Football · Netherlands Tweede Divisie · 14/11, 14:30

Prediction: GVVV Veenendaal vs Spakenburg

Team pages: GVVV Veenendaal · Spakenburg

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.6Total

GVVV Veenendaal1.66

Spakenburg1.94

1X2

33% 23% 44%

GVVV Veenendaal Draw Spakenburg

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

GVVV Veenendaal 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

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Spakenburg 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

GVVV Veenendaal 1–1–4 Spakenburg (6 last)

Spakenburg3-2GVVV Veenendaal
GVVV Veenendaal1-1Spakenburg
Spakenburg3-0GVVV Veenendaal
GVVV Veenendaal3-1Spakenburg
Spakenburg5-4GVVV Veenendaal
GVVV Veenendaal2-3Spakenburg

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · GVVV Veenendaal 1579 · Spakenburg 1508

	GVVV Veenendaal	Draw	Spakenburg
Our model	32%	23%	44%
Market	33%	22%	45%

Estimated total (ours) 3.6 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours GVVV Veenendaal (rating 1579 vs 1508).
H2H favours Spakenburg: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	GVVV Veenendaal	Spakenburg
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 1.3	1.5 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1.5 / 0.5	0.9 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/20/10%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 3.8	1.7 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.6 / 0.1	3.4 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.70

X4.00

22.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.95

2 (-0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.95

Under 3.51.85

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
15:07 +1’	2.70	4.00	2.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · GVVV Veenendaal 1–1–4 Spakenburg

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/02/26 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Spakenburg	3-2 HT 2-0	GVVV Veenendaal
20/09/25 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	GVVV Veenendaal	1-1 HT 0-0	Spakenburg
24/05/25 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Spakenburg	3-0 HT 1-0	GVVV Veenendaal
14/12/24 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	GVVV Veenendaal	3-1 HT 1-0	Spakenburg
27/07/24 Europe Friendlies	Spakenburg	5-4 HT 4-2	GVVV Veenendaal
11/05/24 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	GVVV Veenendaal	2-3 HT 2-2	Spakenburg

Standings · Netherlands Tweede Divisie

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Quick Boys	12	10	1	1	34	9	31
2	IJsselmeervogels	12	8	1	3	19	10	25
3	Kozakken Boys	12	7	3	2	30	14	24
4	HHC Hardenberg	12	7	3	2	23	16	24
5	De Treffers	12	6	4	2	31	17	22
6	GVVV Veenendaal	12	7	0	5	27	21	21
7	RKAV Volendam	12	6	3	3	24	21	21
8	Barendrecht	12	6	2	4	21	19	20
9	Spakenburg	12	5	2	5	17	18	17
10	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves	12	3	5	4	33	29	14
11	Amsterdamsche FC	12	4	2	6	20	24	14
12	Katwijk	12	4	2	6	16	25	14
13	Almere City Reserves	12	4	1	7	23	26	13
14	Rijnsburgse Boys	12	4	1	7	17	29	13
15	Koninklijke HFC	12	3	3	6	17	22	12
16	HSV Hoek	12	2	4	6	12	21	10
17	Kloetinge	12	1	4	7	17	33	7
18	ROHDA Raalte	12	0	1	11	10	37	1

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	GVVV Veenendaal	Spakenburg
Kloetinge	3-0 W	4-1 W
IJsselmeervogels	3-0 W	1-2 L
Quick Boys	0-3 L	1-1 D
Kozakken Boys	2-3 L	0-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: GVVV Veenendaal (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

GVVV Veenendaal

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Katwijk Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-1	3-1	1	1	W
24/10	Koninklijke HFC Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	2-0	5	4	W
17/10	HHC Hardenberg Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	1-2	2	0	L
10/10	Rijnsburgse Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	4-0	4-1	12	2	W
03/10	ROHDA Raalte Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	3-1	2	2	W
26/09	RKAV Volendam Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-0	3-2	1	1	W
19/09	Kloetinge Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	3-0	2	2	W
12/09	IJsselmeervogels Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-0	3-0	2	1	W
05/09	Quick Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-2	0-3	7	0	L
29/08	Kozakken Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-1	2-3	4	4	L

Spakenburg

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Kloetinge Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	4-1	5	6	W
24/10	IJsselmeervogels Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	1-2	5	5	L
17/10	Quick Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	1-1	4	6	D
10/10	Kozakken Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	0-2	7	3	L
03/10	Amsterdamsche FC Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-1	2-1	5	2	W
26/09	De Treffers Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-3	0-5	4	2	L
19/09	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	1-1	6	6	D
12/09	Almere City Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-0	3-0	5	1	W
05/09	Barendrecht Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	1-3	–	–	L
29/08	HSV Hoek Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	2-0	5	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in GVVV Veenendaal vs Spakenburg?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Spakenburg win (44%). Probabilities: GVVV Veenendaal 33%, draw 23%, Spakenburg 44%.

How many goals are expected in GVVV Veenendaal vs Spakenburg?

The model expects 3.6 goals (GVVV Veenendaal 1.66 · Spakenburg 1.94), with a 51% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in GVVV Veenendaal vs Spakenburg?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.