Football · Netherlands Tweede Divisie · 10/10, 15:00

Prediction: IJsselmeervogels vs Koninklijke HFC

Team pages: IJsselmeervogels · Koninklijke HFC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.02Total

IJsselmeervogels1.89

Koninklijke HFC1.14

1X2

54% 23% 22%

IJsselmeervogels Draw Koninklijke HFC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

IJsselmeervogels 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WDLWLDWWWL

Koninklijke HFC 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LWLLWDDLDL

Head-to-head

IJsselmeervogels 2–4 Koninklijke HFC (6 last)

Koninklijke HFC1-0IJsselmeervogels
IJsselmeervogels3-0Koninklijke HFC
IJsselmeervogels2-3Koninklijke HFC
Koninklijke HFC2-0IJsselmeervogels
IJsselmeervogels1-0Koninklijke HFC
Koninklijke HFC4-1IJsselmeervogels

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · IJsselmeervogels 1517 · Koninklijke HFC 1489

	IJsselmeervogels	Draw	Koninklijke HFC
Our model	54%	25%	22%
Market	55%	23%	23%

Estimated total (ours) 3.02 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Koninklijke HFC: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	IJsselmeervogels	Koninklijke HFC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.1	1.4 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.6	0.3 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	10/20/70%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.6	1.8 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0	3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.65

X4.00

24.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.82

2 (+0.75)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 31.93

Under 31.88

Diff.: 0 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:26

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.65 → 1.65	Bet365 1.65
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
16:16 +10’	1.65	4.00	4.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · IJsselmeervogels 2–0–4 Koninklijke HFC

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
07/03/26 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Koninklijke HFC	1-0 HT 1-0	IJsselmeervogels
04/10/25 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	IJsselmeervogels	3-0 HT 2-0	Koninklijke HFC
25/03/23 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	IJsselmeervogels	2-3 HT 1-1	Koninklijke HFC
01/10/22 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Koninklijke HFC	2-0 HT 1-0	IJsselmeervogels
05/04/22 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	IJsselmeervogels	1-0 HT 0-0	Koninklijke HFC
18/09/21 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Koninklijke HFC	4-1	IJsselmeervogels

Standings · Netherlands Tweede Divisie

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Quick Boys	7	6	0	1	19	4	18
2	De Treffers	7	4	3	0	19	6	15
3	Kozakken Boys	7	4	2	1	18	11	14
4	IJsselmeervogels	6	4	1	1	9	3	13
5	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves	7	3	3	1	21	12	12
6	HHC Hardenberg	7	3	2	2	13	11	11
7	Barendrecht	7	3	2	2	12	10	11
8	Katwijk	7	3	2	2	10	8	11
9	Amsterdamsche FC	7	3	1	3	11	12	10
10	Spakenburg	7	3	1	3	9	11	10
11	RKAV Volendam	7	2	3	2	9	13	9
12	Rijnsburgse Boys	7	2	1	4	11	21	7
13	GVVV Veenendaal	6	2	0	4	11	16	6
14	Koninklijke HFC	7	1	3	3	9	13	6
15	HSV Hoek	7	1	3	3	8	12	6
16	Kloetinge	7	1	3	3	10	17	6
17	Almere City Reserves	7	1	1	5	11	16	4
18	ROHDA Raalte	7	0	1	6	6	20	1

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	IJsselmeervogels	Koninklijke HFC
Quick Boys	0-1 L	2-3 L
Kozakken Boys	2-1 W	1-1 D
ACV Assen	2-4 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	0 W 1 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

IJsselmeervogels

WDLWLDWWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	HHC Hardenberg Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-2	1-2	14	2	L
26/09	Rijnsburgse Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	3-0	4	1	W
19/09	ROHDA Raalte Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
05/09	Kloetinge Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	2-0	7	2	W
29/08	RKAV Volendam Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	1-1	5	4	D
22/08	Quick Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	0-1	7	4	L
15/08	Kozakken Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	2-1	2	1	W
23/05	ACV Assen Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	2-4	2	3	L
16/05	Quick Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-1	2-2	5	7	D
09/05	HHC Hardenberg Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	2-0	4	1	W

Koninklijke HFC

LWLLWDDLDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Quick Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-2	2-3	2	5	L
26/09	Kozakken Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	1-1	4	3	D
19/09	Amsterdamsche FC Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	1-3	5	0	L
12/09	De Treffers Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	1-1	7	4	D
05/09	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-2	2-2	6	3	D
29/08	Almere City Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	2-1	3	4	W
22/08	Barendrecht Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
15/08	HSV Hoek Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	1-3	–	–	L
23/05	Spakenburg Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	3-2	4	1	W
16/05	ACV Assen Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	0-1	1	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in IJsselmeervogels vs Koninklijke HFC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a IJsselmeervogels win (54%). Probabilities: IJsselmeervogels 54%, draw 23%, Koninklijke HFC 22%.

How many goals are expected in IJsselmeervogels vs Koninklijke HFC?

The model expects 3.02 goals (IJsselmeervogels 1.89 · Koninklijke HFC 1.14), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in IJsselmeervogels vs Koninklijke HFC?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.