Football · Netherlands Tweede Divisie · 03/10, 14:30

Prediction: HHC Hardenberg vs IJsselmeervogels

Team pages: HHC Hardenberg · IJsselmeervogels

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.28Total

HHC Hardenberg1.69

IJsselmeervogels1.59

1X2

40% 25% 36%

HHC Hardenberg Draw IJsselmeervogels

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

HHC Hardenberg 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LDWWWWDDLL

IJsselmeervogels 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LWDLWLDWWW

Head-to-head

HHC Hardenberg 3–3 IJsselmeervogels (6 last)

IJsselmeervogels2-0HHC Hardenberg
HHC Hardenberg4-0IJsselmeervogels
IJsselmeervogels1-0HHC Hardenberg
HHC Hardenberg2-0IJsselmeervogels
HHC Hardenberg0-2IJsselmeervogels
IJsselmeervogels0-2HHC Hardenberg

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · HHC Hardenberg 1510 · IJsselmeervogels 1514

	HHC Hardenberg	Draw	IJsselmeervogels
Our model	39%	25%	35%
Market	40%	24%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 3.28 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	HHC Hardenberg	IJsselmeervogels
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.8	1.6 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.6	0.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5.3	2.4 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.2	3 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.70

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.77

2 (0)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.85

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:34

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
15:14 +20’	2.25	3.70	2.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · HHC Hardenberg 3–0–3 IJsselmeervogels

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	IJsselmeervogels	2-0 HT 0-0	HHC Hardenberg
29/11/25 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	HHC Hardenberg	4-0 HT 2-0	IJsselmeervogels
04/03/23 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	IJsselmeervogels	1-0 HT 0-0	HHC Hardenberg
17/09/22 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	HHC Hardenberg	2-0 HT 2-0	IJsselmeervogels
30/04/22 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	HHC Hardenberg	0-2	IJsselmeervogels
19/02/22 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	IJsselmeervogels	0-2 HT 0-1	HHC Hardenberg

Standings · Netherlands Tweede Divisie

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Quick Boys	7	6	0	1	19	4	18
2	De Treffers	7	4	3	0	19	6	15
3	Kozakken Boys	7	4	2	1	18	11	14
4	IJsselmeervogels	6	4	1	1	9	3	13
5	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves	7	3	3	1	21	12	12
6	HHC Hardenberg	7	3	2	2	13	11	11
7	Barendrecht	7	3	2	2	12	10	11
8	Katwijk	7	3	2	2	10	8	11
9	Amsterdamsche FC	7	3	1	3	11	12	10
10	Spakenburg	7	3	1	3	9	11	10
11	RKAV Volendam	7	2	3	2	9	13	9
12	Rijnsburgse Boys	7	2	1	4	11	21	7
13	GVVV Veenendaal	6	2	0	4	11	16	6
14	Koninklijke HFC	7	1	3	3	9	13	6
15	HSV Hoek	7	1	3	3	8	12	6
16	Kloetinge	7	1	3	3	10	17	6
17	Almere City Reserves	7	1	1	5	11	16	4
18	ROHDA Raalte	7	0	1	6	6	20	1

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	HHC Hardenberg	IJsselmeervogels
Quick Boys	0-2 L	0-1 L
Kozakken Boys	1-2 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: IJsselmeervogels (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

HHC Hardenberg

LDWWWWDDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Quick Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	0-2	2	3	L
19/09	Kozakken Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	1-2	5	3	L
12/09	Amsterdamsche FC Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	2-2	10	3	D
05/09	De Treffers Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	2-2	8	6	D
29/08	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-1	3-1	7	6	W
22/08	Almere City Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
15/08	Barendrecht Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-0	3-1	8	4	W
23/05	Amsterdamsche FC Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-0	3-2	2	1	W
16/05	Kozakken Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	3-3	2	5	D
09/05	IJsselmeervogels Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	0-2	4	1	L

IJsselmeervogels

LWDLWLDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Rijnsburgse Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	3-0	4	1	W
19/09	ROHDA Raalte Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
05/09	Kloetinge Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	2-0	7	2	W
29/08	RKAV Volendam Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	1-1	5	4	D
22/08	Quick Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	0-1	7	4	L
15/08	Kozakken Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	2-1	2	1	W
23/05	ACV Assen Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	2-4	2	3	L
16/05	Quick Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-1	2-2	5	7	D
09/05	HHC Hardenberg Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	2-0	4	1	W
25/04	GVVV Veenendaal Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	1-3	4	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in HHC Hardenberg vs IJsselmeervogels?

According to our model, the most likely result is a HHC Hardenberg win (40%). Probabilities: HHC Hardenberg 40%, draw 25%, IJsselmeervogels 36%.

How many goals are expected in HHC Hardenberg vs IJsselmeervogels?

The model expects 3.28 goals (HHC Hardenberg 1.69 · IJsselmeervogels 1.59), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in HHC Hardenberg vs IJsselmeervogels?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.