Football · Netherlands Tweede Divisie · 14/11, 15:00

Prediction: ROHDA Raalte vs Katwijk

Team pages: ROHDA Raalte · Katwijk

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.64Total

ROHDA Raalte1.21

Katwijk2.44

1X2

17% 19% 64%

ROHDA Raalte Draw Katwijk

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-2 9%

Recent form · 10 last

ROHDA Raalte 0-1-9 (W-D-L)

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Katwijk 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · ROHDA Raalte 1393 · Katwijk 1481

	ROHDA Raalte	Draw	Katwijk
Our model	17%	20%	64%
Market	17%	19%	64%

Estimated total (ours) 3.64 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Katwijk (rating 1393 vs 1481).
Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	ROHDA Raalte	Katwijk
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 2.8	1.5 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 1	0.8 / 1.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 3.4	3 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0	3.4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

15.25

X4.75

21.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.25)1.98

2 (-1.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.80

Under 3.252.00

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.25 → 5.25	Bet365 5.25
X	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75
2	1.40 → 1.40	Bet365 1.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
16:03 +4’	5.25	4.75	1.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Netherlands Tweede Divisie

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Quick Boys	12	10	1	1	34	9	31
2	IJsselmeervogels	12	8	1	3	19	10	25
3	Kozakken Boys	12	7	3	2	30	14	24
4	HHC Hardenberg	12	7	3	2	23	16	24
5	De Treffers	12	6	4	2	31	17	22
6	GVVV Veenendaal	12	7	0	5	27	21	21
7	RKAV Volendam	12	6	3	3	24	21	21
8	Barendrecht	12	6	2	4	21	19	20
9	Spakenburg	12	5	2	5	17	18	17
10	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves	12	3	5	4	33	29	14
11	Amsterdamsche FC	12	4	2	6	20	24	14
12	Katwijk	12	4	2	6	16	25	14
13	Almere City Reserves	12	4	1	7	23	26	13
14	Rijnsburgse Boys	12	4	1	7	17	29	13
15	Koninklijke HFC	12	3	3	6	17	22	12
16	HSV Hoek	12	2	4	6	12	21	10
17	Kloetinge	12	1	4	7	17	33	7
18	ROHDA Raalte	12	0	1	11	10	37	1

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	ROHDA Raalte	Katwijk
GVVV Veenendaal	1-3 L	1-3 L
Kloetinge	3-3 D	3-1 W
IJsselmeervogels	0-1 L	1-2 L
Quick Boys	1-3 L	0-6 L
Kozakken Boys	1-2 L	1-5 L
Amsterdamsche FC	0-2 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 5 L	2 W 0 D 4 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

ROHDA Raalte

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Koninklijke HFC Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	1-4	1	4	L
24/10	HHC Hardenberg Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	0-1	5	3	L
17/10	Rijnsburgse Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	0-1	3	3	L
10/10	RKAV Volendam Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-6	2-8	3	4	L
03/10	GVVV Veenendaal Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	1-3	3	2	L
26/09	Kloetinge Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-0	3-3	6	2	D
19/09	IJsselmeervogels Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
12/09	Quick Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	1-3	4	2	L
05/09	Kozakken Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	1-2	5	4	L
29/08	Amsterdamsche FC Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	0-2	1	6	L

Katwijk

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	GVVV Veenendaal Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-2	1-3	8	1	L
24/10	Kloetinge Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-0	3-1	–	–	W
17/10	IJsselmeervogels Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	1-2	3	5	L
10/10	Quick Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-3	0-6	1	7	L
03/10	Kozakken Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-2	1-5	9	2	L
26/09	Amsterdamsche FC Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	1-0	3	5	W
19/09	De Treffers Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-2	1-2	5	3	L
12/09	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-2	2-2	9	7	D
05/09	Almere City Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-2	3-2	6	3	W
29/08	Barendrecht Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-0	2-0	4	0	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in ROHDA Raalte vs Katwijk?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Katwijk win (64%). Probabilities: ROHDA Raalte 17%, draw 19%, Katwijk 64%.

How many goals are expected in ROHDA Raalte vs Katwijk?

The model expects 3.64 goals (ROHDA Raalte 1.21 · Katwijk 2.44), with a 54% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in ROHDA Raalte vs Katwijk?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.