Football · Netherlands Tweede Divisie · 14/11, 14:30

Prediction: Rijnsburgse Boys vs Koninklijke HFC

Team pages: Rijnsburgse Boys · Koninklijke HFC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.28Total

Rijnsburgse Boys1.93

Koninklijke HFC1.35

1X2

51% 23% 27%

Rijnsburgse Boys Draw Koninklijke HFC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Rijnsburgse Boys 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

DWLWLWLWLL

Koninklijke HFC 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

WDDLDLLWLW

Head-to-head

Rijnsburgse Boys 3–2–1 Koninklijke HFC (6 last)

Rijnsburgse Boys2-0Koninklijke HFC
Koninklijke HFC1-2Rijnsburgse Boys
Rijnsburgse Boys2-2Koninklijke HFC
Rijnsburgse Boys2-0Koninklijke HFC
Koninklijke HFC1-1Rijnsburgse Boys
Rijnsburgse Boys0-2Koninklijke HFC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Rijnsburgse Boys 1480 · Koninklijke HFC 1446

	Rijnsburgse Boys	Draw	Koninklijke HFC
Our model	50%	24%	26%
Market	51%	22%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 3.28 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Rijnsburgse Boys: 3-2-1.
High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Rijnsburgse Boys	Koninklijke HFC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.9	1.5 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.8	0.3 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	10/20/70%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 6.8	2.2 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.2	3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.75

X4.10

23.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)2.00

2 (+0.75)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.85

Under 3.251.95

Diff.: 0 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.75 → 1.75	Bet365 1.75
X	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10
2	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
14:59 +9’	1.75	4.10	3.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Rijnsburgse Boys 3–2–1 Koninklijke HFC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Rijnsburgse Boys	2-0 HT 2-0	Koninklijke HFC
15/11/25 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Koninklijke HFC	1-2 HT 1-0	Rijnsburgse Boys
29/07/25 Europe Friendlies	Rijnsburgse Boys	2-2 HT 1-0	Koninklijke HFC
22/03/25 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Rijnsburgse Boys	2-0 HT 1-0	Koninklijke HFC
19/10/24 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Koninklijke HFC	1-1 HT 1-0	Rijnsburgse Boys
23/03/24 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Rijnsburgse Boys	0-2 HT 0-1	Koninklijke HFC

Standings · Netherlands Tweede Divisie

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Quick Boys	12	10	1	1	34	9	31
2	IJsselmeervogels	12	8	1	3	19	10	25
3	Kozakken Boys	12	7	3	2	30	14	24
4	HHC Hardenberg	12	7	3	2	23	16	24
5	De Treffers	12	6	4	2	31	17	22
6	GVVV Veenendaal	12	7	0	5	27	21	21
7	RKAV Volendam	12	6	3	3	24	21	21
8	Barendrecht	12	6	2	4	21	19	20
9	Spakenburg	12	5	2	5	17	18	17
10	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves	12	3	5	4	33	29	14
11	Amsterdamsche FC	12	4	2	6	20	24	14
12	Katwijk	12	4	2	6	16	25	14
13	Almere City Reserves	12	4	1	7	23	26	13
14	Rijnsburgse Boys	12	4	1	7	17	29	13
15	Koninklijke HFC	12	3	3	6	17	22	12
16	HSV Hoek	12	2	4	6	12	21	10
17	Kloetinge	12	1	4	7	17	33	7
18	ROHDA Raalte	12	0	1	11	10	37	1

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Rijnsburgse Boys	Koninklijke HFC
ROHDA Raalte	1-0 W	4-1 W
GVVV Veenendaal	1-4 L	0-2 L
Kloetinge	4-1 W	2-1 W
IJsselmeervogels	0-3 L	0-2 L
Quick Boys	3-1 W	2-3 L
Kozakken Boys	1-6 L	1-1 D
Amsterdamsche FC	3-0 W	1-3 L
De Treffers	1-1 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 3 L	2 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Koninklijke HFC (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Rijnsburgse Boys

DWLWLWLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	HHC Hardenberg Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	0-2	5	4	L
24/10	RKAV Volendam Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	0-1	9	2	L
17/10	ROHDA Raalte Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	1-0	7	3	W
10/10	GVVV Veenendaal Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-4	1-4	3	2	L
03/10	Kloetinge Netherlands Tweede Divisie	4-0	4-1	7	2	W
26/09	IJsselmeervogels Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	0-3	8	1	L
19/09	Quick Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	3-1	5	3	W
12/09	Kozakken Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	1-6	6	0	L
05/09	Amsterdamsche FC Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-0	3-0	14	8	W
29/08	De Treffers Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	1-1	4	5	D

Koninklijke HFC

WDDLDLLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	ROHDA Raalte Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	4-1	5	4	W
24/10	GVVV Veenendaal Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	0-2	3	4	L
17/10	Kloetinge Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	2-1	6	2	W
10/10	IJsselmeervogels Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	0-2	6	1	L
03/10	Quick Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-2	2-3	2	5	L
26/09	Kozakken Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	1-1	4	3	D
19/09	Amsterdamsche FC Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	1-3	5	0	L
12/09	De Treffers Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	1-1	7	4	D
05/09	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-2	2-2	6	3	D
29/08	Almere City Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	2-1	3	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Rijnsburgse Boys vs Koninklijke HFC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Rijnsburgse Boys win (51%). Probabilities: Rijnsburgse Boys 51%, draw 23%, Koninklijke HFC 27%.

How many goals are expected in Rijnsburgse Boys vs Koninklijke HFC?

The model expects 3.28 goals (Rijnsburgse Boys 1.93 · Koninklijke HFC 1.35), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Rijnsburgse Boys vs Koninklijke HFC?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.