kloetinge

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Spakenburg 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

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Kloetinge 0-4-6 (W-D-L)

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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Spakenburg 1487 · Kloetinge 1415

	Spakenburg	Draw	Kloetinge
Our model	58%	21%	21%
Market	59%	20%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 3.62 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Spakenburg (rating 1487 vs 1415).
Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Spakenburg	Kloetinge
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.7	1.3 / 2.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 1	0.3 / 1.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	20/10/70%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 5.3	1.3 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0.3	1.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.53

X4.50

24.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.82

2 (+1)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.95

Under 3.51.85

Diff.: 0 · xG: 3.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:23

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.53 → 1.53	Bet365 1.53
X	4.50 → 4.50	Pinn 5.25 ★
2	4.20 → 4.20	Pinn 4.83

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 10%

Time*	1	X	2
15:18 +5’	1.53	4.50	4.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:12 +49’	1.42	5.25	4.83

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Netherlands Tweede Divisie

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Quick Boys	11	9	1	1	32	8	28
2	De Treffers	11	6	4	1	30	14	22
3	IJsselmeervogels	11	7	1	3	16	10	22
4	Kozakken Boys	11	6	3	2	25	13	21
5	HHC Hardenberg	11	6	3	2	21	16	21
6	Barendrecht	11	6	2	3	20	17	20
7	GVVV Veenendaal	11	6	0	5	24	20	18
8	RKAV Volendam	11	5	3	3	21	20	18
9	Spakenburg	11	4	2	5	13	17	14
10	Katwijk	11	4	2	5	15	22	14
11	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves	11	3	4	4	28	24	13
12	Almere City Reserves	11	4	1	6	22	21	13
13	Amsterdamsche FC	11	4	1	6	15	19	13
14	Rijnsburgse Boys	11	4	1	6	17	27	13
15	HSV Hoek	11	2	4	5	12	18	10
16	Koninklijke HFC	11	2	3	6	13	21	9
17	Kloetinge	11	1	4	6	16	29	7
18	ROHDA Raalte	11	0	1	10	9	33	1

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Spakenburg	Kloetinge
IJsselmeervogels	1-2 L	0-2 L
Quick Boys	1-1 D	0-4 L
Kozakken Boys	0-2 L	3-3 D
RKAV Volendam	1-2 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 3 L	0 W 2 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Spakenburg

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	IJsselmeervogels Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	1-2	5	5	L
17/10	Quick Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	1-1	4	6	D
10/10	Kozakken Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	0-2	7	3	L
03/10	Amsterdamsche FC Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-1	2-1	5	2	W
26/09	De Treffers Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-3	0-5	4	2	L
19/09	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	1-1	6	6	D
12/09	Almere City Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-0	3-0	5	1	W
05/09	Barendrecht Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	1-3	–	–	L
29/08	HSV Hoek Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	2-0	5	4	W
22/08	RKAV Volendam Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	1-2	7	2	L

Kloetinge

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Katwijk Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-2	1-3	–	–	L
17/10	Koninklijke HFC Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	1-2	2	2	L
10/10	HHC Hardenberg Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-2	3-3	–	–	D
03/10	Rijnsburgse Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-4	1-4	3	2	L
26/09	ROHDA Raalte Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-2	3-3	6	2	D
19/09	GVVV Veenendaal Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	0-3	3	2	L
12/09	RKAV Volendam Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
05/09	IJsselmeervogels Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	0-2	4	2	L
29/08	Quick Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-2	0-4	5	1	L
22/08	Kozakken Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-0	3-3	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Spakenburg vs Kloetinge?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Spakenburg win (58%). Probabilities: Spakenburg 58%, draw 21%, Kloetinge 21%.

How many goals are expected in Spakenburg vs Kloetinge?

The model expects 3.62 goals (Spakenburg 2.29 · Kloetinge 1.33), with a 51% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Spakenburg vs Kloetinge?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.