Football · Netherlands Tweede Divisie · 14/11, 15:00

Prediction: Quick Boys vs Almere City Reserves

Team pages: Quick Boys · Almere City Reserves

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.14Total

Quick Boys2.86

Almere City Reserves1.28

1X2

69% 17% 14%

Quick Boys Draw Almere City Reserves

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

2-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Quick Boys 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

WWWLWWWDWW

Almere City Reserves 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LLLDLWWLWL

Head-to-head

Quick Boys 3–1–2 Almere City Reserves (6 last)

Almere City Reserves1-4Quick Boys
Quick Boys2-1Almere City Reserves
Almere City Reserves5-1Quick Boys
Quick Boys3-3Almere City Reserves
Quick Boys4-1Almere City Reserves
Almere City Reserves2-0Quick Boys

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Quick Boys 1613 · Almere City Reserves 1460

	Quick Boys	Draw	Almere City Reserves
Our model	69%	17%	14%
Market	69%	17%	14%

Estimated total (ours) 4.14 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Quick Boys (rating 1613 vs 1460).
H2H favours Quick Boys: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Quick Boys	Almere City Reserves
Goals for / against (FT)	2.8 / 0.9	1.8 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 0.6	0.9 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5.6	1.8 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.2	3.2 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.28

X5.25

26.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.75)1.90

2 (+1.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.80

Under 3.52.00

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.28 → 1.28	Bet365 1.28
X	5.25 → 5.25	Bet365 5.25
2	6.50 → 6.50	Bet365 6.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.3%

Time*	1	X	2
15:04 +4’	1.28	5.25	6.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Quick Boys 3–1–2 Almere City Reserves

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/01/26 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Almere City Reserves	1-4 HT 0-1	Quick Boys
23/08/25 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Quick Boys	2-1 HT 1-0	Almere City Reserves
25/01/25 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Almere City Reserves	5-1 HT 3-1	Quick Boys
31/08/24 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Quick Boys	3-3 HT 1-1	Almere City Reserves
06/04/24 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Quick Boys	4-1 HT 1-0	Almere City Reserves
04/11/23 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Almere City Reserves	2-0 HT 1-0	Quick Boys

Standings · Netherlands Tweede Divisie

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Quick Boys	12	10	1	1	34	9	31
2	IJsselmeervogels	12	8	1	3	19	10	25
3	Kozakken Boys	12	7	3	2	30	14	24
4	HHC Hardenberg	12	7	3	2	23	16	24
5	De Treffers	12	6	4	2	31	17	22
6	GVVV Veenendaal	12	7	0	5	27	21	21
7	RKAV Volendam	12	6	3	3	24	21	21
8	Barendrecht	12	6	2	4	21	19	20
9	Spakenburg	12	5	2	5	17	18	17
10	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves	12	3	5	4	33	29	14
11	Amsterdamsche FC	12	4	2	6	20	24	14
12	Katwijk	12	4	2	6	16	25	14
13	Almere City Reserves	12	4	1	7	23	26	13
14	Rijnsburgse Boys	12	4	1	7	17	29	13
15	Koninklijke HFC	12	3	3	6	17	22	12
16	HSV Hoek	12	2	4	6	12	21	10
17	Kloetinge	12	1	4	7	17	33	7
18	ROHDA Raalte	12	0	1	11	10	37	1

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Quick Boys	Almere City Reserves
Barendrecht	2-1 W	1-4 L
HSV Hoek	3-1 W	2-2 D
Spakenburg	1-1 D	0-3 L
Katwijk	6-0 W	2-3 L
Koninklijke HFC	3-2 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 0 L	0 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Quick Boys (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Quick Boys

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Barendrecht Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	2-1	4	8	W
24/10	HSV Hoek Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	3-1	5	2	W
17/10	Spakenburg Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	1-1	5	6	D
10/10	Katwijk Netherlands Tweede Divisie	3-0	6-0	11	7	W
03/10	Koninklijke HFC Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-1	3-2	4	5	W
26/09	HHC Hardenberg Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	2-0	8	3	W
19/09	Rijnsburgse Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	1-3	0	3	L
12/09	ROHDA Raalte Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	3-1	9	2	W
05/09	GVVV Veenendaal Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-0	3-0	3	0	W
29/08	Kloetinge Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-0	4-0	7	1	W

Almere City Reserves

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Kozakken Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-2	1-5	3	2	L
24/10	Amsterdamsche FC Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	1-0	4	4	W
17/10	De Treffers Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	2-3	4	1	L
10/10	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-0	4-1	10	4	W
03/10	RKAV Volendam Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-0	4-1	3	5	W
26/09	Barendrecht Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	1-4	0	8	L
19/09	HSV Hoek Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	2-2	3	3	D
12/09	Spakenburg Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-2	0-3	6	1	L
05/09	Katwijk Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-2	2-3	1	3	L
29/08	Koninklijke HFC Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	1-2	5	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Quick Boys vs Almere City Reserves?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Quick Boys win (69%). Probabilities: Quick Boys 69%, draw 17%, Almere City Reserves 14%.

How many goals are expected in Quick Boys vs Almere City Reserves?

The model expects 4.14 goals (Quick Boys 2.86 · Almere City Reserves 1.28), with a 56% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Quick Boys vs Almere City Reserves?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.