Football · Netherlands Tweede Divisie · 03/10, 14:30

Prediction: RKAV Volendam vs Almere City Reserves

Team pages: RKAV Volendam · Almere City Reserves

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.89Total

RKAV Volendam1.9

Almere City Reserves1.99

1X2

37% 23% 40%

RKAV Volendam Draw Almere City Reserves

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

RKAV Volendam 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LWLLWDWDDL

Almere City Reserves 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

RKAV Volendam 0–4 Almere City Reserves (4 last)

Almere City Reserves3-2RKAV Volendam
RKAV Volendam1-4Almere City Reserves
RKAV Volendam3-4Almere City Reserves
Almere City Reserves3-1RKAV Volendam

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · RKAV Volendam 1463 · Almere City Reserves 1482

	RKAV Volendam	Draw	Almere City Reserves
Our model	37%	23%	40%
Market	37%	24%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 3.89 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Almere City Reserves: 4-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	RKAV Volendam	Almere City Reserves
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 2.5	2 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 1	0.9 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 4.2	1.9 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0.1	2.9 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.45

X3.80

22.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.00

2 (0)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.93

Under 3.251.88

Diff.: 0.9 · xG: 4.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:34

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
15:30 +4’	2.45	3.80	2.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · RKAV Volendam 0–0–4 Almere City Reserves

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Almere City Reserves	3-2 HT 0-2	RKAV Volendam
29/11/25 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	RKAV Volendam	1-4 HT 1-1	Almere City Reserves
22/02/25 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	RKAV Volendam	3-4 HT 0-2	Almere City Reserves
28/09/24 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Almere City Reserves	3-1 HT 2-0	RKAV Volendam

Standings · Netherlands Tweede Divisie

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Quick Boys	7	6	0	1	19	4	18
2	De Treffers	7	4	3	0	19	6	15
3	Kozakken Boys	7	4	2	1	18	11	14
4	IJsselmeervogels	6	4	1	1	9	3	13
5	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves	7	3	3	1	21	12	12
6	HHC Hardenberg	7	3	2	2	13	11	11
7	Barendrecht	7	3	2	2	12	10	11
8	Katwijk	7	3	2	2	10	8	11
9	Amsterdamsche FC	7	3	1	3	11	12	10
10	Spakenburg	7	3	1	3	9	11	10
11	RKAV Volendam	7	2	3	2	9	13	9
12	Rijnsburgse Boys	7	2	1	4	11	21	7
13	GVVV Veenendaal	6	2	0	4	11	16	6
14	Koninklijke HFC	7	1	3	3	9	13	6
15	HSV Hoek	7	1	3	3	8	12	6
16	Kloetinge	7	1	3	3	10	17	6
17	Almere City Reserves	7	1	1	5	11	16	4
18	ROHDA Raalte	7	0	1	6	6	20	1

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	RKAV Volendam	Almere City Reserves
GVVV Veenendaal	2-3 L	5-4 W
Barendrecht	1-1 D	1-4 L
HSV Hoek	2-1 W	2-2 D
Spakenburg	2-1 W	0-3 L
Rijnsburgse Boys	0-7 L	4-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: RKAV Volendam (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

RKAV Volendam

LWLLWDWDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	GVVV Veenendaal Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-2	2-3	7	1	L
19/09	Barendrecht Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	1-1	10	5	D
12/09	Kloetinge Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
05/09	HSV Hoek Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	2-1	1	5	W
29/08	IJsselmeervogels Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	1-1	6	4	D
22/08	Spakenburg Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	2-1	5	2	W
15/08	Quick Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-2	0-5	3	2	L
23/05	Rijnsburgse Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-3	0-7	3	0	L
16/05	Barendrecht Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	5-2	2	2	W
09/05	Almere City Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-0	2-3	1	4	L

Almere City Reserves

WWWWLLLLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Barendrecht Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	1-4	0	8	L
19/09	HSV Hoek Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	2-2	3	3	D
12/09	Spakenburg Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-2	0-3	6	1	L
05/09	Katwijk Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-2	2-3	1	3	L
29/08	Koninklijke HFC Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	1-2	5	4	L
22/08	HHC Hardenberg Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	1-2	–	–	L
15/08	Rijnsburgse Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-0	4-0	2	2	W
23/05	GVVV Veenendaal Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-2	5-4	6	1	W
16/05	Excelsior Maassluis Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	1-0	4	3	W
09/05	RKAV Volendam Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-2	3-2	7	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in RKAV Volendam vs Almere City Reserves?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Almere City Reserves win (40%). Probabilities: RKAV Volendam 37%, draw 23%, Almere City Reserves 40%.

How many goals are expected in RKAV Volendam vs Almere City Reserves?

The model expects 3.89 goals (RKAV Volendam 1.9 · Almere City Reserves 1.99), with a 55% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in RKAV Volendam vs Almere City Reserves?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.