Football · Netherlands Tweede Divisie · 03/10, 15:00

Prediction: Katwijk vs Kozakken Boys

Team pages: Katwijk · Kozakken Boys

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.08Total

Katwijk1.62

Kozakken Boys1.46

1X2

41% 25% 34%

Katwijk Draw Kozakken Boys

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Katwijk 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WLWLDWWDLW

Kozakken Boys 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WDLLDWWWWD

Head-to-head

Katwijk 4–1–1 Kozakken Boys (6 last)

Katwijk2-1Kozakken Boys
Kozakken Boys0-0Katwijk
Katwijk0-3Kozakken Boys
Katwijk3-2Kozakken Boys
Kozakken Boys1-2Katwijk
Katwijk1-0Kozakken Boys

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Katwijk 1532 · Kozakken Boys 1548

	Katwijk	Draw	Kozakken Boys
Our model	41%	26%	33%
Market	42%	24%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 3.08 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Katwijk: 4-1-1.
High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Katwijk	Kozakken Boys
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.1	2.5 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.9	0.6 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	50/0/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 5.7	2.7 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0.2	2.8 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.15

X3.75

22.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.98

2 (+0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 3.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:37

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	2.60 → 2.60	Bet365 2.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
15:33 +3’	2.15	3.75	2.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Katwijk 4–1–1 Kozakken Boys

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/03/26 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Katwijk	2-1 HT 0-1	Kozakken Boys
04/10/25 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Kozakken Boys	0-0 HT 0-0	Katwijk
02/08/25 Europe Friendlies	Katwijk	0-3 HT 0-1	Kozakken Boys
03/02/24 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Katwijk	3-2 HT 1-0	Kozakken Boys
09/09/23 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Kozakken Boys	1-2 HT 0-2	Katwijk
13/05/23 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Katwijk	1-0 HT 1-0	Kozakken Boys

Standings · Netherlands Tweede Divisie

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Quick Boys	7	6	0	1	19	4	18
2	De Treffers	7	4	3	0	19	6	15
3	Kozakken Boys	7	4	2	1	18	11	14
4	IJsselmeervogels	6	4	1	1	9	3	13
5	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves	7	3	3	1	21	12	12
6	HHC Hardenberg	7	3	2	2	13	11	11
7	Barendrecht	7	3	2	2	12	10	11
8	Katwijk	7	3	2	2	10	8	11
9	Amsterdamsche FC	7	3	1	3	11	12	10
10	Spakenburg	7	3	1	3	9	11	10
11	RKAV Volendam	7	2	3	2	9	13	9
12	Rijnsburgse Boys	7	2	1	4	11	21	7
13	GVVV Veenendaal	6	2	0	4	11	16	6
14	Koninklijke HFC	7	1	3	3	9	13	6
15	HSV Hoek	7	1	3	3	8	12	6
16	Kloetinge	7	1	3	3	10	17	6
17	Almere City Reserves	7	1	1	5	11	16	4
18	ROHDA Raalte	7	0	1	6	6	20	1

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Katwijk

WLWLDWWDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Amsterdamsche FC Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	1-0	3	5	W
19/09	De Treffers Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-2	1-2	5	3	L
12/09	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-2	2-2	9	7	D
05/09	Almere City Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-2	3-2	6	3	W
29/08	Barendrecht Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-0	2-0	4	0	W
22/08	HSV Hoek Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	1-1	7	5	D
15/08	Spakenburg Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	0-1	4	3	L
23/05	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	4-1	3	2	W
16/05	Spakenburg Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	1-2	2	0	L
09/05	Koninklijke HFC Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	4-0	14	1	W

Kozakken Boys

WDLLDWWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Koninklijke HFC Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	1-1	5	3	D
19/09	HHC Hardenberg Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	2-1	4	3	W
12/09	Rijnsburgse Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	6-1	5	0	W
05/09	ROHDA Raalte Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	2-1	7	4	W
29/08	GVVV Veenendaal Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-2	3-2	6	4	W
22/08	Kloetinge Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-2	3-3	–	–	D
15/08	IJsselmeervogels Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	1-2	3	1	L
23/05	Quick Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-2	1-2	7	3	L
16/05	HHC Hardenberg Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	3-3	12	5	D
09/05	GVVV Veenendaal Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	3-1	3	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Katwijk vs Kozakken Boys?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Katwijk win (41%). Probabilities: Katwijk 41%, draw 25%, Kozakken Boys 34%.

How many goals are expected in Katwijk vs Kozakken Boys?

The model expects 3.08 goals (Katwijk 1.62 · Kozakken Boys 1.46), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Katwijk vs Kozakken Boys?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.