Football · Netherlands Tweede Divisie · 05/09, 14:00
Prediction: Koninklijke HFC vs Sparta Rotterdam Reserves
Team pages: Koninklijke HFC · Sparta Rotterdam Reserves
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.74Total
Koninklijke HFC1.85
Sparta Rotterdam Reserves1.88
1X2
Koninklijke HFC
Draw
Sparta Rotterdam Reserves
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
1-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Koninklijke HFC
2-0-8 (W-D-L)
Sparta Rotterdam Reserves
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Koninklijke HFC
2–1–3
Sparta Rotterdam Reserves
(6 last)
- Sparta Rotterdam Reserves4-1Koninklijke HFC
- Koninklijke HFC2-1Sparta Rotterdam Reserves
- Koninklijke HFC1-0Sparta Rotterdam Reserves
- Sparta Rotterdam Reserves3-1Koninklijke HFC
- Koninklijke HFC1-1Sparta Rotterdam Reserves
- Sparta Rotterdam Reserves4-1Koninklijke HFC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Koninklijke HFC 1451 · Sparta Rotterdam Reserves 1499
| Koninklijke HFC | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam Reserves | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 23% | 39% |
| Market | 38% | 23% | 39% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.74 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sparta Rotterdam Reserves (rating 1451 vs 1499).
- H2H favours Sparta Rotterdam Reserves: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Koninklijke HFC | Sparta Rotterdam Reserves | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 2 | 2.8 / 2.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.8 | 1.1 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.2 | 2.6 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0 | 2.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Koninklijke HFC 2–1–3 Sparta Rotterdam Reserves
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/02/26 Netherlands Tweede Divisie | Sparta Rotterdam Reserves | 4-1 HT 2-1 | Koninklijke HFC |
| 16/08/25 Netherlands Tweede Divisie | Koninklijke HFC | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Sparta Rotterdam Reserves |
| 15/03/25 Netherlands Tweede Divisie | Koninklijke HFC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Sparta Rotterdam Reserves |
| 12/10/24 Netherlands Tweede Divisie | Sparta Rotterdam Reserves | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Koninklijke HFC |
| 30/03/24 Netherlands Tweede Divisie | Koninklijke HFC | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Sparta Rotterdam Reserves |
| 28/10/23 Netherlands Tweede Divisie | Sparta Rotterdam Reserves | 4-1 HT 0-1 | Koninklijke HFC |
Standings · Netherlands Tweede Divisie
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Quick Boys | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 9 |
| 2 | HHC Hardenberg | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | De Treffers | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Sparta Rotterdam Reserves | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 6 |
| 5 | Spakenburg | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Amsterdamsche FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
| 7 | Katwijk | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 8 | Kozakken Boys | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 4 |
| 9 | HSV Hoek | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 10 | IJsselmeervogels | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 11 | Kloetinge | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 4 |
| 12 | RKAV Volendam | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 4 |
| 13 | Almere City Reserves | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 3 |
| 14 | Koninklijke HFC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
| 15 | Barendrecht | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
| 16 | Rijnsburgse Boys | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 1 |
| 17 | GVVV Veenendaal | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 | ROHDA Raalte | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Koninklijke HFC | Sparta Rotterdam Reserves |
|---|---|---|
| Almere City Reserves | 2-1 W | 0-3 L |
| Barendrecht | 1-2 L | 4-1 W |
| Katwijk | 0-4 L | 1-4 L |
| De Treffers | 0-1 L | 1-4 L |
| Rijnsburgse Boys | 0-2 L | 6-3 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 4 L | 2 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Sparta Rotterdam Reserves (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Koninklijke HFC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Almere City Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 22/08 | Barendrecht Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 15/08 | HSV Hoek Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 23/05 | Spakenburg Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
0-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 16/05 | ACV Assen Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Katwijk Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
0-0 | 0-4 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 25/04 | De Treffers Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 18/04 | Rijnsburgse Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 11/04 | Barendrecht Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
1-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 28/03 | Almere City Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
Sparta Rotterdam Reserves
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | HHC Hardenberg Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
1-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 22/08 | Rijnsburgse Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
2-1 | 6-3 | – | – | W |
| 15/08 | ROHDA Raalte Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
0-1 | 6-1 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 23/05 | Katwijk Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
1-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 16/05 | De Treffers Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
0-2 | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 09/05 | Rijnsburgse Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
1-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 25/04 | Barendrecht Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
1-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 18/04 | Almere City Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
0-0 | 0-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 11/04 | Amsterdamsche FC Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 28/03 | Kozakken Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
3-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Koninklijke HFC vs Sparta Rotterdam Reserves?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Sparta Rotterdam Reserves win (39%). Probabilities: Koninklijke HFC 38%, draw 23%, Sparta Rotterdam Reserves 39%.
How many goals are expected in Koninklijke HFC vs Sparta Rotterdam Reserves?
The model expects 3.74 goals (Koninklijke HFC 1.85 · Sparta Rotterdam Reserves 1.88), with a 51% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Koninklijke HFC vs Sparta Rotterdam Reserves?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.