Football · Netherlands Tweede Divisie · 14/11, 15:00

Prediction: IJsselmeervogels vs Barendrecht

Team pages: IJsselmeervogels · Barendrecht

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.15Total

IJsselmeervogels1.99

Barendrecht1.17

1X2

56% 22% 22%

IJsselmeervogels Draw Barendrecht

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

IJsselmeervogels 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

DWLWWLWWWW

Barendrecht 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LWDDWWLWWL

Head-to-head

IJsselmeervogels 3–1–2 Barendrecht (6 last)

Barendrecht2-4IJsselmeervogels
IJsselmeervogels1-3Barendrecht
IJsselmeervogels3-0Barendrecht
Barendrecht1-4IJsselmeervogels
Barendrecht2-2IJsselmeervogels
IJsselmeervogels0-1Barendrecht

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · IJsselmeervogels 1557 · Barendrecht 1530

	IJsselmeervogels	Draw	Barendrecht
Our model	55%	24%	21%
Market	57%	21%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 3.15 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours IJsselmeervogels: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	IJsselmeervogels	Barendrecht
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 0.8	1.8 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.5	0.8 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 5.1	2.6 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.3 / 0	4.1 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.57

X4.20

24.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.98

2 (+1)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.80

Under 3.252.00

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.57 → 1.57	Bet365 1.57
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.5%

Time*	1	X	2
15:00 +8’	1.57	4.20	4.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · IJsselmeervogels 3–1–2 Barendrecht

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
31/01/26 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Barendrecht	2-4 HT 0-2	IJsselmeervogels
06/09/25 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	IJsselmeervogels	1-3 HT 1-0	Barendrecht
30/03/19 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	IJsselmeervogels	3-0	Barendrecht
08/12/18 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Barendrecht	1-4 HT 1-1	IJsselmeervogels
26/05/18 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Barendrecht	2-2 HT 2-0	IJsselmeervogels
13/01/18 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	IJsselmeervogels	0-1 HT 0-0	Barendrecht

Standings · Netherlands Tweede Divisie

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Quick Boys	12	10	1	1	34	9	31
2	IJsselmeervogels	12	8	1	3	19	10	25
3	Kozakken Boys	12	7	3	2	30	14	24
4	HHC Hardenberg	12	7	3	2	23	16	24
5	De Treffers	12	6	4	2	31	17	22
6	GVVV Veenendaal	12	7	0	5	27	21	21
7	RKAV Volendam	12	6	3	3	24	21	21
8	Barendrecht	12	6	2	4	21	19	20
9	Spakenburg	12	5	2	5	17	18	17
10	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves	12	3	5	4	33	29	14
11	Amsterdamsche FC	12	4	2	6	20	24	14
12	Katwijk	12	4	2	6	16	25	14
13	Almere City Reserves	12	4	1	7	23	26	13
14	Rijnsburgse Boys	12	4	1	7	17	29	13
15	Koninklijke HFC	12	3	3	6	17	22	12
16	HSV Hoek	12	2	4	6	12	21	10
17	Kloetinge	12	1	4	7	17	33	7
18	ROHDA Raalte	12	0	1	11	10	37	1

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	IJsselmeervogels	Barendrecht
HSV Hoek	3-0 W	1-1 D
Spakenburg	2-1 W	3-1 W
Katwijk	2-1 W	0-2 L
RKAV Volendam	1-1 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 0 L	1 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: IJsselmeervogels (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

IJsselmeervogels

DWLWWLWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	HSV Hoek Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	3-0	0	0	W
24/10	Spakenburg Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	2-1	2	5	W
17/10	Katwijk Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	2-1	4	5	W
10/10	Koninklijke HFC Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	2-0	5	1	W
03/10	HHC Hardenberg Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-2	1-2	14	2	L
26/09	Rijnsburgse Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	3-0	4	1	W
19/09	ROHDA Raalte Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
12/09	GVVV Veenendaal Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-2	0-3	5	1	L
05/09	Kloetinge Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	2-0	7	2	W
29/08	RKAV Volendam Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	1-1	5	4	D

Barendrecht

LWDDWWLWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Quick Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	1-2	2	8	L
24/10	Kozakken Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	1-0	2	2	W
17/10	Amsterdamsche FC Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-1	4-1	1	7	W
10/10	De Treffers Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-3	0-4	5	2	L
03/10	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	3-2	12	3	W
26/09	Almere City Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	4-1	7	8	W
19/09	RKAV Volendam Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	1-1	5	5	D
12/09	HSV Hoek Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	1-1	1	5	D
05/09	Spakenburg Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	3-1	–	–	W
29/08	Katwijk Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-2	0-2	5	0	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in IJsselmeervogels vs Barendrecht?

According to our model, the most likely result is a IJsselmeervogels win (56%). Probabilities: IJsselmeervogels 56%, draw 22%, Barendrecht 22%.

How many goals are expected in IJsselmeervogels vs Barendrecht?

The model expects 3.15 goals (IJsselmeervogels 1.99 · Barendrecht 1.17), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in IJsselmeervogels vs Barendrecht?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.