Football · Netherlands Tweede Divisie · 14/11, 15:15

Prediction: Amsterdamsche FC vs De Treffers

Team pages: Amsterdamsche FC · De Treffers

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.45Total

Amsterdamsche FC1.32

De Treffers2.14

1X2

23% 22% 56%

Amsterdamsche FC Draw De Treffers

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Amsterdamsche FC 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WLDWLLWLLD

De Treffers 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DDDWWLWWDL

Head-to-head

Amsterdamsche FC 2–3–1 De Treffers (6 last)

De Treffers1-1Amsterdamsche FC
Amsterdamsche FC1-0De Treffers
Amsterdamsche FC1-1De Treffers
De Treffers3-5Amsterdamsche FC
Amsterdamsche FC1-1De Treffers
De Treffers5-1Amsterdamsche FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Amsterdamsche FC 1494 · De Treffers 1537

	Amsterdamsche FC	Draw	De Treffers
Our model	22%	22%	55%
Market	23%	21%	56%

Estimated total (ours) 3.45 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours De Treffers (rating 1494 vs 1537).
H2H favours Amsterdamsche FC: 2-3-1.
High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Amsterdamsche FC	De Treffers
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.9	2.3 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.9	1.2 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/10/40%	70/0/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.9	3.1 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.2	3.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.90

X4.33

21.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)1.82

2 (-1)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.98

Under 3.51.82

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
X	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
2	1.60 → 1.60	Bet365 1.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
15:50 +17’	3.90	4.33	1.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Amsterdamsche FC 2–3–1 De Treffers

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/03/26 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	De Treffers	1-1 HT 1-0	Amsterdamsche FC
04/10/25 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Amsterdamsche FC	1-0 HT 0-0	De Treffers
01/02/25 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Amsterdamsche FC	1-1 HT 0-1	De Treffers
07/09/24 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	De Treffers	3-5 HT 1-1	Amsterdamsche FC
16/03/24 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Amsterdamsche FC	1-1 HT 0-0	De Treffers
07/10/23 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	De Treffers	5-1 HT 4-0	Amsterdamsche FC

Standings · Netherlands Tweede Divisie

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Quick Boys	12	10	1	1	34	9	31
2	IJsselmeervogels	12	8	1	3	19	10	25
3	Kozakken Boys	12	7	3	2	30	14	24
4	HHC Hardenberg	12	7	3	2	23	16	24
5	De Treffers	12	6	4	2	31	17	22
6	GVVV Veenendaal	12	7	0	5	27	21	21
7	RKAV Volendam	12	6	3	3	24	21	21
8	Barendrecht	12	6	2	4	21	19	20
9	Spakenburg	12	5	2	5	17	18	17
10	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves	12	3	5	4	33	29	14
11	Amsterdamsche FC	12	4	2	6	20	24	14
12	Katwijk	12	4	2	6	16	25	14
13	Almere City Reserves	12	4	1	7	23	26	13
14	Rijnsburgse Boys	12	4	1	7	17	29	13
15	Koninklijke HFC	12	3	3	6	17	22	12
16	HSV Hoek	12	2	4	6	12	21	10
17	Kloetinge	12	1	4	7	17	33	7
18	ROHDA Raalte	12	0	1	11	10	37	1

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Amsterdamsche FC	De Treffers
Sparta Rotterdam Reserves	5-5 D	3-3 D
Almere City Reserves	0-1 L	3-2 W
Barendrecht	1-4 L	4-0 W
HSV Hoek	2-0 W	1-3 L
Spakenburg	1-2 L	5-0 W
Katwijk	0-1 L	2-1 W
Koninklijke HFC	3-1 W	1-1 D
HHC Hardenberg	2-2 D	2-2 D
Rijnsburgse Boys	0-3 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 5 L	4 W 4 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: De Treffers (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Amsterdamsche FC

WLDWLLWLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie	3-2	5-5	5	4	D
24/10	Almere City Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	0-1	7	4	L
17/10	Barendrecht Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-2	1-4	6	7	L
10/10	HSV Hoek Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-0	2-0	5	1	W
03/10	Spakenburg Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-2	1-2	6	2	L
26/09	Katwijk Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	0-1	3	5	L
19/09	Koninklijke HFC Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	3-1	6	0	W
12/09	HHC Hardenberg Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	2-2	6	3	D
05/09	Rijnsburgse Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-2	0-3	1	8	L
29/08	ROHDA Raalte Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	2-0	4	6	W

De Treffers

DDDWWLWWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	RKAV Volendam Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	1-3	7	4	L
24/10	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	3-3	5	2	D
17/10	Almere City Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	3-2	6	1	W
10/10	Barendrecht Netherlands Tweede Divisie	3-0	4-0	10	2	W
03/10	HSV Hoek Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-2	1-3	6	5	L
26/09	Spakenburg Netherlands Tweede Divisie	3-0	5-0	4	2	W
19/09	Katwijk Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-1	2-1	3	3	W
12/09	Koninklijke HFC Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	1-1	6	4	D
05/09	HHC Hardenberg Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	2-2	7	6	D
29/08	Rijnsburgse Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	1-1	2	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Amsterdamsche FC vs De Treffers?

According to our model, the most likely result is an De Treffers win (56%). Probabilities: Amsterdamsche FC 23%, draw 22%, De Treffers 56%.

How many goals are expected in Amsterdamsche FC vs De Treffers?

The model expects 3.45 goals (Amsterdamsche FC 1.32 · De Treffers 2.14), with a 53% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Amsterdamsche FC vs De Treffers?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.